Issued: 2:31 PM PDT Saturday, April 6, 2019
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Tuesday

A broad upper level low in the NE Pacific will direct a winter-like strength jet stream into the Pacific Northwest over the next few days. Just as post-frontal showers wind down this evening another frontal system developing along the jet will rapidly spread precipitation into Oregon this evening and most of Washington by early Sunday morning. Forecast models are in good agreement that Mt. Hood will bear the brunt of this storm in terms of precipitation, warming, and winds. Less certainty surrounds how much significant precipitation will push north into the south and central Washington Cascades through Sunday morning. The Olympics and the north Cascades should receive only light accumulations.

After the low weakens and traverses the Columbia River Gorge Sunday morning, isolated showers and along with a warming trend should ensue for the Washington Cascades. Yet another low pressure system developing along the quasi-stationary frontal boundary will begin to spread warm frontal moisture into the Mt. Hood area Sunday afternoon. So perhaps there will be a mid-day lull for Mt. Hood but generally moderate and steady precipitation is expected through Sunday. 

Poor forecast confidence extends to Sunday night and Monday. The GFS takes the low pressure northeast and quickly inland Sunday night with leftover showers for Monday while other models curl the low along the coast Sunday night extending the stormier patter for another 12 hours.  

 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers early this evening becoming periods of light rain and snow overnight.
Mt. Baker
Saturday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers early this evening becoming periods of light rain and snow overnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with light scattered rain and snow showers this evening becoming periods of light rain and snow late overnight.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers this evening becoming periods of light rain and snow overnight. Moderate west winds at Pass level.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers this evening becoming periods of light to moderate rain and snow overnight.
Mt. Hood
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers this evening becoming moderate rain and snow overnight. Warming trend. Very windy.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening Snow Level 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 6000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 6500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 4500' 5000' 5500' 5500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 7000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 4500' 5000' 5500' 7000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 4500' 5000' 5500' 7000'
Monday Morning Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 5500' 4500' 5500' 5500' 6500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
7000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
6500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.50 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.25 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 1.00 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
1.00 - 1.50 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.75
Tuesday 1.00
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SE 10 - 20 S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20 SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SE 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SE 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night S 5 - 15
Sunday Morning S 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon SE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night S 5 - 15
Sunday Morning S 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Evening SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SE 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night S 5 - 15
Sunday Morning S 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon SE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night S 5 - 15
Sunday Morning S 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SW 35 - 45 SW 35 - 45 SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night S 10 - 20 S 10 - 20 SW 35 - 50 SW 50 - 60 SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 SW 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night S 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 25 - 35
Saturday Night S 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 35 - 45
Saturday Night SW 35 - 50
Sunday Morning SW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 35 - 45
Saturday Night SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 30 - 40
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 40 - 50
Sunday Afternoon SW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Tuesday should be a break day from significant precipitation with some leftover showers. Broad upper level ridging building well offshore near 150W will allow systems to reach the Pacific Northwest in cooler NW flow aloft. A fast moving but potentially cooler weather system will likely impact the area on Wednesday. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500'
Tuesday Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4000' - 5000' 4500' - 5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Tuesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Tuesday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Wednesday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 6, 2019

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