Issued: 2:31 PM PDT Thursday, March 23, 2023
by Matt Primomo

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A moisture laden cold frontal system is pushing through the mountains as I write, leading the edge of a trough that will settle into the area for at least the next few days. This will drive our weather pattern going into the weekend, bringing much colder temperatures, snow and elevated winds. The southern part of our region has been first in line to the action as the initial precipitation shield rotates in from the southwest. Increasingly strong south to southwesterly winds should quickly turn back to west as the front passes. Behind it, we'll see snow levels start to drop, eventually landing around 500ft by Friday morning.

As the front digs through it'll bring cold air and snow showers that push east of the crest overnight on strong westerly flow. With ample moisture streaming in, and much colder air in place, we can expect continued showery snowfall on Friday. Westerly winds should continue to blow in the moderate to strong range at ridgetop. Afternoon convection may lend itself to heavy snow and graupel showers at times. Later Friday afternoon into the evening, we may see another uptick in snowfall rates along with chances for convergence zones to set up between the Mountain Loop and Snoqualmie Pass. 

On Saturday morning we'll see the coldest temperatures of the period. Snow levels should hit sea level in most places as the weakening jet stream coincides with tapering snowfall and winds. At this point it appears the majority of the energy will be focused on the southern half of the region-especially the southwest Cascades and Mt Hood. The general trend is that snowfall and winds will become light and scattered by Saturday morning, but afternoon convection may fuel another round of moderate snowfall. With this pattern, the east slopes are likely to see increasing sunshine on Friday and Saturday, and patchy convective snowfall.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Light to moderate snowfall with gusty ridgetop winds. Heavier snow further west on the peninsula.
Friday Light to moderate snowfall with gusty ridgetop winds. Heavier snow showers further west.
Thursday Night Moderate to heavy snowfall with strong ridgetop winds.
Friday Moderate snow showers with moderate ridgetop winds.
Thursday Night Moderate to heavy snowfall with strong ridgetop winds.
Friday Moderate snow showers, heavier at times. Moderate ridgetop winds.
Thursday Night Moderate to heavy snowfall with strong ridgetop winds.
Friday Moderate to heavy snowfall on the volcanoes with moderate to strong ridgetop winds. Light to moderate snowfall further east.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snowfall with moderate and gusty ridgeline winds. Light to moderate west winds through the pass.
Friday Light to moderate snow showers with moderate ridgeline winds. Light west winds through the pass. Convergence zone could bring heavier snow showers late in the day.
Thursday Night Moderate snowfall with moderate to strong ridgeline winds. Light to moderate west winds through the pass.
Friday Light to moderate snow showers with moderate ridgeline winds. Light west winds through the pass. Convergence zone could bring heavier snow showers late in the day.
Thursday Night Light snow showers with moderate ridgetop winds.
Friday Light and scattered snow showers near the crest. Skies becoming broken further east.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow showers with very strong ridgetop winds.
Friday Light snow showers near the crest. Skies becoming broken further east. Strong ridgetop winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate snow showers with very strong ridgetop winds.
Friday Light and scattered snow showers with strong ridgetop winds.
Thursday Night Heavy snowfall with extremely strong ridgetop winds.
Friday Moderate to heavy snowfall with strong ridgetop winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 0.50 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 -1.00 0.75 0.75 0.25
Timberline 0.75 -1.00 0.75 0.75 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.75
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.75
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 1000' 500' 1500' 500' 0 0 2000'
West North 2500' 1000' 500' 2000' 500' 0 0 2000'
West Central 2500' 1000' 500' 2000' 500' 0 0 2000'
West South 2000' 500' 0 2000' 500' 0 0 2000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 1000' 500' 2500' 500' 0 0 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 1000' 500' 2000' 500' 0 0 2000'
East North 4000' 1000' 1000' 3000' 1000' 500' 0 2500'
East Central 4000' 1000' 500' 3000' 1000' 0 0 2500'
East South 3500' 1000' 500' 3000' 1000' 0 0 2500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1000' 500' 2000' 1000' 500' 500' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 500'
Friday Morning 0'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 500'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday Morning 0'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 1000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday Morning 500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 23 / 19 24 / 18
West North 26 / 19 24 / 18
West Central 23 / 18 23 / 18
West South 22 / 19 22 / 17
Stevens Pass 24 / 19 25 / 18
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 19 24 / 18
East North 27 / 20 25 / 16
East Central 25 / 20 26 / 17
East South 25 / 18 26 / 17
Mt. Hood 22 / 20 22 / 17
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 19
Friday 24 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 19
Friday 24 / 18
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 18
Friday 23 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 19
Friday 22 / 17
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 19
Friday 25 / 18
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 19
Friday 24 / 18
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 27 / 20
Friday 25 / 16
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 20
Friday 26 / 17
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 18
Friday 26 / 17
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 22 / 20
Friday 22 / 17

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 15-25 W 15-25 W 10-20 W 15-25
West North SSW 20-30 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 10-20
West Central WSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 W 15-25
West South W 25-35 W 10-20 W 15-25 W 15-25
Stevens Pass SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 5-15 WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 20-30 W 15-25 W 10-20 WNW 15-25
East North W 15-25 W 10-20 W 10-20 W 10-20
East Central W 25-35 W 20-30 W 15-25 WNW 15-25
East South W 25-35 W 20-30 W 10-20 WNW 15-25
Mt. Hood W 35-50 W 30-40 W 25-35 W 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 20-30
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 15-25
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning W 5-15
Friday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 20-30
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WNW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon W 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 20-30
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon WNW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 20-30
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 35-50
Thursday Night W 30-40
Friday Morning W 25-35
Friday Afternoon W 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

Sunday and Monday appear to be nice days in the mountains as a cool spring pattern continues. Expect cloud coverage to increase each afternoon, along with increasing chances of snow or graupel showers. On Sunday there's less available moisture than Saturday, and on Monday there's less than Sunday. So each successive day should be a little bit less cloudy, and a little bit warmer than the previous one. Later on Monday the flow will begin to switch back to the east as a strong low pressure develops and enters the scene off the coast.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday *
West North 500' 2000' 1000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 2000' 500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 1000' 2000' 1000' 3000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday * 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 500'
Monday * 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday * 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 23, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.