Issued: 3:31 PM PST Friday, December 1, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Forecast adjusted 3:30 PM to clarify the timing of Friday night's frontal system.

Snow continues to stack up across the area as rapidly moving cold storms impact the region through Saturday night. Friday's post-frontal snow showers continue through the evening hours with cold air remaining in place (although a very gradual warming trend continues). The arrival of a stronger system late Friday night and through Saturday morning will produce the heaviest snowfall across the region with this storm cycle. A period of moderate or strong SSW winds accompanies the system before winds shift back westerly and snowfall rates gradually decrease. These westerly winds continue to buffet the E slopes of the Cascades and mountain gaps through the afternoon hours.

The weather pattern takes a more significant turn late Saturday night as a warm front brings copious moisture and rising snow levels. Expect a transition from snow to rain at most trailheads by Sunday evening, except for Washington Pass. The transition from snow to rain will be messy (freezing rain or sleet possible) as a period of E flow undercuts the warming aloft Sunday morning. Warming should continue in most areas through the end of the day. By late Sunday, mountain areas should see 1-2 feet of snow before this changeover. Liquid water amounts are also very impressive, particularly south of I-90.

 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Steady snowfall re-develops in the early evening and becomes heavy overnight. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds may become strong at times.
Saturday Moderate snow showers will be locally heavy at times and decrease in frequency throughout the day. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Increasing heavy snowfall re-develops by the late evening hours and peaks in the early morning hours. Ridgeline winds become moderate to strong overnight.
Saturday Heavy snow early becomes moderate and showery by mid-morning. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate snow becoming heavy. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Heavy snow early becomes moderate and showery by mid-morning. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Increasing moderate to heavy snow (heaviest at Paradise) peaks in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Heavy snow tapers to moderate showers by the afternoon. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Friday Night Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds. Light W winds switch E in the early morning hours at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy snow. Convergence maintains periods of heavy snowfall through the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds. Light to occasionally moderate W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds. Light to moderate W winds switch E in the early morning hours at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy snow in the morning. Convergence may maintain periods of heavy snowfall through the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds. Light to occasionally moderate W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Increasing light to moderate snow. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Decreasing moderate snow showers. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate snow showers transition to moderate to heavy snow in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Heavy snowfall tapers to moderate snow showers which may become light by the afternoon.
Friday Night Moderate snow showers transition to moderate to heavy snow in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Heavy snowfall tapers to moderate snow showers which may become light by the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing moderate to heavy snow. Increasing strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Very heavy snow in the morning becomes moderate snow showers by the afternoon. Extreme ridgeline winds decrease into the strong range.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 LT 0.25 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 1.00
Stevens Pass 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.25 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25 1.50
Crystal Mt 0.75 0.75 LT 0.25 1.00
Paradise 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 2.50
White Pass 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0.75
Mission Ridge 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.25 1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 0.75 LT 0.25 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 2.00
Timberline 0.75 1.00 0.75 2.00 - 2.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 1.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 1.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 1.00
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 2.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 2.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 2.00 - 2.50

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night* Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 6500' 7000'
West North 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 5000'
West Central 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 3500' 6000'
West South 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 5000' 6500'
Stevens Pass 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 6000'
East North 1500' 500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 500' 1500' 3000'
East Central 2000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 2500' 4500'
East South 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 5000' 7000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3500' 4000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 7500' 7500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 31 / 26 27 / 25
West North 27 / 25 28 / 24
West Central 28 / 26 29 / 25
West South 29 / 26 29 / 26
Stevens Pass 28 / 26 29 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 28 / 26 29 / 26
East North 24 / 20 26 / 21
East Central 28 / 26 27 / 25
East South 30 / 26 31 / 25
Mt. Hood 31 / 29 32 / 28
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 31 / 26
Saturday 27 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 27 / 25
Saturday 28 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 26
Saturday 29 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 26
Saturday 29 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 26
Saturday 29 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 26
Saturday 29 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 24 / 20
Saturday 26 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 26
Saturday 27 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 26
Saturday 31 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 31 / 29
Saturday 32 / 28

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 15-25 SW 25-35 W 20-30 WSW 10-20
West North SW 10-20 SSW 25-35 SW 15-25 WSW 10-20
West Central WSW 10-20 SW 20-30 W 15-25 W 20-30
West South WSW 10-20 SW 20-30 W 25-35 W 15-25
Stevens Pass WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 W 20-30 W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass W 15-25 SW 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30
East North WSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 25-35
East Central W 20-30 SW 15-25 W 25-35 W 25-35
East South W 15-25 SW 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35
Mt. Hood WSW 25-35 SW 30-40 W 35-50 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 25-35
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 25-35
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 15-25
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 20-30
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 15-25
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night SW 30-40
Saturday Morning W 35-50
Saturday Afternoon W 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

A cold front brings some cooling Sunday evening with snow levels dropping below trailhead elevations from Stevens Pass northward, but the moisture feed has ended. Another strong warm front arrives on Monday with increasing rain, high-elevation snow, and warming. The bulk of the precipitation with the atmospheric river arrives as the cold front drifts ESE Monday night and Tuesday with heavy rain rates as the front drags slowly across the region.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday * Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 3000' 3500' 7500' 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4000' 4500' 8500' 8000'
Mt. Hood 7000' 8000' 9500' 9000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday * 3500'
Monday Night* 7500'
Tuesday * 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 4000'
Monday * 4500'
Monday Night* 8500'
Tuesday * 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 7000'
Monday * 8000'
Monday Night* 9500'
Tuesday * 9000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 1, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.