Issued: 2:13 PM PST Wednesday, January 3, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A more weather pattern continues to evolve heading toward the weekend with a general trend toward cooling. On Wednesday afternoon, a weak trough sits over the Pacific Northwest, with a band of heavier shower activity draped from Vancouver Island SSE to Mt Rainier delineating a shift from S to SW winds. Scattered showers and slightly cooler temperatures lie behind the modest frontal boundary. This package continues to impact the Cascades through the evening hours with light to moderate rain and snow showers. Expect elevations above 3000 ft to pick up 1-5" of snow. Low-level winds shift westerly, so the E slopes of the Cascades will not be favored this round.

A deep low over the Aleutian Islands is associated with an elongated frontal boundary moving into our region on Thursday. This will bring more stratiform precipitation that peaks in the mid to late morning hours for the Cascades. Very light E flow develops ahead of the front but switches back W late in the day with the frontal passage. This E flow likely holds off a sliver of a warm sector from changing Snoqualmie Pass level to rain until the cold frontal passage early in the afternoon. Expect decreasing showers for the west slopes of the Cascades, but locally moderate precipitation in convergence bands between Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes. Light rain/snow showers and weak convergence linger as temperatures cool Thursday night.


On Friday, expect SW winds to ramp up into the moderate range as precipitation arrives ahead of a stronger frontal boundary moving in from the NW as the front pivots toward the coastline. Precipitation will be mostly light to moderate on Friday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow showers decrease in the evening. Steadier light rain and snow develop overnight. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light rain and snow tapering to increasingly isolated showers from mid-morning onwards. Light to occasionally moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becomes showery in the afternoon. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becomes showery with convergence banding in the afternoon. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow showers decrease, then steadier light rain or snow develops in the early morning hours. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow in the morning (heaviest at Paradise), decreasing and becoming showery in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Light ridgeline winds. Light E winds switch W at the Pass during the evening hours.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow with convergence possible late in the day. Light ridgeline winds. Light W wind switches E early, then back to W late in the day.
Wednesday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds. Light E winds switch W at the Pass during the evening hours.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow possibly mixing with rain at pass level late in the day with convergence possible. SnowLight ridgeline winds. Light W wind switches E early, then back to W late in the day.
Wednesday Night Light snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light snow at times. Light ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light rain and snow at times. Light ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light rain and snow at times. Light ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0.50
White Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
West North 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
West Central 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2500'
West South 3500' 3000' 2500' 3500' 3500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
East North 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 1500' 500' 2000'
East Central 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 2000' 1000' 2500'
East South 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500' 3500' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3000' 3000' 4000' 4000' 3000' 2000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 27 31 / 25
West North 30 / 27 29 / 27
West Central 30 / 27 29 / 27
West South 30 / 27 31 / 26
Stevens Pass 30 / 26 30 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 27 30 / 26
East North 25 / 23 28 / 22
East Central 29 / 26 30 / 25
East South 28 / 27 32 / 26
Mt. Hood 30 / 28 32 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 31 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 29 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 29 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 31 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 26
Thursday 30 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 30 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 23
Thursday 28 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 26
Thursday 30 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 28 / 27
Thursday 32 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 28
Thursday 32 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 W 5-15
West North SSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
West Central SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SSW 5-15 WSW 5-15
West South SW 10-20 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 W 5-15 WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20
East North SW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20
East Central WSW 10-20 W 15-25 WSW 5-15 W 10-20
East South W 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 W 10-20
Mt. Hood WSW 20-30 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SSW 5-15
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 10-20
Wednesday Night SSW 5-15
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night WSW 5-15
Thursday Morning SSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 5-15
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 5-15
Wednesday Night W 5-15
Thursday Morning WSW 0-10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 15-25
Wednesday Night WSW 10-20
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night WSW 10-20
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 10-20
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 10-20
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 20-30
Wednesday Night WSW 15-25
Thursday Morning WSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

A major snowstorm unfolds as precipitation intensity ramps up Friday night, peaks Saturday morning, and then decreases in the afternoon following the cold frontal passage. Lighter snow showers continue into Saturday night as a cold trough settles into place. NW flow Saturday night and Sunday continues chances for light snow, particularly for the southern Cascades through Sunday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 2000' 1500' 500' 0
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1000' 500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 1500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 1500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday 500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 3, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.