Issued: 2:20 PM PST Tuesday, December 17, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The brunt of the atmospheric river continues Tuesday night into the early morning hours on Wednesday as a strong warm front lifts into northern Washington State, followed by a strong cold front moving through from the W early Wednesday.  Snow levels rise to around 7500 ft in most areas (except Washington Pass) as strong SSW winds over-ride cold air in place east of the Cascades with moderate E winds sucking that air through the mountain gaps. But the transition to these elevated snow levels will be particularly messy near and east of the Cascade Crest. A period of heavy freezing rain remains likely during the evening and overnight hours. Snoqualmie Pass likely transitions to freezing rain by 7 PM and Stevens Pass by 10 PM. We don't know whether enough warm air will arrive to displace the cold air at Washington Pass.

The front moves through with strong cooling by 7 AM on Wednesday, cutting off the deluge of moisture. Expect rapid cooling during the morning hours as snow levels drop to around 4000 ft by the afternoon with a push of moderate W winds (potentially locally strong for ridgelines east of the Crest). Light snow showers focus mostly on the northern and central Cascades with convergence likely creating periods of moderate rain and snow for Stevens Pass and the southern mountain loop through the mid-day hours. Expect increasing sun breaks east of the Cascade Crest.

Weak ridging brings dry conditions Wednesday night, but warming associated with an approaching warm front will become evident for Mt Hood and the Olympics.

The warm front brushes NW Washington with light precipitation for the Olympics and N Cascades. Expect a sharp contrast in temperature across the Cascades as E flow keeps the passes and E slopes significantly cooler.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Very heavy rain. Strong ridgeline winds peak in the evening hours, then decrease into the moderate range.
Wednesday Light rain and snow showers decrease or end.
Tuesday Night Very heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Heavy rain and snow ends by around 7 AM, then scattered light rain and snow showers remain possible.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Heavy rain and snow early, then light rain and snow showers continue at times with moderate precipitation in convergence banding through the morning hours (southern part).
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and high-elevation snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Heavy rain and snow early, then isolated snow showers remain with mostly cloudy skies.
Tuesday Night Heavy snow in the evening changing to freezing rain, then rain. Significant freezing rain is expected. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Heavy rain, snow or freezing rain transitions to light rain and snow showers and moderate convergence. Shower activity becomes universally light by the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Heavy snow in the early evening changing to freezing rain, then rain. Significant freezing rain is expected. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Heavy rain, snow or freezing rain transitions to light rain and snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Very heavy snow possibly mixes with freezing rain or rain overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Wednesday Heavy snow or potentially rain/freezing rain ends very early in the day with light rain or snow showers possible through the end of the day. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Moderate snow mixing with or changing to rain and freezing rain overnight. Significant freezing rain accumulations likely. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Moderate rain, snow or freezing rain ending early, then light rain and snow showers linger near the Cascade Crest. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Moderate snow changing to rain and freezing rain. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Wednesday Moderate rain, snow or freezing rain ending early, then light rain and snow showers linger near the Cascade Crest. Increasing sun breaks as the day progresses. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light rain and high-elevation snow becomes moderate in the early morning hours. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Moderate rain and high elevation snow quickly becomes light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 1.50 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 2.50 - 3.50 0.25 - 0.50 0 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 2.00 - 2.50 0.50 0 0
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Crystal Mt 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25 0 0
Paradise 1.50 0.25 0 0
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 0 0
Washington Pass 1.50 - 2.00 0.25 - 0.50 0 0
Mission Ridge 0.50 LT 0.25 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 0.25 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 0 0
Timberline 0.25 0.25 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 8000' 7000' 4000' 3500' 6000' 3500' 7500' 7500'
West North 6000' 7000' 4500' 3500' 3500' 2500' 3500' 6500'
West Central 7500' 7500' 4500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 4000' 7000'
West South 7500' 7500' 5000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 7000' 8000'
Stevens Pass 4000' 7500' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass 7500' 7500' 5000' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 7000'
East North 3500' 4500' 5000' 4000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
East Central 4000' 7500' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
East South 7500' 7500' 5500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 6000' 9000'
Mt. Hood 8000' 7500' 6000' 5500' 8000' 8500' 7500' 10000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 8000'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 6000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 7500'
Thursday Afternoon* 7500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 6500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 8000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 6000'
Thursday Afternoon* 9000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 8000'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 8000'
Wednesday Night* 8500'
Thursday Morning* 7500'
Thursday Afternoon* 10000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 39 / 29 31 / 27
West North 38 / 32 32 / 27
West Central 41 / 31 30 / 27
West South 38 / 36 36 / 28
Stevens Pass 38 / 26 36 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 37 / 30 37 / 27
East North 32 / 23 33 / 27
East Central 35 / 27 36 / 28
East South 38 / 35 36 / 28
Mt. Hood 38 / 35 38 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 39 / 29
Wednesday 31 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 32
Wednesday 32 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 41 / 31
Wednesday 30 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 36
Wednesday 36 / 28
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 26
Wednesday 36 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 30
Wednesday 37 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 23
Wednesday 33 / 27
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 27
Wednesday 36 / 28
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 35
Wednesday 36 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 35
Wednesday 38 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 25-35 SW 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15
West North SSW 20-30 SSW 25-35 W 20-30 WSW 10-20
West Central SSW 15-25 SW 30-40 WNW 20-30 WSW 10-20
West South SW 20-30 SW 25-35 W 20-30 WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass SSW 10-20 SW 15-25 W 20-30 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 W 20-30 W 15-25
East North S 10-20 SSW 15-25 W 25-35 W 20-30
East Central SW 15-25 SW 20-30 W 25-35 W 20-30
East South SW 15-25 SW 15-25 W 20-30 W 5-15
Mt. Hood SW 30-40 SW 30-40 WSW 25-35 WSW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 25-35
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 20-30
Tuesday Night SSW 25-35
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 30-40
Wednesday Morning WNW 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 25-35
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening S 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon W 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
Wednesday Morning W 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon W 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 30-40
Tuesday Night SW 30-40
Wednesday Morning WSW 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

Weak ridging continues across the west coast with systems brushing NW Washington Thursday night and again Friday night. Expect a sharp E-W temperature contrast across the Cascades with much more significantly above normal temperatures west of the Cascade Crest. The ridge breaks down on Saturday with a system moving onshore Saturday afternoon.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday * Friday Night* Saturday *
West North 6000' 6500' 6500' 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass 6500' 8000' 8000' 5500'
Mt. Hood 8500' 9500' 8500' 5500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday * 6500'
Friday Night* 6500'
Saturday * 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday * 8000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday * 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 8500'
Friday * 9500'
Friday Night* 8500'
Saturday * 5500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 17, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.