Issued: 2:23 PM PST Monday, November 18, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The Pacific Northwest will experience very active and wintery weather throughout the forecast period.

A cool trough remains in place Monday afternoon with light to moderate W flow combined with cold temperatures aloft to efficiently touch off low-density snow showers with rain/snow lines around 1000-1500 ft.

The pattern remains in place Monday night, but a developing deep low offshore gives the flow a more SWerly wind direction as we head into the overnight hours.Expect significant snow accumulations to continue for the western slopes of the Cascades and Olympics, with most areas picking up 2-6" of snow, but 6-12" amounts are likely for Mt St Helens and Mt Rainier.

Mostly light snow showers generally end early Tuesday a deep upper low off Heida Gwaii pulls down cold air from the Gulf of Alaska, invigorating and rapidly intensifying a newly formed surface low. By Tuesday evening this low-pressure center drops to 940-945 mb, rivaling the strength of hurricanes.

The result will be more cloudy weather with light snow at times on Tuesday morning. Increasing light to moderate ESE winds through the mountain gaps and SSW winds aloft will focus some mostly light snowfall on the east slopes of the Cascades, the Olympics, and southern Volcanoes by the afternoon/

This whole package intensifies very rapidly during the evening hours as the storm reaches peak strength in our offshore waters as it lifts northward. Expect moderate to heavy snowfall focusing on similar areas with lighter snowfall spreading into the western central and northern Cascades. E winds driven by circulation around the low combined with -14 mb cross-cascade pressure gradients (very strong) will create blizzard conditions in the mountain passes and breaking mountain waves could produce damaging winds in the western Cascade Foothills with gusts in the 50-75 mph range over widespread areas.

A warming trend that started Tuesday evening will continue on Wednesday as precipitation decreases in the light to moderate range with decreasing E winds continuing to focus more precipitation along the E slopes of the ranges and SSW winds aloft favoring the volcanoes.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Night Light snow showers. Locally intense at times.
Tuesday Cloudy in the northern Olympics with increasing light to moderate snow developing in the southern and eastern Olympics. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Locally heavy at times.
Tuesday Light snow showers mostly ending, then remaining cloudy with very light snow possible at times. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
Monday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Locally heavy at times.
Tuesday Light snow showers ending early, then remaining cloudy. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
Monday Night Light to moderate snow showers, heaviest at Paradise. Locally intense at times.
Tuesday Light snow showers transition to periods of light snow. Light ridgeline winds become moderate in the afternoon with strong gusts.
Monday Night Light snow showers. Light ridgeline and W wind at the Pass shifting E overnight.
Tuesday A few snow showers in the morning, then cloudy conditions in the afternoon. Light ridgeline and E winds at the pass in the morning. Ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range in the afternoon.
Monday Night Light snow showers. Light ridgeline and W wind at the Pass shifting E overnight.
Tuesday A few snow showers in the morning, then cloudy conditions in the afternoon. Light ridgeline and E winds at the pass in the morning. Ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range in the afternoon.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with occasional light snow showers.
Tuesday Cloudy with occasional snow showers in the morning and occasional light snow late in the day. Light ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range during the afternoon.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers at times.
Tuesday Cloudy with occasional snow showers in the morning and occasional light snow in the afternoon. Light ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range during the afternoon.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers at times.
Tuesday Cloudy with occasional snow showers in the morning and steady light snow develops in the afternoon. Light ridgeline winds increase into the moderate range during the afternoon.
Monday Night Light to moderate snow showers may be locally intense at times. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Light snow showers in the morning becoming steady and increasing light to potentially moderate snow in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts likely in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Paradise 0.50 LT 0.10 1.00 0.25
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.25 1.00 0.25
Timberline 0.25 0.25 1.00 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Evening Monday Night* Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon* Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon*
Olympics 1000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
West North 1000' 1000' 500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 1000' 1000' 1000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West South 1000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 1000' 1000' 500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
East North 500' 500' 0 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East Central 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East South 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West North Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 1500'
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 1500'
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Monday Evening 500'
Monday Night* 500'
Tuesday Morning* 0'
Tuesday Afternoon* 1000'
Tuesday Evening* 1000'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East Central Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 1500'
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Monday Evening 1000'
Monday Night* 1000'
Tuesday Morning* 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening 1500'
Monday Night* 2000'
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Night Tuesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 22 / 19 29 / 19
West North 22 / 19 27 / 19
West Central 24 / 19 26 / 18
West South 24 / 22 30 / 22
Stevens Pass 23 / 19 26 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 20 25 / 19
East North 20 / 11 18 / 10
East Central 22 / 19 25 / 18
East South 23 / 19 27 / 21
Mt. Hood 26 / 23 29 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 22 / 19
Tuesday 29 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 22 / 19
Tuesday 27 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 24 / 19
Tuesday 26 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 24 / 22
Tuesday 30 / 22
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 23 / 19
Tuesday 26 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 24 / 20
Tuesday 25 / 19
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 20 / 11
Tuesday 18 / 10
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 22 / 19
Tuesday 25 / 18
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 23 / 19
Tuesday 27 / 21
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 26 / 23
Tuesday 29 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 0-10 SSW 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 20-30
West North SSW 0-10 SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 SE 15-25
West Central SW 5-15 S 0-10 SE 5-15 ESE 20-30
West South SW 5-15 SW 5-15 S 5-15 SE 15-25
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 SSW 0-10 SE 5-15 ESE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 SSW 0-10 ESE 10-20 ESE 25-35
East North WSW 5-15 SSW 0-10 SE 5-15 SE 15-25
East Central W 10-20 WSW 5-15 S 5-15 SE 15-25
East South W 5-15 WSW 10-20 S 5-15 SE 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 20-30 SW 10-20 SW 10-20 S 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 0-10
Monday Night SSW 5-15
Tuesday Morning S 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSW 0-10
Monday Night SSE 5-15
Tuesday Morning SSE 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SE 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SW 5-15
Monday Night S 0-10
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SW 5-15
Monday Night SW 5-15
Tuesday Morning S 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SE 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 5-15
Monday Night SSW 0-10
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening W 5-15
Monday Night SSW 0-10
Tuesday Morning ESE 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 25-35
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 5-15
Monday Night SSW 0-10
Tuesday Morning SE 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SE 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening W 10-20
Monday Night WSW 5-15
Tuesday Morning S 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SE 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening W 5-15
Monday Night WSW 10-20
Tuesday Morning S 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SE 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening WSW 20-30
Monday Night SW 10-20
Tuesday Morning SW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon S 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

The deep mid-latitude cyclone bringing wild weather early in the week continues to rotate off the British Columbia coastline, spinning waves of light to occasionally moderate rain and snow into our region as snow levels continue to gradually rise. Expect somewhat cooler temperatures east of the Cascade Crest, a wintry mix at times through the Cascade Gaps, and a transition to rain at middle elevations along the western slopes of the Cascades Thursday through Friday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Night* Thursday * Thursday Night* Friday *
West North 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3000' 4000' 5000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 5000' 6000' 6500'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday * 3000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday * 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday * 3000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday * 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday * 5000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday * 6500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 17, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.