Issued: 7:08 AM PST Tuesday, December 5, 2023
by Matt Primomo

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

An atmospheric river that peaked in the strong category early this morning continues to send copious amounts of precipitation into the region. Precipitation rates reached 0.5"/hr in the North Cascades last night (Bolt Creek) and Mt Baker picked up just shy of 4.0" of water in a 12hr period. Snow levels have also peaked in the 8,500-10,000ft range.

Today wind speeds generally ratchet back down and we'll see precipitation rates slow comparatively. The orientation of the flow shifts ever so slightly to be SSW'ly, putting the southern Washington Volcanoes in the cross hairs and keeps all of the western Washington Cascades in the action. As the main current notches west the passes might be on the edge of the heavier precipitation later. Expect lighter and more showery rain for the eastern Cascades and other areas in the lee by afternoon. 

Cooler air filters in slowly from the NW behind the main flow as the front inches east tonight. We'll see gradually lowering snow levels from this afternoon through the day on Wednesday.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Light to moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Night Light rain showers.
Tuesday Moderate to heavy rain showers. Strong ridgeline winds in the morning.
Tuesday Night Moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Moderate to heavy rain.
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy rain.
Tuesday Heavy rain on SW slopes of the volcanoes, moderate rain showers at Crystal and White Pass. Strong winds on exposed ridgelines.
Tuesday Night Moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Night Light to moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Moderate to heavy rain showers. Strong winds in the morning.
Tuesday Night Light to moderate showers.
Tuesday Moderate rain. Decreasing ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Light to moderate rain with high elevation snow.
Tuesday Moderate rain with strong winds in areas like Mission Ridge.
Tuesday Night Light rain showers.
Tuesday Light to moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Night Light to moderate rain showers.
Tuesday Moderate to heavy rain showers at times. Strong winds.
Tuesday Night Light to moderate rain showers. Strong winds.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.50
Stevens Pass 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise 2.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00
White Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 1.50 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 - 2.00
Timberline 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 - 2.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.50 - 2.00
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.00
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.50
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.00
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 2.00
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.00
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.50 - 2.00
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 1.50 - 2.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 1.50 - 2.00

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics 7500' 7000' 7000' 6500' 4500' 4500'
West North 7500' 7000' 6000' 5000' 5000' 4500'
West Central 7500' 7500' 6000' 5500' 5000' 4500'
West South 8500' 8000' 7500' 7000' 6000' 5000'
Stevens Pass 8000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6000' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 8000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6000' 4500'
East North 7000' 6500' 6000' 5500' 5500' 5000'
East Central 8000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6000' 5000'
East South 9000' 8000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 5500'
Mt. Hood 9500' 9000' 8500' 7500' 6500' 5500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 7500'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 6500'
Wednesday Morning 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 7500'
Tuesday Afternoon 7000'
Tuesday Evening 6000'
Tuesday Night 5000'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 7500'
Tuesday Afternoon 7500'
Tuesday Evening 6000'
Tuesday Night 5500'
Wednesday Morning 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 8500'
Tuesday Afternoon 8000'
Tuesday Evening 7500'
Tuesday Night 7000'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 8000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7500'
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 6500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 8000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7500'
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 6500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 7000'
Tuesday Afternoon 6500'
Tuesday Evening 6000'
Tuesday Night 5500'
Wednesday Morning 5500'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 8000'
Tuesday Afternoon 7500'
Tuesday Evening 7000'
Tuesday Night 6500'
Wednesday Morning 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 9000'
Tuesday Afternoon 8000'
Tuesday Evening 7500'
Tuesday Night 7000'
Wednesday Morning 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 9500'
Tuesday Afternoon 9000'
Tuesday Evening 8500'
Tuesday Night 7500'
Wednesday Morning 6500'
Wednesday Afternoon 5500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Tuesday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 37 / 36 33 / 28
West North 39 / 37 34 / 29
West Central 42 / 38 38 / 33
West South 41 / 40 40 / 36
Stevens Pass 41 / 40 38 / 33
Snoqualmie Pass 41 / 40 38 / 33
East North 39 / 36 36 / 33
East Central 40 / 40 38 / 35
East South 42 / 41 40 / 36
Mt. Hood 43 / 41 41 / 37
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 37 / 36
Tuesday Night 33 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 39 / 37
Tuesday Night 34 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 42 / 38
Tuesday Night 38 / 33
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 41 / 40
Tuesday Night 40 / 36
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 41 / 40
Tuesday Night 38 / 33
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 41 / 40
Tuesday Night 38 / 33
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 39 / 36
Tuesday Night 36 / 33
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 40 / 40
Tuesday Night 38 / 35
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 42 / 41
Tuesday Night 40 / 36
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 43 / 41
Tuesday Night 41 / 37

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night
Olympics SW 15-25 SW 5-15 WSW 0-10 ENE 0-10
West North SSW 25-35 SW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 0-10
West Central SW 20-30 SSW 15-25 SW 5-15 SSW 0-10
West South SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass WSW 15-25 SSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 20-30 S 15-25 WSW 5-15 SSW 0-10
East North SW 20-30 SSW 15-25 SSW 5-15 SW 0-10
East Central WSW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 10-20
East South SW 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 5-15
Mt. Hood SW 35-50 SW 35-50 SW 30-40 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SW 5-15
Tuesday Evening WSW 0-10
Tuesday Night ENE 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 25-35
Tuesday Afternoon SW 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SSW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 5-15
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SSW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon S 15-25
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night SSW 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SSW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon SW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 35-50
Tuesday Afternoon SW 35-50
Tuesday Evening SW 30-40
Tuesday Night SW 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 4, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.