The Pacific Northwest will gradually ease out of a very active weather pattern. In the wake of a slowly moving N-S-oriented frontal boundary, the bent back tail of the offshore low will bring a pulse of elevated winds to NW Washington. These winds should target the Olympic Mountains strong SSW winds in the evening hours and extreme gusts. Ridgeline winds may be in the moderate to strong range for Mt Baker. Winds should gradually decrease in all areas overnight and into Saturday as the low rotates further offshore.
A frontal system slowly eases eastward Friday afternoon, allowing a N-S band of precipitation to exit the region. Focus shifts to shower activity spinning into our region on SSW flow with the upper trough parked offshore through the weekend. Snow levels gradually lower Friday night into the 3000-4000 ft range and then further to 2500-3500 ft for the remainder of the weekend. Snow showers range in intensity, but should be moderate to locally heavy at times on the Cascade Volcanoes and the highest totals over the Olympics. Convection should enable significant spillover to the northern Olympics as well. Mt Baker, Hurricane Ridge, and Paradise can all expect 8-20” of snow. However, the Olympics and Mt Baker can expect the most significant snowfall Friday night and Saturday. In contrast, Paradise and the southern and eastern Cascades can expect the most significant snowfall totals on Sunday with a pulse of organized precipitation riding NNE over these regions during the day. Models diverge regarding the strength of this pulse of moisture on Sunday. For the passes and east slopes of the Cascades, precipitation should be mostly light with 1-4”, but we will have to watch the potential for steadier accumulations and more significant snow totals for the Eastern and Southern Cascades if models come into agreement regarding this wetter solution.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday
Night
Moderate rain/snow showers for the northern Olympics will be heavy elsewhere. Expect moderate to strong ridgeline winds to decrease overnight. Extreme gusts at times in the early evening hours.
Saturday
Increasing moderate snow showers (locally heavy at times) in the northern Olympics. Heavier snow showers in other parts of the Olympics. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday
Night
Moderate to heavy snow showers rain/snow showers with cooling temperatures. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Saturday
Moderate snow showers. Decreasing light to moderate ridgeline winds. Sun breaks possible at times.
Friday
Night
Light rain/snow showers with cooling temperatures. Decreasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Light rain/snow showers. Mostly light ridgeline winds. Some sun breaks are likely.
Friday
Night
Light rain/snow showers, moderate at Paradise. Decreasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Increasing light to moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest at Paradise. Sun breaks are more likely in the morning hours.
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy with a few rain/snow showers. Gradually cooling. Decreasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a few rain/snow showers. Gradually cooling. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy with a few rain/snow showers. Gradually cooling. Decreasing light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a few rain/snow showers. Gradually cooling. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Partly cloudy with light rain/snow showers more likely in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Mostly light rain and snow showers. Gradual cooling. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds become light.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with increasing light to occasionally moderate snow showers.
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, November 22, 2024
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
Saturday
Saturday Night
Sunday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0.50
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
0.75
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25
Crystal Mt
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
0.25
Paradise
0.25
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.50 - 0.75
White Pass
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Washington Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
Timberline
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0.50
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0.75
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
0.25
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0.25
Saturday
LT 0.25
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
0.50 - 0.75
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.25
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
LT 0.10
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, November 22, 2024
Snow Level (ft)
Friday
Evening*
Friday
Night*
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night*
Sunday
Morning*
Sunday
Afternoon*
Olympics
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
West North
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2000'
2500'
West Central
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
West South
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
3000'
3000'
Stevens Pass
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
2500'
2500'
3000'
East North
4000'
3000'
1500'
3000'
2500'
2000'
2000'
2500'
East Central
4000'
3500'
2500'
3000'
3000'
2000'
2500'
3000'
East South
4000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
300'
2500'
3000'
3000'
Mt. Hood
4500'
4000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
Olympics
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
West North
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
2500'
Sunday
Morning*
2000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
2500'
West Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
2500'
Sunday
Morning*
2500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
West South
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
2500'
Sunday
Morning*
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
2500'
Sunday
Morning*
2500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
2500'
Sunday
Morning*
2500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
East North
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3000'
Saturday
Morning
1500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
2500'
Saturday
Night*
2000'
Sunday
Morning*
2000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
2500'
East Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
2000'
Sunday
Morning*
2500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
East South
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4000'
Friday
Night*
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3000'
Saturday
Evening
300'
Saturday
Night*
2500'
Sunday
Morning*
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Friday
Evening*
4500'
Friday
Night*
4000'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3500'
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, November 22, 2024
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Friday
Night
Saturday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
30 / 27
28 / 26
West North
30 / 27
29 / 26
West Central
31 / 27
28 / 26
West South
31 / 25
30 / 25
Stevens Pass
31 / 25
30 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
31 / 25
30 / 25
East North
28 / 22
28 / 21
East Central
30 / 24
31 / 23
East South
30 / 23
31 / 24
Mt. Hood
32 / 28
31 / 27
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 27
Saturday
28 / 26
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 27
Saturday
29 / 26
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 27
Saturday
28 / 26
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 25
Saturday
30 / 25
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 25
Saturday
30 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 25
Saturday
30 / 25
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
28 / 22
Saturday
28 / 21
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 24
Saturday
31 / 23
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 23
Saturday
31 / 24
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
32 / 28
Saturday
31 / 27
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, November 22, 2024
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
SSW 30-40
SSW 20-30
SSW 15-25
SSW 10-20
West North
S 20-30
S 15-25
S 5-15
SSW 5-15
West Central
S 15-25
SW 10-20
SSW 5-15
SW 5-15
West South
SSW 15-25
SSW 5-15
SW 5-15
WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass
S 5-15
SSW 0-10
WSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
S 5-15
SSE 0-10
W 5-15
W 5-15
East North
S 10-20
SSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
SW 5-15
East Central
SSW 10-20
SW 5-15
W 5-15
W 10-20
East South
SW 10-20
WSW 5-15
W 5-15
WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood
SW 15-25
WSW 10-20
WSW 5-15
WSW 5-15
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SSW
30-40
Friday
Night
SSW
20-30
Saturday
Morning
SSW
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
SSW
10-20
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
20-30
Friday
Night
S
15-25
Saturday
Morning
S
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
SSW
5-15
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
15-25
Friday
Night
SW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
SSW
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SSW
15-25
Friday
Night
SSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
5-15
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
5-15
Friday
Night
SSW
0-10
Saturday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
5-15
Friday
Night
SSE
0-10
Saturday
Morning
W
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
W
5-15
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
S
10-20
Friday
Night
SSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SSW
10-20
Friday
Night
SW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
W
10-20
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SW
10-20
Friday
Night
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
5-15
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SW
15-25
Friday
Night
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
5-15
Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, November 22, 2024
Extended Weather Synopsis
Sunday's pulse of moisture exits to the north and east. The offshore low-pressure center drops southward Sunday night through Monday night, allowing snow shower activity to taper from north to south across the region. Temperatures should be below average for late November. Heading into Tuesday, a region of high pressure just offshore brings northerly and then northwesterly flow, likely accompanied by significant sunshine and mild alpine temperatures.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).