Issued: 2:26 PM PST Friday, December 22, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Update: Lowered Olympics wind forecast for this evening. 

A front pushed through the Cascades mid to late Friday morning causing a burst of heavier precipitation and ushering in colder air that lowered snow levels below many mountain trailheads. Light to moderate snow showers have filled in behind the front along with blustery W-NW winds in most locations.  A Puget Sound Convergence zone (PSCZ) is hard to distinguish on the current radar but should become more apparent later this afternoon and evening. Snoqualmie Pass will likely be the benefactor of slightly heavier snowfall totals if the PSCZ lines up over I-90 as predicted. 

Scattered showers including the PSCZ will wane overnight as well as strong WNW ridgeline winds.  An upper level ridge of high pressure will quickly move over the area tomorrow, leading to a dry and mostly benign weather day.  There should be some low clouds trapped near and west of the Cascade crest that are unlikely to completely clear out Saturday afternoon. Most other areas will see partly to mostly sunny skies with freezing levels reaching up to 3000-3500' along with light and variable winds.  

On Saturday night, offshore flow will increase and we'll see E-SE winds near and west of the Cascade crest ramp up in response.  A weak frontal band should reach the coast by sunset, and may spread some light rain or snow into the Olympics. Besides locally windy conditions, we should see a fair amount of cloud cover from the incoming system to close out the weekend. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers tapering off after midnight. Light to moderate ridgeline winds easing overnight.
Saturday Mostly to partly cloudy in the morning, then partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon with passing high clouds.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers becoming scattered overnight. Locally moderate ridgeline winds easing overnight.
Saturday Mostly cloudy in the morning with a chance of light snow showers, then partly sunny in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming scattered showers overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds easing overnight.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with isolated light snow showers, then partly sunny in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming scattered showers overnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing overnight.
Saturday Mostly cloudy in the morning with a chance of light snow showers, then partly sunny in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with light to moderate snow showers becoming scattered showers overnight. Moderate to strong WNW ridgeline and Pass level winds easing overnight.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with isolated light snow showers, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Light W winds at Pass level and ridgelines becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with light to moderate snow showers becoming scattered showers late. Moderate to strong WNW ridgeline and Pass level winds easing overnight.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with isolated light snow showers, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Light W winds at Pass level and ridgelines becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
Friday Night Scattered snow showers near the Cascade crest in the evening becoming partly cloudy late. Strong ridgeline winds easing overnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, then mostly sunny in the afternoon with passing high clouds.
Friday Night Scattered snow showers near the Cascade crest in the evening, heaviest downwind of Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy late. Strong ridgeline winds easing slowly overnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, then mostly sunny in the afternoon with passing high clouds.
Friday Night Scattered snow showers near the Cascade crest in the evening becoming partly cloudy late. Strong ridgeline winds easing slowly overnight.
Saturday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, then mostly sunny in the afternoon with passing high clouds.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming scattered showers overnight. Strong ridgeline winds easing overnight.
Saturday Mostly cloudy in the morning, then partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon with passing high clouds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0 0 0
Paradise LT 0.25 0 0 0
White Pass LT 0.25 0 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0 0 0
Timberline 0.25 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 4500' 6000' 4500' 3500'
West North 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500'
West Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
West South 2000' 1000' 1500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East North 2000' 0 1000' 3000' 1500' 500' 1000' 1500'
East Central 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000' 1500' 500' 1000' 1500'
East South 2000' 1000' 1500' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 3500' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 6000'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 22 / 19 27 / 20
West North 23 / 19 26 / 19
West Central 24 / 19 26 / 20
West South 23 / 19 28 / 19
Stevens Pass 23 / 19 26 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 23 / 19 26 / 19
East North 21 / 14 25 / 15
East Central 21 / 16 27 / 19
East South 23 / 18 28 / 20
Mt. Hood 25 / 20 28 / 21
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 22 / 19
Saturday 27 / 20
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 19
Saturday 26 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 19
Saturday 26 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 19
Saturday 28 / 19
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 19
Saturday 26 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 19
Saturday 26 / 19
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 14
Saturday 25 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 16
Saturday 27 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 18
Saturday 28 / 20
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 20
Saturday 28 / 21

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics WNW 10-20 WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15 VAR 0-10
West North WNW 10-20 W 5-15 W 0-10 VAR 0-10
West Central WNW 20-30 NW 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
West South WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
Stevens Pass WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 20-30 NW 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
East North WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
East Central WNW 20-30 NW 15-25 NW 10-20 VAR 0-10
East South WNW 20-30 NW 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
Mt. Hood WNW 25-35 NW 15-25 NW 5-15 SE 0-10
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 10-20
Friday Night WNW 5-15
Saturday Morning WNW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 10-20
Friday Night W 5-15
Saturday Morning W 0-10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night NW 10-20
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night WNW 10-20
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night WNW 10-20
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night NW 10-20
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night WNW 10-20
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night NW 15-25
Saturday Morning NW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 20-30
Friday Night NW 10-20
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 25-35
Friday Night NW 15-25
Saturday Morning NW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SE 0-10

Extended Weather Synopsis

Sunday night's frontal system will largely fizzle, bringing some light wintry precipitation to the area. If you were looking for a big snowstorm to unwrap on Christmas...that doesn't look to be in the cards this year.  A stronger Pacific frontal system offshore will glance the Olympics on Christmas Day but the bullseye of heavier precipitation likely headed north into Vancouver Island. That may not be the worst scenario since we're on the warm side of the jet stream. 

As the deep low pressure curls northward Monday night, it now looks likely the front will become more north-south oriented and stretch as it pushes inland Monday night and Tuesday. There should be strong cool easterly flow during the precipitation which will help keep snow levels in the Passes low at least initially.  Areas further west of the crest should see somewhat higher snow levels in this pattern.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday * Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 2000' 4500' 4500' 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 3000' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 5000' 6000' 5500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday * 4500'
Monday Night* 4500'
Tuesday * 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday * 3000'
Monday Night* 2500'
Tuesday * 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday * 5000'
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday * 5500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 22, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.