Issued: 2:13 PM PST Thursday, January 11, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The Pacific Northwest is entering a short-duration, but extremely intense cold-air outbreak through the weekend. A deep upper low and surface high over Alberta Canada has spawned and pushed a modified arctic through northern Washington State that will continue to progress to around the Washington/Oregon border overnight. The passage of this front eases a period of gusty W (moderate to locally strong W or WNW winds) through the evening hours. Most areas of the central and southern Washington Cascades can expect less than 3" of additional snow in banded showers for areas south of Highway 2 during the evening hours before snow showers taper to flurries. Mt St Helens and Mt Adams could pick up 3-6". Plummeting temperatures will be the other major story with temperatures dropping below zero in many areas. Temperatures may rise only into the single digits or teens in many areas on Friday as cold NW flow continues. Increasing wind chills associated with strengthening E winds peak early Saturday. Expect the coldest temperatures and most dangerous windchills (-20 to -30F windchills) late Friday night and early Saturday. Winds and temperatures gradually start to ease as the day progresses but don't expect high temperatures to get out of the single digits in some areas. The coldest temperatures will be east of the Cascades.

Mt Hood will have quite different weather from Washington State with significant additional snowfall. Expect very heavy snow and strong to extreme WNW winds to be most intense on the east side of the mountain. Ridgeline winds and snow showers decrease into the moderate range by Friday. Steadier light to moderate snow increases Friday night with more moderate to heavy snow as a low approaches the Oregon coast on Saturday. Snowfall amounts through Saturday should be in the 1-2.5 ft range.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Decreasing light upslope snowfall for the northern Olympics. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Some low clouds or snow flurries early, then mostly sunny skies. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Mostly clear. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light snow showers ending early, then skies become mostly clear. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny with high clouds increasing late in the day.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds (locally strong near the Cascade Crest) become light to moderate. Bitterly cold.
Friday A few snow showers over Mt St Helens and Mt Adams with a mix of partly cloudy skies in the north and clouds in the south. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers or flurries. Decreasing light to moderate winds. Light W wind switching E at the Pass. Bitterly cold.
Friday Mostly sunny with high clouds increasing in the afternoon. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass increases in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers, with some risk of convergence in the early, then tapering to flurries. Decreasing light to moderate winds. Light W wind switching E at the Pass. Bitterly cold.
Friday Mostly sunny with high clouds increasing in the afternoon. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass becomes moderate in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Snow flurries in the evening ending with partially clearing skies. Extreme cold.
Friday Mostly clear. Extreme cold.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers. Bitterly cold. Moderate ridgeline winds become light to moderate.
Friday Mostly sunny. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers. Bitterly cold. Moderate ridgeline winds become light to moderate.
Friday Partly cloudy in the north with light snow flurries possible in the south. Bitterly cold. Light ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Very heavy snow. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds decrease slightly overnight.
Friday Moderate snow showers decrease in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline 1.50 0.25 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 1.50
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 500' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 1500' 1000' 500' 0 0 500' 500' 500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 0'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 0'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 500'
Friday Afternoon* 0'
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday Morning* 500'
Saturday Afternoon* 500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 13 / -3 9 / -3
West North 0 / -9 4 / -9
West Central 11 / -2 3 / -4
West South 18 / 5 14 / 4
Stevens Pass 13 / -7 -2 / -11
Snoqualmie Pass 16 / -2 0 / -6
East North -10 / -20 -11 / -21
East Central 13 / -3 -3 / -11
East South 16 / 8 6 / -5
Mt. Hood 22 / 18 20 / 13
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 13 / -3
Friday 9 / -3
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 0 / -9
Friday 4 / -9
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 11 / -2
Friday 3 / -4
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 18 / 5
Friday 14 / 4
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 13 / -7
Friday -2 / -11
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 16 / -2
Friday 0 / -6
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night -10 / -20
Friday -11 / -21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 13 / -3
Friday -3 / -11
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 16 / 8
Friday 6 / -5
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 18
Friday 20 / 13

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics NNW 0-10 N 0-10 NNE 0-10 E 0-10
West North NNE 5-15 NE 0-10 ENE 0-10 ENE 0-10
West Central WNW 5-15 W 0-10 SE 0-10 SE 0-10
West South WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 W 0-10 SSW 0-10
Stevens Pass WNW 10-20 W 0-10 SE 0-10 ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 15-25 WNW 5-15 SW 0-10 ESE 5-15
East North NNW 10-20 NNW 0-10 ESE 0-10 SE 0-10
East Central WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 W 5-15 W 0-10
East South WNW 20-30 W 15-25 WSW 5-15 WSW 0-10
Mt. Hood W 30-40 W 30-40 W 20-30 W 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NNW 0-10
Thursday Night N 0-10
Friday Morning NNE 0-10
Friday Afternoon E 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NNE 5-15
Thursday Night NE 0-10
Friday Morning ENE 0-10
Friday Afternoon ENE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night W 0-10
Friday Morning SE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SE 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night WNW 10-20
Friday Morning W 0-10
Friday Afternoon SSW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night W 0-10
Friday Morning SE 0-10
Friday Afternoon ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 0-10
Friday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NNW 10-20
Thursday Night NNW 0-10
Friday Morning ESE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SE 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night WNW 10-20
Friday Morning W 5-15
Friday Afternoon W 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 30-40
Thursday Night W 30-40
Friday Morning W 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

A low-pressure center moves onshore in western Oregon Saturday evening, bringing more widespread snowfall to the mountains of Oregon Saturday night along with somewhat moderating (but still unseasonably cold) temperatures. Snowfall should brush the mountains of southern Washington. A ridge builds offshore, bringing drier NW flow to our region behind the departing trough. Snowfall tapers to light showers overnight and then flurries by Sunday. Expect periods of moderate to strong E winds to be accompanied by sub-zero wind chills through the mountain gaps with very cold air lingering E of the Cascades even as temperatures further west moderate under the influence of the offshore ridge. Skies should be mostly sunny and clear Sunday through Monday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 0 500' 500' 500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday * 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 0'
Sunday Night* 0'
Monday * 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday * 500'
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday * 500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 11, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.