Issued: 1:59 PM PST Friday, December 15, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in for an unseasonably mild and dry weekend but not without some caveats of course. West of the Cascade crest, mountain temperatures are basking in the 40s with partly sunny skies. Low clouds mired along the east slopes of the Cascades are still passing though the Cascade Passes thanks to persistent low-level easterly flow. There are a few dents in the grayscape that fills in the gaps between the taller peaks but this low level moisture have been slow to breakup in a meaningful way. 

That should begin to change overnight as westerly flow and drier air begins to push east of the Cascade crest and easterly offshore flow gradients relax. On Saturday, Pass level flow should be stagnant or light westerly, helping to increase the odds of a breakout. Higher freezing levels should reach along the east slopes of the Cascades for the normally cooler spots in the region near and north of Hwy2.  A frontal band dipping south from British Columbia won't produce any weather for our area but will bring an uptick in alpine winds. If you're climbing to highest peaks over the weekend, you'll likely encounter strong west winds over the Washington Cascades. 

A cut-off upper level low off the California coast will float bands of high clouds over the area tonight through Sunday, leading to periods of filtered sunshine during the day.  This same weather feature will begin to shift closer on Sunday. We may see an increase in clouds later in the day but more likely we'll have another mild and partly sunny day with mid-mountain temperatures in the 40s and freezing levels in the 8,000-10,000' range. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Partly cloudy with occasional high clouds.
Saturday Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy with occasional high clouds except areas of low clouds near White Pass. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with low clouds near and east of the Pass. Light to moderate E-SE winds at Pass level and ridgeline easing overnight.
Saturday Patchy low clouds in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate W ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with low clouds near and east of the Pass. Light to moderate E-SE winds at Pass level and ridgeline easing overnight.
Saturday Patchy low clouds in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Moderate ridgeline W winds.
Friday Night Colder temperatures and low clouds lower slopes and valleys, otherwise partly cloudy upper slopes. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Patchy low clouds in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Colder temperatures and low clouds lower slopes and valleys, otherwise partly cloudy upper slopes. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Patchy low clouds in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Colder temperatures and low clouds lower slopes and valleys, otherwise partly cloudy upper slopes.
Saturday Patchy low clouds in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with high clouds.
Saturday Partly to mostly sunny with occasional high clouds. Periods of moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 8000' 8000' 8000' 8000' 9000' 9000' 9000' 10000'
West North 7000' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6500' 6500' 7500' 9000'
West Central 8000' 8000' 8000' 7500' 8000' 8000' 9000' 10000'
West South 9500' 9500' 9000' 9000' 10000' 10000' 10000' 10000'
Stevens Pass 7000' 8000' 8000' 7500' 9000' 9000' 10000' 10000'
Snoqualmie Pass 8500' 8500' 8500' 7500' 9000' 9000' 10000' 10000'
East North 2000' 5500' 5500' 7000' 5000' 2500' 6000' 9000'
East Central 8000' 8000' 8000' 7500' 8000' 8000' 9000' 10000'
East South 9000' 9000' 9000' 9000' 9000' 9000' 10000' 10000'
Mt. Hood 10000' 10000' 10000' 10000' 10000' 10000' 11000' 11000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 8000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning 8000'
Saturday Afternoon 8000'
Saturday Evening 9000'
Saturday Night* 9000'
Sunday Morning* 9000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 7000'
Saturday Morning 7000'
Saturday Afternoon 6500'
Saturday Evening 6500'
Saturday Night* 6500'
Sunday Morning* 7500'
Sunday Afternoon* 9000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 8000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning 8000'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Saturday Evening 8000'
Saturday Night* 8000'
Sunday Morning* 9000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 9500'
Friday Night* 9500'
Saturday Morning 9000'
Saturday Afternoon 9000'
Saturday Evening 10000'
Saturday Night* 10000'
Sunday Morning* 10000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning 8000'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Saturday Evening 9000'
Saturday Night* 9000'
Sunday Morning* 10000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 8500'
Friday Night* 8500'
Saturday Morning 8500'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Saturday Evening 9000'
Saturday Night* 9000'
Sunday Morning* 10000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 5500'
Saturday Morning 5500'
Saturday Afternoon 7000'
Saturday Evening 5000'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 6000'
Sunday Afternoon* 9000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 8000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning 8000'
Saturday Afternoon 7500'
Saturday Evening 8000'
Saturday Night* 8000'
Sunday Morning* 9000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 9000'
Saturday Morning 9000'
Saturday Afternoon 9000'
Saturday Evening 9000'
Saturday Night* 9000'
Sunday Morning* 10000'
Sunday Afternoon* 10000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 10000'
Friday Night* 10000'
Saturday Morning 10000'
Saturday Afternoon 10000'
Saturday Evening 10000'
Saturday Night* 10000'
Sunday Morning* 11000'
Sunday Afternoon* 11000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 37 / 35 41 / 35
West North 36 / 32 38 / 32
West Central 35 / 34 39 / 33
West South 38 / 36 43 / 35
Stevens Pass 34 / 28 42 / 33
Snoqualmie Pass 35 / 30 39 / 33
East North 32 / 26 40 / 31
East Central 37 / 30 42 / 35
East South 38 / 31 45 / 38
Mt. Hood 40 / 35 48 / 39
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 37 / 35
Saturday 41 / 35
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 36 / 32
Saturday 38 / 32
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 35 / 34
Saturday 39 / 33
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 38 / 36
Saturday 43 / 35
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 28
Saturday 42 / 33
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 35 / 30
Saturday 39 / 33
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 26
Saturday 40 / 31
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 37 / 30
Saturday 42 / 35
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 38 / 31
Saturday 45 / 38
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 40 / 35
Saturday 48 / 39

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
West North SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 WSW 5-15
West Central S 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 5-15
West South S 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass SSE 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SSE 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 10-20
East North SSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 15-25
East Central SW 5-15 W 15-25 W 15-25 W 15-25
East South SSW 5-15 W 5-15 W 15-25 W 10-20
Mt. Hood SW 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 5-15
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 10-20
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 5-15
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night W 5-15
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The upper low becomes an open trough Sunday night and begins to eject increasing amounts of moisture and cloud cover toward our area through early next week.  The details of these systems are notoriously difficult to pin down. Here are some general ideas to expect from Sunday night through mid-week; falling snow levels, an increase in E-SE ridgeline winds, higher precipitation totals near the Cascade crest but especially over the Olympics, and the potential for mixed precipitation including freezing near and east of the Cascade Passes. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday * Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 8000' 8000' 6000' 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass 9000' 8000' 3500' 5000'
Mt. Hood 10000' 7500' 7000' 6500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 8000'
Monday * 8000'
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday * 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 9000'
Monday * 8000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday * 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 10000'
Monday * 7500'
Monday Night* 7000'
Tuesday * 6500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 15, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.