Issued: 3:18 PM PDT Thursday, April 13, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Tuesday

A vertically stacked low pressure system off the southern British Columbia coast will continue the unsettled weather pattern for the Pacific Northwest over the short term. An upper level shortwave lifted north over the area Wednesday night, resulting in modest amounts of precipitation with new snow above 4000-5000 feet along both the east slopes and west slopes of the Cascades. With a cool unstable air mass overhead, look for increasing shower activity this afternoon over the Cascades. The air mass is marginally unstable such that an isolated thunderstorm can't be ruled out this afternoon. Shower activity should wane overnight with the loss of day-time heating although showers will be the heaviest and linger longest in the Mt. Baker area overnight. 

The story on Friday will be similar with the same low pressure system nearly stationary off of Vancouver Island, however the air mass will be slightly cooler. Once again, look for shower coverage and intensity to increase in the afternoon/early evening especially for the west slopes of the Cascades including Mt. Hood. Sunbreaks may be most plentiful in the late morning through mid-day. After an upper level shortwave passes through Friday morning, onshore flow should increase, forming a convergence zone potentially in the Stevens Pass-Mountain Loop Highway area. Shower activity should once again ease Friday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Thursday Night - Friday Morning

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light rain to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Mid-day to afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Thursday Night - Friday Morning

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers except occasionally moderate Mt. Baker area overnight. 

Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light rain to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Mid-day to afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Locally heavier accumulations possible near a convergence zone Mountain Loop Highway area. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday Mid-day - Thursday Evening

Partly to mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest showers near the Cascade crest. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Thursday Night - Friday Morning

Partly cloudy with isolated light rain and snow showers. 

Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Partly to mostly cloudy with light rain to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers especially near the Cascade crest. Mid-day to afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Thursday Night - Friday Morning

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening

Mostly cloudy with light rain to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Afternoon sunbreaks possible. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 5000' 4500' 5000' ' ' 4500' ' 5000'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2000' ' ' 2500' ' 2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3500' 4000' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 - 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 0.75
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
0 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 30 WSW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 WSW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 WSW 15 - 25 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Friday Night SW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Friday Night SW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Friday Night SW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 30
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Friday Night SW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 10 - 20 W 5 - 15 W 20 - 30 --- - W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30 --- - WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night - Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night W 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday Morning W 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night W 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night - Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night W 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night - Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon - Friday Night W 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Cool and somewhat showery weather should continue on Saturday as the low pressure system offshore dissolves into weak westerly flow aloft. Weak upper level ridging passing overhead mid-day Saturday may trap low level moisture especially along the west slopes of the Cascades and prevent much of a clearing trend.

Weak zonal flow (westerly) aloft on Sunday paired with weak offshore flow (easterly) at the surface should make for a dry day with warmer freezing levels. However, mid-high level cloud cover is a bit hard to pin down at this point due to the westerly flow aloft.

Upper level ridging will build over the area Sunday night but unfortunately will be very short lived. A Pacific frontal system will spread light rain and snow into the region from the SW during the day on Monday. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood
Saturday

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers Olympics and west slopes of the Cascades with occasional sunbreaks. Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated light rain and snow showers east slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood. 

Saturday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with shower activity ending. 

Sunday - Sunday Night

Partly cloudy. Warmer. 

Monday

Becoming cloudy with light rain and snow developing for Olympics and south Cascades mid-day and spreading northward in the afternoon.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday - Saturday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500' 4500' - 5500'
Sunday - Sunday Night Freezing Level 5000' - 6000' 6000' - 7000' 6500' - 7500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday - Sunday Night Freezing Level
5000' - 6000'
Monday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday - Sunday Night Freezing Level
6000' - 7000'
Monday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Sunday - Sunday Night Freezing Level
6500' - 7500'
Monday Snow Level
6000' - 7000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 13, 2017

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