Issued: 2:40 PM PDT Tuesday, March 21, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A strong upper and surface low stationed off the northern California Coastline  has cut off from the jetstream, leaving our region under split flow on Tuesday afternoon. A weak high over southern British Columbia influences the regional weather through Wednesday morning, leaving most areas under clear skies. However, some slight influence from the California low has produced some weak instability as far north as Yakima on Tuesday afternoon. Light ENE winds are taking isolated convective cells toward the Cascades. These cells should dissipate overnight without the influence of the sun's surface heating and as the California low continues to drift southward. E and NE winds across the region should remain light through mid-morning on Wednesday. However, these winds may remain in the moderate range through Tuesday night in the Mt. Hood area, driven by a slightly stronger pressure gradient across the Oregon Cascades. Although most areas will be mild overnight, expect slightly cooler temperatures E of the Cascades, through the mountain gaps, and in deep valley locations where cold air pools.

Temperatures warm during the day on Wednesday, but expect increasing clouds in the afternoon and a shift to W winds as a weak shortwave trough approaches. Some light rain and snow develops late in the day for the Olympics, Southern Washington Cascades, and Mt. Hood in the afternoon.

Mostly light rain and snow focus on the west slopes of the Cascades with very light spillover Wednesday night. There exists a possibility for locally moderate precipitation at times for the southern Volcanoes and in a convergence band aimed NE from the Olympic Mountains. Snow levels should be around 3500-4500 ft. Winds shift gradually to the SW ahead of a cold upper low dropping down the coastline from the Gulf of Alaska.

Thursday's system comes with a strong upper-level cooling trend and snow levels lowering to around 2000-2500 ft. A front passes through the region on Thursday at the leading edge of the upper low. Expect moderate SSW winds in advance of the front (strongest at Mt. Baker) along with light to moderate rain/snow showers and convergence. Winds shift W behind the front focusing post-frontal showers.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly clear skies with some low cloud in the NE Olympics.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning. Increasing clouds in the afternoon with a chance of rain/snow showers.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning. Increasing clouds in the afternoon with a chance of rain/snow showers late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds late in the day. Light ridgeline winds. E winds switch W at the Pass by mid-morning.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing clouds late in the day. Light ridgeline winds. E winds switch W at the Pass by mid-morning.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late in the day.
Tuesday Night Partly cloudy in the early evening, then becoming mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning. Increasing clouds in the afternoon with a chance of rain/snow showers late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with fog developing at low elevations with a low-level inversion overnight.
Wednesday Increasing high clouds with fog below an inversion layer in the morning. Increasing clouds in the afternoon with a chance of rain/snow showers late in the day.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 LT 0.10 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 LT 0.10 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Timberline 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 2000' 2500'
West North 5500' 4500' 4000' 5000' 4500' 3500' 2500' 2500'
West Central 5000' 4000' 3500' 5000' 4500' 4000' 2500' 2500'
West South 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4500' 2500' 2500'
Stevens Pass 5000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 4000' 2500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 4000' 2500' 2500'
East North 5000' 3000' 3000' 4500' 3500' 4000' 2500' 2500'
East Central 5000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 4500' 2500' 2500'
East South 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4500' 2500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 4000' 2500' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 4500'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 4500'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 4500'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 5000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 28 39 / 27
West North 38 / 29 41 / 30
West Central 37 / 29 41 / 29
West South 36 / 27 41 / 27
Stevens Pass 36 / 27 42 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 36 / 27 41 / 28
East North 35 / 26 40 / 25
East Central 35 / 28 41 / 28
East South 34 / 26 40 / 26
Mt. Hood 34 / 30 39 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 28
Wednesday 39 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 38 / 29
Wednesday 41 / 30
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 37 / 29
Wednesday 41 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 27
Wednesday 41 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 27
Wednesday 42 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 27
Wednesday 41 / 28
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 26
Wednesday 40 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 28
Wednesday 41 / 28
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 26
Wednesday 40 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 30
Wednesday 39 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics ESE 0-10 E 0-10 ESE 0-10 W 0-10
West North E 0-10 ESE 0-10 S 0-10 SSW 0-10
West Central ESE 5-15 E 5-15 ESE 5-15 WSW 5-15
West South ESE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 0-10 W 0-10
Stevens Pass E 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 SSE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 WSW 5-15
East North ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 SE 0-10 S 0-10
East Central E 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 S 0-10
East South E 5-15 E 0-10 ESE 0-10 W 0-10
Mt. Hood E 15-25 ESE 10-20 S 0-10 W 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 0-10
Tuesday Night E 0-10
Wednesday Morning ESE 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening E 0-10
Tuesday Night ESE 0-10
Wednesday Morning S 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 5-15
Tuesday Night E 5-15
Wednesday Morning ESE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 5-15
Tuesday Night SE 5-15
Wednesday Morning SSE 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening E 5-15
Tuesday Night ESE 5-15
Wednesday Morning ESE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 5-15
Tuesday Night ESE 5-15
Wednesday Morning ESE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 5-15
Tuesday Night ESE 5-15
Wednesday Morning SE 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon S 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening E 5-15
Tuesday Night ESE 5-15
Wednesday Morning ESE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening E 5-15
Tuesday Night E 0-10
Wednesday Morning ESE 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening E 15-25
Tuesday Night ESE 10-20
Wednesday Morning S 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

Cold, breezy, and snowy weather continues Thursday night and Friday as the cold upper trough settles over the region. Expect moderate post-frontal showers to be heaviest on the west slopes of the mountains with locally strong winds through the mountain gaps and east of the Cascade Crest. Winds and shower activity become light as the upper and surface low shift east of the Cascades Friday night. Shower activity continues to taper on Saturday. Temperatures will be well below seasonal norms with 1000-2000 ft snow levels.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 1500' 1000' 1000' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1000' 1000' 1000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1000' 1000' 1000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday 1000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday 1000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday 1000'
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 1000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 21, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.