Issued: 7:20 AM PST Saturday, February 17, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Thursday

Our active pattern continues with the second low pressure system in 24 hours for the Pacific Northwest sliding down over the area in NW flow aloft. Precipitation has become moderate to locally heavy over the Cascade Passes this morning and precipitation rates in general should increase through the early afternoon hours.  The low pressure center currently off the northern tip of Vancouver Island will pass into southern British Columbia this afternoon with the trailing front passing through the Cascades in the early afternoon. A swath of warmer air will push into the mountains from about Stevens Pass to Mt. Hood, with the north Cascades having a more muted warming trend. Snow levels should peak around 6000 ft at Mt. Hood, 4500 ft in the Crystal Paradise/Mt. Rainier area and 4000 feet for Stevens/Snoqualmie Pass mid-day. The frontal passage will be followed by an increase in westerly winds in all areas but most pronounced from Snoqualmie Pass and southward this afternoon. Expect sharp cooling this afternoon behind the front. 

The quasi-stationary Pacific upper level ridge parked offshore will retrograde to 145W Saturday night and Sunday. This will open the door for the coldest air of the season to begin to inflitrate from the interior.  As the upper level trough digs over the Pacific Northwest and northern California Sunday, a weak surface low pressure system off the Washington/Oregon coast will invigorate snow shower activity for the Mt. Hood area and the south Washington Cascades while a slow drying trend takes place over the northwest and central-west Cascades. Colder air being drawn across the Strait of Juan de Fuca will lead to upslope snow showers in the Hurricane Ridge area. Upslope snow showers also look likely along the east slopes of the Cascades on Sunday.

Shower activity will wane Sunday night as the trough digs over the intermountain West and the flow aloft turns northerly. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Saturday Light to moderate rain and snow. Warming trend peaking mid-day. Showers and strong cooling trend mid-afternoon. Becoming windy.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong cooling trend. Winds decreasing overnight.
Sunday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning along the north slopes of the Olympics becoming scattered in the afternoon. Cold.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Saturday Stormy. Warming trend strongest from Stevens Pass to White Pass, peaking mid-day. Showers and strong cooling trend late afternoon. Becoming windy.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong cooling trend. Winds decreasing overnight.
Sunday Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the north Cascades. Light snow showers central and south. Cold.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday Light to moderate rain and snow. Warming trend strongest from Stevens Pass to White Pass, peaking mid-day. Light to moderate showers and strong cooling trend late afternoon. Becoming windy.
Saturday Night Light to moderate snow showers. Strong cooling trend. Winds decreasing overnight.
Sunday Light to moderate snow showers in the morning becoming scattered in the afternoon. Cold.
Mt. Hood
Saturday Stormy. Warming trend peaking mid-day. Showers and strong cooling trend late afternoon. Becoming windy.
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong cooling trend.
Sunday Light to moderate snow showers. Cold. Winds decreasing.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Morning Snow Level 3000' 2500' 2000' ' ' 3000' ' 5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 3000' 2500' 3000' ' ' 2500' ' 4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2000' ' ' 2000' ' 3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 1000' 1000' 500' ' ' 1000' ' 2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 0' 0' 0' ' ' 500' ' 1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 0' 0' 0' ' ' 0' ' 0'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Saturday Mid-day Snow Level
6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 - 1.00 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 1.50 - 2.00 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 2.00 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 - 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 2.00 - 2.50 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 2.00 - 2.50 0.75 - 1.00
0 - 2.50 0 - 1.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 35 - 50 --- - SW 45 - 55
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 25 - 35 --- - SW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20 NE 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon NNE 15 - 25 NE 10 - 20 NW 5 - 15 --- - WNW 10 - 20
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25 NE 10 - 20 VAR 0 - 10 --- - E 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NNE 15 - 25
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25
Saturday Mid-day WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NE 10 - 20
Sunday Night NE 10 - 20
Saturday Mid-day S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Saturday Night SW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night VAR 0 - 10
Saturday Mid-day SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Saturday Mid-day --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 45 - 55
Saturday Night SW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SW 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Sunday Night E 0 - 10
Saturday Mid-day SW 40 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NNE 15 - 25
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25
Saturday Mid-day WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NE 10 - 20
Sunday Night NE 10 - 20
Saturday Mid-day S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Saturday Night SW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night VAR 0 - 10
Saturday Mid-day SW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Saturday Mid-day --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 45 - 55
Saturday Night SW 25 - 35
Sunday Morning SW 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Sunday Night E 0 - 10
Saturday Mid-day SW 40 - 50

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Morning WSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 40 - 50 --- - W 50 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 40 - 50 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 65 - 75 --- - WSW 65 - 80
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25 W 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 --- - WSW 40 - 50
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20 N 10 - 20 NW 5 - 15 --- - WSW 40 - 50
Sunday Afternoon NE 15 - 25 NNE 15 - 25 NW 10 - 20 --- - WNW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon WSW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning NE 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NE 15 - 25
Sunday Night NE 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Night W 20 - 30
Sunday Morning N 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon NNE 15 - 25
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning WSW 40 - 50
Saturday Afternoon WSW 65 - 75
Saturday Night WSW 30 - 40
Sunday Morning NW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon NW 10 - 20
Sunday Night N 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Morning W 50 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 65 - 80
Saturday Night WSW 40 - 50
Sunday Morning WSW 40 - 50
Sunday Afternoon WNW 20 - 30
Sunday Night NW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Feb 16, 2018

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