Issued: 2:30 PM PDT Thursday, March 30, 2023
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in for a pretty big change in the weather overnight and into Friday as the jet stream begins to focus on the Pacific Northwest. Increasing onshore flow will combine with low-level moisture Thursday night to wring out a few showers along the west slopes of the Cascades and Olympics. This first round of precipitation doesn't look that impressive, but it's just a precursor of what's to come. 

As we head into Friday, an approaching storm system will cause showers and winds to steadily increase through the day. As a result, you should see the bulk of the rain and snow in the afternoon. Moderate to strong and gusty prefrontal winds will be out of the S-SW. This generally favors the volcanoes, with the greatest precipitation falling near Mt Baker and Mt St Helens. Without much to help the showers move over the Cascades, most of the precipitation hangs up near the crest, and little if any snow makes it further east. 

A stout cold front passes over the region Friday night. This will produce the stormiest weather as gusty winds and periods of heavy rain/snow impact the mountains. This includes the best chance of precipitation to spill over to sites along the east slopes of the Cascades. Behind the front, snow levels should fall to around 1500ft by Saturday morning. 

This storm isn't done yet. Several factors will combine on Satruday to keep the showers piling up snow in the mountains: strong westerly winds, significant low-level moisture, an unstable atmosphere, and a convergence zone. One unique factor on Satruday could be the presence of thunder snow (winter thunderstorm). At the very least, you're likely to encounter convective showers with locally heavy snowfall, graupel, and gusty winds. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Cloudy with isolated showers. SW winds becoming light to moderate.
Friday Cloudy with showers increasing throughout the day. Moderate to strong S winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered showers. SSW winds becoming light to moderate.
Friday Cloudy with showers increasing throughout the day. Moderate SSW winds becoming strong and gust.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scatter showers. W winds turning SW and becoming light to moderate.
Friday Cloudy with showers increasing throughout the day. Moderate SSW winds increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with scattered showers heaviest near Mt St Helens and Mt Rainier. Moderate W winds increasing slightly overnight.
Friday Cloudy with showers increasing during the day. Heaviest on the volcanoes. Moderate to strong and gusty SW winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light to moderate W winds.
Friday Cloudy with showers increasing during the day. Moderate W winds turning SW.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light to moderate W winds increasing slightly.
Friday Cloudy with showers increasing during the day. Moderate to strong W winds turning SW.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles possible near the crest.
Friday Cloudy with a few isolated showers in the afternoon, heaviest near the crest. W winds turning SW and becoming moderate.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers near the crest. W winds becoming light to moderate.
Friday Cloudy with scattered showers. Heaviest near the crest. Moderate to strong W winds turning SW.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with a few very isolated showers near the crest. Moderate W winds.
Friday Cloudy with scattered showers increasing near the crest. Moderate to strong and gusty W winds turning SW.
Thursday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate W winds becoming strong.
Friday Cloudy with increasing showers. Strong and gusty WSW winds turning SW and increasing.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.75 0.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 0.50 0.75 0.50
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.25 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline LT 0.25 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening* Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 1000' 1500'
West North 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1500'
West Central 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
West South 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
East North 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500'
East Central 3000' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
East South 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 33 / 26 32 / 26
West North 34 / 29 32 / 29
West Central 32 / 28 32 / 28
West South 30 / 25 31 / 24
Stevens Pass 29 / 24 28 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 28 / 24 28 / 24
East North 28 / 23 26 / 21
East Central 31 / 26 31 / 26
East South 29 / 22 32 / 25
Mt. Hood 29 / 25 29 / 26
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 26
Friday 32 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 34 / 29
Friday 32 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 32 / 28
Friday 32 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 25
Friday 31 / 24
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 24
Friday 28 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 24
Friday 28 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 23
Friday 26 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 31 / 26
Friday 31 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 22
Friday 32 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 25
Friday 29 / 26

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
West North SW 5-15 SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 20-30
West Central SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
West South W 10-20 W 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass W 10-20 W 10-20 W 15-25 SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 SW 20-30
East North W 5-15 W 5-15 W 10-20 SW 15-25
East Central W 5-15 W 10-20 W 20-30 SW 20-30
East South W 15-25 W 15-25 W 20-30 SW 25-35
Mt. Hood W 15-25 W 20-30 WSW 30-40 SW 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SSW 15-25
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 5-15
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning SW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning W 20-30
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night W 5-15
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 20-30
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning W 20-30
Friday Afternoon SW 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 20-30
Friday Morning WSW 30-40
Friday Afternoon SW 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

Our active weather pattern continues throughout the weekend and into the beginning of next week. An open through will set up over the Pacific Northwest, bringing us generally cold and wet conditions. A series of ill-defined shortwave disturbances swing over the region Saturday night and Sunday evening. Each of these storms should reinvigorate precipitation activity across the mountains. During breaks in the storms, you may see a bit of sunshine or a glimpse of some stars, but these windows appear shortlived. It's hard to say if or when additional waves of precipitation will arrive, but the general pattern appears to hang around for several days. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 1000' 1500' 500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 1500' 500' 1500'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1500' 500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 30, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.