Issued: 2:11 PM PST Monday, December 16, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The parade of fronts on a moist SSW flow continues with the main event arriving Tuesday through Wednesday morning.

Monday evening light snow showers decrease across the northern Cascades. Attention shifts to the southern Cascades where a weak warm front lifting northward brings moderate rain and snow to the southern Cascade Volcanoes with moderate E flow enabling plenty of spillover onto the east slopes of the Cascades. The front peters out once it reaches the central Washington Cascades overnight.

An atmospheric river arrives with a warm front moving into the area on Tuesday. This will bring light precipitation with snow levels around 3000-4000 ft west of the Cascades and at valley bottoms east of the Cascades and through the mountain gaps. As the day progresses, precipitation becomes moderate to heavy throughout the central and southern Cascades, and particularly the Olympics. The precipitation also reaches the northern Cascades in the afternoon. SSW flow will bring significant warming, initially to the Olympics and southern Cascades during the afternoon hours with snow levels rising to near the Cascade Crest in these areas late in the day. The timing of the warmup remains an area of significant uncertainty.

Moderate to heavy rain, snow, and freezing rain continue as warm air rides over the cold air entrenched east of the Cascades and through the mountain gaps. Expect around 50% of the precipitation falling around Snoqualmie Pass, Stevens Pass, and areas further east to be in the form of freezing rain Tuesday night. That means rain will fall in a layer above these freezing temperatures.

A cold front moves through Wednesday morning, shifting winds from SSW to W and bringing an end to the steady precipitation. Temperatures gradually cool with snow levels lowering to 3500-5500 ft in the afternoon after topping out around 7500 ft Tuesday night.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow showers.
Tuesday Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy as the day progresses. Rapidly rising snow levels. Moderate ridgeline winds develop with strong gusts.
Monday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow showers mainly in the evening.
Tuesday Light snow develops in the late morning hours and becomes moderate in the afternoon. Rapidly rising snow levels late in the day. Ridgeline winds become moderate from mid-morning onwards.
Monday Night Cloudy with occasional light snow showers. Light rain and snow develop in the early morning hours.
Tuesday Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy as the day progresses.
Monday Night Light rain and snow showers transition to light rain and snow overnight.
Tuesday Light rain and snow re-develop and become moderate to heavy. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light snow. Increasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Cloudy with light snow developing in the afternoon and becoming moderate late in the day. Increasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow mainly after midnight. Increasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Periods of light snowfall end early. Then light snow re-develops in the late morning hours and becomes moderate in the afternoon, potentially mixing with freezing rain late in the day.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers.
Tuesday Mostly cloudy with light snow developing late in the day.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with light snow developing overnight (southern part).
Tuesday Periods of light snow (southern part) ending early. Then light snow re-develops and becomes moderate late in the day. Ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range in the afternoon.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with light snow developing overnight.
Tuesday Light snow ending early. Then light snow re-develops by mid-morning and increases into the moderate range.
Monday Night Light rain and snow showers transition to moderate rain and snow by the overnight hours. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Light rain and snow in the morning becomes moderate to heavy from late morning onwards. Rapidly rising snow levels. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 2.50 - 3.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.50 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.50
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0.25 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Timberline 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 2.50 - 3.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Evening* Monday Night* Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon* Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 3500' 4000' 6500' 8000' 7000' 4500' 3500'
West North 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 6000' 7000' 5000' 3500'
West Central 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 7000' 7500' 6000' 4000'
West South 3000' 3500' 4000' 5000' 7500' 7500' 6000' 4000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 6000' 7500' 5500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 7500' 7500' 5500' 4000'
East North 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 6000' 5000' 4000'
East Central 2000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 5500' 7500' 5500' 4000'
East South 3000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 7500' 7500' 6000' 5000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4500' 5000' 6500' 7000' 7500' 7000' 5500'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning* 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6500'
Tuesday Evening* 8000'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 7000'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
West Central Elevation
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3000'
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 7000'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
West South Elevation
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning* 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5000'
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
East North Elevation
Monday Evening* 1500'
Monday Night* 1500'
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 6000'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Monday Evening* 2000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Monday Evening* 3000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning* 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Tuesday Evening* 7500'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening* 4000'
Monday Night* 4500'
Tuesday Morning* 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6500'
Tuesday Evening* 7000'
Tuesday Night* 7500'
Wednesday Morning 7000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Night Tuesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 28 36 / 30
West North 28 / 24 31 / 24
West Central 27 / 24 31 / 26
West South 30 / 27 35 / 30
Stevens Pass 25 / 19 29 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 25 / 22 30 / 25
East North 19 / 16 23 / 17
East Central 25 / 19 30 / 22
East South 28 / 23 32 / 26
Mt. Hood 32 / 30 37 / 31
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 30 / 28
Tuesday 36 / 30
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 28 / 24
Tuesday 31 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 27 / 24
Tuesday 31 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 30 / 27
Tuesday 35 / 30
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 25 / 19
Tuesday 29 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 25 / 22
Tuesday 30 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 19 / 16
Tuesday 23 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 25 / 19
Tuesday 30 / 22
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 28 / 23
Tuesday 32 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 32 / 30
Tuesday 37 / 31

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics SSE 5-15 SSW 5-15 S 5-15 SSW 20-30
West North S 0-10 SSE 0-10 S 10-20 S 15-25
West Central SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SE 15-25
West South SSE 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 S 0-10 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 5-15 ESE 15-25
East North SE 0-10 S 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSE 10-20
East Central SSE 5-15 S 10-20 WSW 5-15 S 10-20
East South SSE 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 S 5-15
Mt. Hood SSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 WSW 10-20 SW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 5-15
Monday Night SSW 5-15
Tuesday Morning S 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening S 0-10
Monday Night SSE 0-10
Tuesday Morning S 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon S 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 5-15
Monday Night SSE 5-15
Tuesday Morning SSE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SE 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 5-15
Monday Night SSW 10-20
Tuesday Morning SSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 5-15
Monday Night SSE 5-15
Tuesday Morning S 0-10
Tuesday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening ESE 5-15
Monday Night SE 5-15
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 0-10
Monday Night S 5-15
Tuesday Morning SSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 5-15
Monday Night S 10-20
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon S 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 5-15
Monday Night SW 5-15
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 10-20
Monday Night WSW 20-30
Tuesday Morning WSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

A "dirty" ridge forms Wednesday night through Friday with weak systems skirting NW Washington on SW flow. Redeveloping E winds will keep some chances of mixed precipitation for any moisture making it east of the Cascade Crest.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Night* Thursday * Thursday Night* Friday *
West North 3000' 6000' 6500' 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 6000' 6500' 7000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 8500' 8000' 8500'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday * 6000'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday * 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday * 6000'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday * 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night* 6000'
Thursday * 8500'
Thursday Night* 8000'
Friday * 8500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 16, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.