Issued: 2:09 PM PST Tuesday, November 28, 2023
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in for a few more days of tranquil late November weather before we transition to a much wetter and active weather pattern. It's worth noting the impressive temperature inversions with cold air trapped in valleys or being funneled through the Cascade Passes (along with low clouds) with a moderate easterly wind. Both the Washington Pass and White Pass stations showed a 20-25F spread in base versus upper mountain temperatures today over about 1300' in elevation - impressive! 

Upper-level ridging will give way to a weak but dry trough on Wednesday but the resulting weather will be very much the same; dry weather with low clouds persisting along the east slopes of the Cascades and in the vicinity of the Cascade Passes with milder temperatures further west and at mid-elevations. Ridgeline winds will be light. 

An approaching frontal system will spread high clouds over the area Wednesday night with perhaps a few snowflakes reaching the Olympics and Mt Hood area. The frontal system will pass through on Thursday, weakening as it crosses the Cascades.  A trace to a few inches of snow is possible by sunset on Thursday. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Mostly clear. A few passing high clouds.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear. A few passing high clouds.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear. A few passing high clouds.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear. A few passing high clouds. Low clouds lower slopes near White Pass.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Low clouds lower slopes near White Pass.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear mid and upper slopes with a few passing high clouds. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog near and east of the Pass. Light to moderate east winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear mid and upper slopes with a few passing high clouds. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog near and east of the Pass. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear mid and upper slopes with a few passing high clouds. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear mid and upper slopes with a few passing high clouds. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear mid and upper slopes with a few passing high clouds. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Low clouds lower slopes and valley fog.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0 0 LT 0.25
White Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Timberline 0 0 0 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 6000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West North 5500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
West Central 5500' 4500' 4500' 4500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
West South 6500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 4000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 4000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
East North 3000' 1000' 2500' 4500' 2500' 1000' 1000' 1500'
East Central 3500' 2000' 2500' 4000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1500'
East South 6000' 3000' 3500' 5000' 3000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Mt. Hood 7000' 6500' 6000' 5500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6500'
Tuesday Night* 5000'
Wednesday Morning* 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6500'
Tuesday Night* 5000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 7000'
Tuesday Night* 6500'
Wednesday Morning* 6000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 4500'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 39 / 32 35 / 29
West North 39 / 31 35 / 28
West Central 38 / 31 34 / 28
West South 38 / 31 34 / 24
Stevens Pass 27 / 18 33 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 34 / 24 35 / 26
East North 20 / 10 33 / 19
East Central 24 / 15 32 / 21
East South 26 / 18 33 / 24
Mt. Hood 44 / 34 37 / 32
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 39 / 32
Wednesday 35 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 39 / 31
Wednesday 35 / 28
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 31
Wednesday 34 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 31
Wednesday 34 / 24
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 18
Wednesday 33 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 24
Wednesday 35 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 10
Wednesday 33 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 24 / 15
Wednesday 32 / 21
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 26 / 18
Wednesday 33 / 24
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 44 / 34
Wednesday 37 / 32

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics SW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 0-10
West North SW 0-10 W 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10
West Central SW 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10 SW 0-10
West South W 0-10 W 5-15 W 0-10 SW 0-10
Stevens Pass E 0-10 E 0-10 E 0-10 W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass W 0-10 E 0-10 E 0-10 W 0-10
East North W 5-15 SW 0-10 W 0-10 SW 0-10
East Central W 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 0-10
East South SW 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 SW 0-10
Mt. Hood W 0-10 W 5-15 W 5-15 SW 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 0-10
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
Wednesday Morning SW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 0-10
Tuesday Night W 0-10
Wednesday Morning WSW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 0-10
Tuesday Night W 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening E 0-10
Tuesday Night E 0-10
Wednesday Morning E 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night E 0-10
Wednesday Morning E 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 0-10
Tuesday Night WSW 0-10
Wednesday Morning WSW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

Thursday's system will be the appetizer with the main dish of stormy weather served over the next week. A pair of fast-moving frontal systems Friday and Friday night will bring much needed snow to our mountains.  The timing of the transition to post-frontal showers on Saturday is a bit unclear, but the end result will be a snowy start to the weekend with snow levels generally in the 2500-3500' range. 1 to 2+ feet of snow by Saturday afternoon looks like a good bet.  

We'll see a stormy end to the weekend as well, but forecast models are leaning towards an even wetter and milder pattern for early next week. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday * Friday Night Saturday
West North 2000' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 4000' 3500' 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday * 2500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday * 2000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday * 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 27, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.