Issued: 1:50 PM PST Thursday, December 28, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A storm passing well to our north continues to drag showers across the Olympics and West Slopes of the Cascades this afternoon. As the system finally exits this evening, we should see the bulk of these showers finally draw to a close. That doesn't mean we're going to dry out. 

Another low pressure will shift into position off the coast. While most precipitation should stay well offshore, a few showers will likely wander over the Olympics and southern Cascades Thursday night and Friday. The more significant impact will come from increasing winds. Areas near Hurrican Ridge and Mt Baker could experience moderate to strong and gusty S winds. Closer to the crest, E-SE winds will increase through the Passes. Expect most locations to see moderate to strong winds for at least the next 24 hours. 

With offshore flow and lingering low-level moisture in the Columbia River basin, a few light upslope showers may develop along the east slopes of the Cascades. Sadly, as temperatures rise, some of this moisture could fall as a wintery-mix or even rain at lower elevations.

The stalled cold front finally meanders inland on Saturday, bringing the best chance for precipitation in the forecast period. Snow levels slowly lower throughout the day as we see a modest shot of low-elevation rain and high-elevation snow. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light to moderate S winds increasing overnight.
Friday Cloudy with a few isolated showers possible. Moderate S winds.
Thursday Night Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a few stray showers possible. Moderate S winds becoming strong and gusty.
Friday Mostly cloudy to cloudy. A few sprinkles possible. Moderate SSE winds increasing and becoming gusty.
Thursday Night Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles possible. Moderate SE winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy to cloudy with a few sprinkles possible. Moderate SE winds.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. Moderate SE winds.
Friday Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate SE winds.
Thursday Night Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles possible. Light easterly flow. Moderate ESE ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy to cloudy with isolated showers possible. Light to moderate easterly flow. Moderate ESE ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers possible. Light E flow. Moderate ESE ridgeline winds.
Friday Becoming cloudy with a few isolated showers possible. Moderate E flow. Moderate ESE ridgeline winds increasing and becoming strong and gusty.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy with a few stray showers possible. Light upslope showers developing late in the night. Moderate S winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy to cloudy with light upslope showers possible. Moderate S winds turning SE.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. Light upslope showers developing late in the night. Moderate S winds turning SSE.
Friday Mostly cloudy to cloudy with light upslope showers possible. Moderate SSE winds.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with light upslope showers possible. Moderate SSE winds increasing and becoming gusty.
Friday Becoming cloudy with light upslope showers possible. Moderate to strong and gusty SSE winds.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers possible. Moderate S winds increasing and becoming SSE and gusty.
Friday Becoming cloudy with a few isolated showers possible. Moderate SSE winds turning S and increasing.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Timberline LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 5500' 6500' 7000' 7500' 6500' 6000' 5500' 5000'
West North 4500' 4000' 5000' 6500' 6500' 5500' 5000' 5000'
West Central 4500' 5000' 5500' 6500' 6000' 5500' 5000' 5000'
West South 4500' 5000' 5000' 6500' 4500' 4500' 5500' 5500'
Stevens Pass 4000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4500' 4500' 4000' 5500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 5500'
East North 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 4500'
East Central 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 5000'
East South 4500' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 5000'
Mt. Hood 6500' 7000' 7000' 5500' 5000' 5500' 5500' 5500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 5500'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning* 7000'
Friday Afternoon* 7500'
Friday Evening* 6500'
Friday Night* 6000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon 5000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 6500'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 5000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 5000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon 5500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 3500'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 5500'
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon 5500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 3500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 3500'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 5000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 4000'
Saturday Morning* 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning* 7000'
Friday Afternoon* 5500'
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon 5500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 36 / 32 40 / 33
West North 35 / 32 40 / 32
West Central 36 / 33 37 / 33
West South 38 / 32 39 / 33
Stevens Pass 34 / 30 36 / 31
Snoqualmie Pass 35 / 31 37 / 32
East North 31 / 27 35 / 29
East Central 36 / 30 38 / 31
East South 36 / 32 37 / 32
Mt. Hood 38 / 34 41 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 36 / 32
Friday 40 / 33
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 32
Friday 40 / 32
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 36 / 33
Friday 37 / 33
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 38 / 32
Friday 39 / 33
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 34 / 30
Friday 36 / 31
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 31
Friday 37 / 32
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 31 / 27
Friday 35 / 29
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 36 / 30
Friday 38 / 31
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 36 / 32
Friday 37 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 38 / 34
Friday 41 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics S 10-20 S 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25
West North S 15-25 S 20-30 SSE 15-25 SSE 20-30
West Central SE 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 15-25
West South SE 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 15-25
Stevens Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 20-30
East North S 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25 SE 15-25
East Central S 15-25 SSE 15-25 SSE 15-25 SSE 15-25
East South S 15-25 SSE 20-30 SSE 20-30 SSE 20-30
Mt. Hood S 15-25 SSE 20-30 SSE 15-25 S 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 10-20
Thursday Night S 15-25
Friday Morning S 15-25
Friday Afternoon S 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 20-30
Friday Morning SSE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSE 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SE 15-25
Friday Morning SE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SE 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 15-25
Thursday Night SE 15-25
Friday Morning SE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SE 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 15-25
Thursday Night ESE 15-25
Friday Morning ESE 15-25
Friday Afternoon ESE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening ESE 15-25
Thursday Night ESE 15-25
Friday Morning ESE 15-25
Friday Afternoon ESE 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 15-25
Friday Morning S 15-25
Friday Afternoon SE 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 15-25
Friday Morning SSE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SSE 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 20-30
Friday Morning SSE 20-30
Friday Afternoon SSE 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 20-30
Friday Morning SSE 15-25
Friday Afternoon S 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

Cold air finally arrives in full Saturday night, but snow levels only bottom out between 4000 and 5000 ft. Showers should slowly taper off, and we start to dry out by Sunday morning. At that point, the question becomes, "when will the sun make an appearance?" Skies should start to break in the afternoon, with periods of sunshine. However, pesky high clouds seem to persist well into Monday, and should keep us from fully breaking out of the clouds. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night* Monday *
West North 4500' 3500' 3000' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4500' 3500' 2500' 4500'
Mt. Hood 4500' 4000' 4500' 5500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 4500'
Sunday 3500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday * 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 4500'
Sunday 3500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday * 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 4500'
Sunday 4000'
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday * 5500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 28, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.