Issued: 4:49 PM PST Friday, December 8, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

450pm Update: Adjusted precipitation forecasts for most sites and included a chance of freezing rain Sat night/Sun morning in the discussion. 

It's the calm before another wet and increasingly warm storm plows into our region over the weekend.  High clouds from the developing system will spread inland tonight. Offshore gradients will crank up as well, meaning we can expect breezy easterly winds through the major Cascade gaps.  

This is a weak atmospheric river with copious amounts of moisture but should produce less precipitation than last week's multi-day event. Light snow will move into the Olympics mid-morning and then should begin along the west slopes of the Cascades by late morning and the east slopes of the Cascades closer to mid-day. We can expect snow through Saturday afternoon at most major trailheads but a warming trend will make itself felt on the fringes of our forecast area with snow levels climbing to 3000-4000' for the Olympics and Mt.Hood.  Snowfall rates and S-SE winds will quickly ramp up in the afternoon, piling up several inches of new snow before sunset.

The heaviest precipitation rates and strongest winds should occur Saturday night through Sunday morning as the moisture plume takes aim at the region. Snow levels will push higher Saturday night. Cool easterly flow and cold air along the east slopes of the Cascades will keep snow levels lower, prolonging a switchover to rain at lower/mid elevations until late Saturday night or Sunday morning depending on location. There is a chance for freezing rain for the Passes and for lower elevations along the East slopes of the Cascades during this transition but this does not look like a significant icing event. Most forecast models suggest the central/south WA Cascades and Mt Hood will receive the most precipitation over the weekend. Heavier precipitation should begin to ease off from north to south on Sunday as the moisture tap shifts south into Oregon.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Partly cloudy early, becoming cloudy with increasing high clouds late evening.
Saturday Light rain and snow increasing during the morning and becoming light to moderate. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing late in the morning, then becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing late in the morning, then becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during the morning, then becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight. Moderate east Pass level winds developing after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during the morning, then becoming light to moderate in the afternoon. Moderate ESE Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight. Moderate east Pass level winds developing after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during the morning, then becoming moderate in the afternoon. Moderate ESE Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during around mid-day, then becoming light to moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during around mid-day, then becoming light to moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate to strong in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, becoming cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during late morning, then becoming light to moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with increasing high clouds after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light snow developing during around mid-day, then becoming light to moderate in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds increasing and becoming moderate to strong in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 1.00 0.50
Paradise 0 0.50 - 0.75 2.00 - 2.50 1.00
White Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 1.50 - 2.00
Timberline 0 0.25 - 0.50 2.00 - 2.50 2.00 - 2.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Sunday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday 1.50 - 2.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Sunday 2.00 - 2.50

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 2000' 2500' 3500' 6000' 7000' 7000' 6500'
West North 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 5000' 6000'
West Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 5000' 6000'
West South 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 4000' 5000' 5500' 6500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 3500' 4000' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 3500' 6000' 6500'
East North 2000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 3000' 4500'
East Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 3000' 4000' 5000'
East South 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 6500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2500' 4000' 6500' 7500' 7500' 7000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday Morning* 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 5500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 6000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 4000'
Saturday Evening* 6500'
Saturday Night* 7500'
Sunday Morning* 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 24 / 21 30 / 25
West North 24 / 20 29 / 24
West Central 24 / 20 29 / 23
West South 24 / 21 30 / 23
Stevens Pass 24 / 20 26 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 20 26 / 23
East North 20 / 15 23 / 17
East Central 22 / 18 25 / 19
East South 24 / 19 28 / 21
Mt. Hood 24 / 21 32 / 22
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 21
Saturday 30 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 20
Saturday 29 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 20
Saturday 29 / 23
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 21
Saturday 30 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 20
Saturday 26 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 20
Saturday 26 / 23
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 20 / 15
Saturday 23 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 22 / 18
Saturday 25 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 19
Saturday 28 / 21
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 21
Saturday 32 / 22

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics S 0-10 S 5-15 S 20-30 SW 30-40
West North S 0-10 S 5-15 S 20-30 S 25-35
West Central VAR 0-10 S 0-10 SSE 10-20 S 20-30
West South VAR 0-10 SSE 5-15 SSE 15-25 S 20-30
Stevens Pass VAR 0-10 SE 0-10 SE 10-20 SSE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass NW 0-10 SE 5-15 SE 20-30 SSE 15-25
East North VAR 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25
East Central NW 0-10 S 5-15 S 15-25 S 20-30
East South NW 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25
Mt. Hood VAR 0-10 SSE 5-15 S 10-20 SSW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SW 30-40
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 20-30
Saturday Afternoon S 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening VAR 0-10
Friday Night S 0-10
Saturday Morning SSE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon S 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening VAR 0-10
Friday Night SSE 5-15
Saturday Morning SSE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon S 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening VAR 0-10
Friday Night SE 0-10
Saturday Morning SE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSE 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening NW 0-10
Friday Night SE 5-15
Saturday Morning SE 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SSE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening VAR 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 10-20
Saturday Afternoon S 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening NW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 15-25
Saturday Afternoon S 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening NW 0-10
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 10-20
Saturday Afternoon S 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening VAR 0-10
Friday Night SSE 5-15
Saturday Morning S 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

We'll see weak upper level troughing Sunday night and Monday with a subtle cool down, mostly cloudy skies and showers.  Strong upper-level ridging will build offshore Tuesday leading to a dry day with rising freezing levels west of the Cascade crest. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 5000' 4500' 4000' 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 4500' 4000' 4500'
Mt. Hood 7000' 5500' 4000' 4500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 5000'
Monday 4500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday * 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 6000'
Monday 4500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday * 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 7000'
Monday 5500'
Monday Night* 4000'
Tuesday * 4500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 8, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.