Issued: 5:31 PM PST Thursday, December 7, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

530pm Update: Increased most precipitation forecasts for tonight. 

An upper-level trough will deliver a quick shot of snowfall this afternoon and overnight as it traverses the Cascades. Snow levels will fall from 2000-3000' to 1000-2000' overnight. The west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood stand to pick up an additional 4-8" through tomorrow morning with the highest totals likely between the Mt Loop and Snoqualmie Pass thanks to a Puget Sound Convergence zone that forms this afternoon.  A burst of strong W then WNW winds will accompany this system, with the strongest winds from the Hwy 2 corridor and south to Mt Hood through Friday morning.  

Scattered showers and perhaps the remnants of a convergence zone will linger along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood through the morning hours.  A strong ridge of high pressure will quickly move into our near coastal waters during the afternoon. While this will lead to a drying trend, look for ample low clouds along the west slopes of the Cascades and near the Passes with sunny skies to the east. 

We'll see high clouds increase Friday night as a potent storm approaches the region. Snow will spread inland during the day as the storm approaches and increase later in the day. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers, becoming isolated after midnight.
Friday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly sunny in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers, becoming scattered showers in the evening. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds tapering down overnight.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning. Partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Moderate snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered late. More intense showers likely near a convergence zone overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning. Showers ending and partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Strong winds in the morning tapering down during the day.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow showers in the evening becoming scattered showers late. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning. Showers ending and partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Strong winds in the morning tapering down during the day.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered showers late. More intense showers likely near a convergence zone overnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning. Showers ending and partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Strong winds in the morning tapering down during the day.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered showers late. More intense showers likely near a convergence zone overnight.Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning. Showers ending and partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Strong winds in the morning tapering down during the day.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers near the crest in the evening becoming scattered showers late. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds easing during the day.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers near the crest in the evening becoming scattered showers late. Heavier snow showers downwind of a convergence zone near the Cascade crest. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds easing during the day.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers near the crest in the evening becoming scattered showers late. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds easing during the day.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning. Showers ending and partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Strong winds in the morning tapering down during the day.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 0 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.50 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.50 LT 0.25 0 0.25
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.25
Timberline 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 3500' 3500'
West North 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 1500'
West Central 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1500'
West South 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500'
East North 2000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1000' 1000'
East Central 2000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1000' 1000'
East South 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 23 / 20 25 / 19
West North 22 / 19 24 / 19
West Central 23 / 20 24 / 19
West South 23 / 17 25 / 18
Stevens Pass 23 / 21 24 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 21 24 / 21
East North 23 / 16 24 / 16
East Central 24 / 19 24 / 18
East South 23 / 19 25 / 19
Mt. Hood 25 / 23 26 / 21
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 20
Friday 25 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 19
Friday 24 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 20
Friday 24 / 19
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 17
Friday 25 / 18
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 21
Friday 24 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 21
Friday 24 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 16
Friday 24 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 19
Friday 24 / 18
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 19
Friday 25 / 19
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 23
Friday 26 / 21

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics W 15-25 W 10-20 WNW 5-15 WNW 0-10
West North W 10-20 W 5-15 W 5-15 WNW 0-10
West Central W 10-20 W 10-20 WNW 10-20 NW 5-15
West South W 20-30 W 20-30 W 10-20 WNW 5-15
Stevens Pass W 15-25 WNW 15-25 W 10-20 NW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass W 20-30 WNW 20-30 W 15-25 NW 10-20
East North WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25 NW 5-15
East Central WNW 20-30 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25 NW 15-25
East South WNW 20-30 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20
Mt. Hood W 25-35 WNW 25-35 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning WNW 5-15
Friday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 5-15
Friday Morning W 5-15
Friday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning WNW 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 20-30
Thursday Night W 20-30
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WNW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 20-30
Thursday Night WNW 20-30
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon NW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning WNW 15-25
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night WNW 20-30
Friday Morning WNW 15-25
Friday Afternoon NW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night WNW 20-30
Friday Morning WNW 15-25
Friday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night WNW 25-35
Friday Morning WNW 20-30
Friday Afternoon WNW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The system slams into the region Saturday night and Sunday along with plenty of wind and rising snow levels. Many low and mid-elevation trailheads will see a transition to rain late Saturday night or Sunday morning, with the east slopes of the Cascades likely taking longer to moderate well into the day on Sunday. While this system may drop 1-3" of water (with a mix of precipitation types), this system won't be as warm or as prolonged as our atmospheric river last week. Forecast models disagree on exactly how this system ends before we dry out. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night Monday
West North 3500' 5000' 5000' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 6000' 5500' 4500'
Mt. Hood 6000' 7000' 6000' 5500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday * 5000'
Sunday Night 5000'
Monday 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday * 6000'
Sunday Night 5500'
Monday 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 6000'
Sunday * 7000'
Sunday Night 6000'
Monday 5500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 7, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.