Issued: 1:59 PM PST Tuesday, February 27, 2024
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in for a wet and wild next 36 hours as a potent winter storm takes aim at the Pacific Northwest. This system has it all: moderate to heavy precipitation, warming temperatures, and very strong and gusty winds. Expect stormy conditions with periods of heavy rain/snow and low visibility. 

The first bands of precipitation out ahead of the warm front are just starting to make their way across the Puget Sound this afternoon. Nearly all mountain weather stations already show a slow but steady rise in temperatures. Rain and snow will increase across the Olympics and west slopes of the Cascades Tuesday night. As temperatures continue to warm, the snow-rain line should quickly jump above Snoqualmie Pass during the evening hours. Strong westerly winds will help push showers east of the Crest, but it won't be until Wednesday that the bulk of the moisture ventures over the mountains.

The storm continues to intensify Wednesday morning as the jet stream passes overhead and the upper air flow turns more southwesterly. This setup draws a deep moisture tap from out in the Pacific Ocean and develops an atmospheric river. Warmer air continues to push into the region and finally makes its way east of the Cascades. Stevens and White Passes should see rain at road level around lunchtime. Very strong to extreme winds accompany moderate to heavy precipitation throughout the day. 

The frontal feature deepens southward Wednesday night as the storm continues to rage. This focuses a bit more of the precipitation on the southern volcanoes. As the storm moves into Oregon, colder air floods into the area, and snow levels quickly fall. Expect snow below all pass levels before sunrise. As the bulk of the storm exists Thursday, post-frontal showers and an unstable atmosphere should help wring out additional snow, mainly along the west slopes of the Cascades. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing with periods of moderate precipitation and strong and gusty SW winds. Warming.
Wednesday Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Storng and gusty SW winds.
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight. Periods of heavy precipitation with warming. Moderate to strong and gusty SW winds.
Wednesday Storm with continued warming. Periods of heavy precipitation. Very strong and gusty SSW winds.
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight. Periods of heavy precipitation with warming. SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Wednesday Storm with periods of heavy precipitation and very strong and gusty SW winds.
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight. Periods of moderate to heavy precipitation, particularly near the volcanoes. SW winds becoming strong and gusty, especially near the Cascade crest. Warming.
Wednesday Stormy with periods of heavy precipitation and very strong and gusty SW winds.
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing with warming temperatures. Periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Moderate WSW winds becoming strong and gusty. Very light E flow at pass level, ending overnight.
Wednesday Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing with warming and rain reaching above pass level. Periods of heavy precipitation. WSW winds becoming strong and gusty. Very light east flow at pass level ending overnight.
Wednesday Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Strong and gusty WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with precipitation increasing toward sunrise. Moderate SW winds becoming strong and gusty.
Wednesday Stormy with moderate to heavy precipitation and significant warming. Very strong and gusty SW winds decreasing slightly.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with precipitation increasing overnight, particularly near the crest. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming very strong to extreme.
Wednesday Stormy, particularly near the crest. Periods of moderate to heavy precipitation with warming. Very strong to extreme WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with precipitation increasing overnight, heaviest near the crest. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming very strong to extreme.
Wednesday Stormy particularly near the crest with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation and warming temperatures. Very strong to extreme WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Stormy conditions developing in the evening with periods of heavy precipitation and warming temperatures. Strong and gusty WSW winds becoming very strong to extreme.
Wednesday Stormy with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation and continued warming. Extreme WSW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 2.00 1.50 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00 1.50 0.50
Stevens Pass 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.75 1.00 0.25
Paradise 1.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0.50 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 1.00 0.50
Timberline 1.50 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 2.00
Wednesday Night 1.50
Thursday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday Night 1.50
Thursday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 3500' 1500' 1000' 1500'
West North 500' 2000' 3000' 4000' 4000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
West Central 1500' 2500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 2000' 1500' 1500'
West South 2500' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 2500' 1500' 1500'
Stevens Pass 1500' 3000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 2500' 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 2500' 1500' 1500'
East North 500' 1500' 1500' 4000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 1000'
East Central 1500' 2000' 2500' 4500' 4000' 3000' 1500' 1500'
East South 2000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 4500' 3000' 2000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 3500' 4000' 5000' 5000' 4000' 2000' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night 3500'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 500'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 2000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night 3500'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night 3500'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 500'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 1500'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night 3500'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Wednesday Evening 5000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 25 31 / 29
West North 28 / 20 30 / 29
West Central 29 / 22 30 / 29
West South 29 / 25 33 / 30
Stevens Pass 30 / 23 31 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 23 32 / 29
East North 28 / 19 33 / 29
East Central 29 / 22 33 / 29
East South 29 / 23 33 / 29
Mt. Hood 30 / 26 34 / 30
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 25
Wednesday 31 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 20
Wednesday 30 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 22
Wednesday 30 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 25
Wednesday 33 / 30
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 23
Wednesday 31 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 23
Wednesday 32 / 29
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 19
Wednesday 33 / 29
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 22
Wednesday 33 / 29
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 23
Wednesday 33 / 29
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 26
Wednesday 34 / 30

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 25-35 SW 25-35
West North SSW 20-30 SW 20-30 SSW 30-40 SSW 30-40
West Central SW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 30-40 SW 25-35
West South SW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 30-40 SW 25-35
Stevens Pass WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30
East North SW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 30-40 SW 25-35
East Central WSW 25-35 WSW 35-50 WSW 35-50 WSW 30-40
East South WSW 25-35 WSW 35-50 WSW 35-50 WSW 30-40
Mt. Hood WSW 25-35 WSW 35-50 WSW 40-55 WSW 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 25-35
Wednesday Morning SW 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
Wednesday Morning SSW 30-40
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 25-35
Wednesday Morning SW 30-40
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25-35
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 25-35
Wednesday Morning SW 30-40
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 15-25
Tuesday Night WSW 20-30
Wednesday Morning WSW 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 20-30
Tuesday Night WSW 25-35
Wednesday Morning WSW 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
Wednesday Morning SW 30-40
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 25-35
Tuesday Night WSW 35-50
Wednesday Morning WSW 35-50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 25-35
Tuesday Night WSW 35-50
Wednesday Morning WSW 35-50
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30-40
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 25-35
Tuesday Night WSW 35-50
Wednesday Morning WSW 40-55
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

Behind the major storm, we sit in an open trough pattern. Subtle waves of moisture should bring periods of light snowfall in nearly every 12-hour block through the end of the week. While the overall pattern is easy to identify, it's hard to nail down specifics of exactly when these pluses of snow will reach the mountains. With cold air in place, this should help add to the already impressive weekly snow totals. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday * Friday Night* Saturday
West North 500' 1000' 500' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 1000' 500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 1000' 1500' 1000' 1000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday * 1000'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday * 1000'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday * 1500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday 1000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 27, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.