An unusual track for a low pressure system brought heavy precipitation (almost 2" WE in 12 hrs) for the Olympics and north Cascades today along with rising snow levels. As the low tracked NE across the Strait of Juan de Fuca to the north Cascades so did the warm air, with rain pushing up to around 5000' for the northwest Cascades and above Hurricane Ridge. The Washington Pass - Methow Valley corridor picked up a quick 10-12" as colder air remained entrenched further east. The more northerly orientation of the axis of heaviest precipitation gave the central, south Washington Cascades and Mt Hood areas a mid-day respite from heavier precipitation in the mild and very windy warm sector.
The warmth and localized break in the precipitation is coming to an end as the radar fills in with a menacing shield of precipitation slowly tracking eastward. The front will pass through the Cascades around 4 pm with a rapid cool down this evening. Rain will change to snow through the early afternoon and evening hours. The Washington Pass and east-central Cascades will see snow levels peak around 5500' and 6500' early this evening respectively before cooling.
After the frontal passage, strong W-NW winds will wring out moisture along the central and south Washington Cascades and Mt Hood tonight with drier and less windy conditions for the north Cascades. A convergence zone in between Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass will likely produce heavier snowfall totals there. Look for snow levels to fall to at least 1000' after midnight as colder air filters into the region. Scattered showers may last until the morning for Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes, but strong upper-level ridging will quickly build offshore. Look for a sunnier forecast on the east slopes of the Cascades and the Olympics tomorrow. Trapped stratocumulus clouds along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood will make for a mixed bag of afternoon cloud cover on Tuesday.
High pressure and dry conditions will stay with us through Wednesday. Freezing levels will start to climb for areas west of the Cascade Crest. Expect temperature inversions and increasing east winds in the Cascade Passes during the day Wednesday.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday
Night
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers becoming scattered light showers overnight. Sharp cooling trend.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate to heavy rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. Sharp cooling trend. Showers tapering off after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. Sharp cooling trend.
Tuesday
Cloudy with isolated showers in the morning becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. Sharp cooling trend. Showers tapering off after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow early in the evening becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. West winds rising and becoming strong at Pass level. Sharp cooling trend.
Tuesday
Cloudy with isolated showers in the morning becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow early in the evening becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. West winds rising and becoming strong at Pass level. Sharp cooling trend.
Tuesday
Cloudy with isolated showers in the morning becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. Sharp cooling trend. Showers tapering off after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate showers this evening. Sharp cooling trend. Showers tapering off after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Moderate rain and snow becoming light showers this evening. Sharp cooling trend. Showers tapering off after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers becoming scattered showers overnight. Sharp cooling trend.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon.
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Monday, December 21, 2020
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
Tuesday
Tuesday Night
Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.10
0
0
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
0.25 - 0.50
0
0
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.10
0
0
Stevens Pass
0.50
LT 0.10
0
0
Snoqualmie Pass
0.75
LT 0.10
0
0
Crystal Mt
0.25 - 0.50
0
0
0
Paradise
0.50
LT 0.10
0
0
White Pass
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
0
0
Washington Pass
0.25
0
0
0
Mission Ridge
LT 0.25
0
0
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0.25 - 0.50
0
0
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
LT 0.25
0
0
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0.75 -1.00
LT 0.10
0
0
Timberline
1.00
LT 0.10
0
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
LT 0.10
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.50
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.75
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.50
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.25
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
LT 0.25
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
LT 0.25
Tuesday
0
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
0.75 -1.00
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Monday Night
1.00
Tuesday
LT 0.10
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Monday, December 21, 2020
Snow Level (ft)
Monday
Evening
Monday
Night
Tuesday
Morning
Tuesday
Afternoon
Tuesday
Evening
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Morning*
Wednesday
Afternoon*
Olympics
2500'
1500'
1500'
2000'
1500'
1500'
3000'
7000'
West North
2500'
1000'
1000'
1500'
1000'
1000'
3000'
6500'
West Central
2500'
1000'
1000'
1500'
1000'
1000'
3000'
7000'
West South
3500'
1500'
1500'
1500'
1500'
1500'
3500'
8000'
Stevens Pass
3000'
1000'
1000'
1500'
1000'
1000'
3000'
7000'
Snoqualmie Pass
3000'
1000'
1000'
1500'
1000'
1000'
3000'
7000'
East North
3500'
1000'
1000'
1000'
1000'
1000'
2500'
5000'
East Central
4000'
1000'
1000'
1500'
1000'
1000'
2500'
6000'
East South
4000'
1500'
1500'
1500'
1500'
1500'
4000'
7500'
Mt. Hood
4000'
1500'
1500'
2000'
2000'
2000'
4500'
9000'
Olympics
Elevation
Monday
Evening
2500'
Monday
Night
1500'
Tuesday
Morning
1500'
Tuesday
Afternoon
2000'
Tuesday
Evening
1500'
Tuesday
Night
1500'
Wednesday
Morning*
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
7000'
West North
Elevation
Monday
Evening
2500'
Monday
Night
1000'
Tuesday
Morning
1000'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1000'
Tuesday
Night
1000'
Wednesday
Morning*
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
6500'
West Central
Elevation
Monday
Evening
2500'
Monday
Night
1000'
Tuesday
Morning
1000'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1000'
Tuesday
Night
1000'
Wednesday
Morning*
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
7000'
West South
Elevation
Monday
Evening
3500'
Monday
Night
1500'
Tuesday
Morning
1500'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1500'
Tuesday
Night
1500'
Wednesday
Morning*
3500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
8000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Monday
Evening
3000'
Monday
Night
1000'
Tuesday
Morning
1000'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1000'
Tuesday
Night
1000'
Wednesday
Morning*
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
7000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Monday
Evening
3000'
Monday
Night
1000'
Tuesday
Morning
1000'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1000'
Tuesday
Night
1000'
Wednesday
Morning*
3000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
7000'
East North
Elevation
Monday
Evening
3500'
Monday
Night
1000'
Tuesday
Morning
1000'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1000'
Tuesday
Evening
1000'
Tuesday
Night
1000'
Wednesday
Morning*
2500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
5000'
East Central
Elevation
Monday
Evening
4000'
Monday
Night
1000'
Tuesday
Morning
1000'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1000'
Tuesday
Night
1000'
Wednesday
Morning*
2500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
6000'
East South
Elevation
Monday
Evening
4000'
Monday
Night
1500'
Tuesday
Morning
1500'
Tuesday
Afternoon
1500'
Tuesday
Evening
1500'
Tuesday
Night
1500'
Wednesday
Morning*
4000'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
7500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Monday
Evening
4000'
Monday
Night
1500'
Tuesday
Morning
1500'
Tuesday
Afternoon
2000'
Tuesday
Evening
2000'
Tuesday
Night
2000'
Wednesday
Morning*
4500'
Wednesday
Afternoon*
9000'
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Monday, December 21, 2020
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Monday
Night
Tuesday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
21 / 14
25 / 18
West North
21 / 13
25 / 16
West Central
22 / 18
26 / 17
West South
26 / 18
24 / 19
Stevens Pass
23 / 19
24 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass
27 / 18
25 / 17
East North
28 / 12
21 / 13
East Central
30 / 19
23 / 16
East South
32 / 15
25 / 17
Mt. Hood
33 / 19
25 / 18
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
21 / 14
Tuesday
25 / 18
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
21 / 13
Tuesday
25 / 16
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
22 / 18
Tuesday
26 / 17
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
26 / 18
Tuesday
24 / 19
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
23 / 19
Tuesday
24 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
27 / 18
Tuesday
25 / 17
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
28 / 12
Tuesday
21 / 13
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
30 / 19
Tuesday
23 / 16
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
32 / 15
Tuesday
25 / 17
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Monday
Night
33 / 19
Tuesday
25 / 18
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Monday, December 21, 2020
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
Monday
Night
Tuesday
Morning
Tuesday
Afternoon
Olympics
WNW 15-25
WNW 5-15
NW 5-15
VAR 0-10
West North
WNW 10-20
WNW 5-15
WNW 0-10
SW 0-10
West Central
WNW 25-35
WNW 15-25
W 10-20
W 5-15
West South
WNW 35-50
WNW 20-30
W 10-20
W 5-15
Stevens Pass
WNW 25-35
WNW 15-25
W 10-20
W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
WNW 35-50
WNW 20-30
W 10-20
W 5-15
East North
WSW 25-35
W 15-25
W 5-15
W 0-10
East Central
WSW 30-40
WNW 25-35
W 10-20
W 5-15
East South
WNW 25-35
WNW 20-30
W 10-20
W 5-15
Mt. Hood
W 30-40
WNW 30-40
W 25-35
W 15-25
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
15-25
Monday
Night
WNW
5-15
Tuesday
Morning
NW
5-15
Tuesday
Afternoon
VAR
0-10
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Monday
Night
WNW
5-15
Tuesday
Morning
WNW
0-10
Tuesday
Afternoon
SW
0-10
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
25-35
Monday
Night
WNW
15-25
Tuesday
Morning
W
10-20
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
5-15
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
35-50
Monday
Night
WNW
20-30
Tuesday
Morning
W
10-20
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
5-15
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
25-35
Monday
Night
WNW
15-25
Tuesday
Morning
W
10-20
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
35-50
Monday
Night
WNW
20-30
Tuesday
Morning
W
10-20
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
5-15
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WSW
25-35
Monday
Night
W
15-25
Tuesday
Morning
W
5-15
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
0-10
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WSW
30-40
Monday
Night
WNW
25-35
Tuesday
Morning
W
10-20
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
5-15
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
WNW
25-35
Monday
Night
WNW
20-30
Tuesday
Morning
W
10-20
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday
Evening
W
30-40
Monday
Night
WNW
30-40
Tuesday
Morning
W
25-35
Tuesday
Afternoon
W
15-25
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Monday, December 21, 2020
Extended Weather Synopsis
High pressure and moderate offshore flow (east winds through the Passes) will continue Wednesday night through Thursday night. Thursday should be the warmest day for most areas at mid and upper elevations but watch for temperature inversions and low clouds getting pulled through the Passes. A weakening frontal system will slow down as it reaches the area on Christmas Day.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).