Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, March 11, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Light snow showers continue to rotate around a relatively stationary low parked off Haida Gwaii, with light SSW flow focusing most of the shower activity on the southern slopes of the Olympics. Low-level flow has switched easterly and should gradually increase through Sunday. An expanding subtle ridge helps cut off residual snow shower activity across the mountains of northern Washington Saturday evening, allowing skies to mostly clear overnight. Expect temperatures to drop into the lower 20s in many areas.

A perturbation moving toward the region on a SW flow taps into significant moisture as it develops Saturday night, lifting a warm front with increasing light snow to the area on Sunday. Snow starts around Mt. Hood in the morning hours, spreading into the southern Washington Cascades by mid-morning and the rest of the region during the late morning and afternoon hours. Snow may become moderate by the afternoon for Hood and the southern Washington volcanoes. SSW will bring in the moisture while low-level E winds bring allow for significant spillover onto the east slopes.

Moderate to heavy snow intensifies across the region Sunday night as the cold frontal boundary lingers over western Washington. The cold front shifts slowly from NW to SE across the area on Monday, allowing precipitation to ease into the moderate range in some areas. However, convergence focused on the Mt. Baker area could keep snowfall significantly higher in this vicinity. It remains uncertain when snow levels will peak, but Monday morning will be the most likely with snow levels rising to around 3500 ft. Conditions will be messy at Snoqualmie Pass with E winds shifting W as flow aloft shifts from SW to W with the front.

Snow totals above 4000 ft should be in the 1-2.5 ft range through Monday with the heaviest precipitation over the volcanoes and near the Cascade Crest.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with snow showers in the evening, then mostly clearing skies overnight.
Sunday High clouds lowering and thickening in the morning with increasing light snow in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Partly cloudy with snow showers in the evening, then mostly clearing skies overnight.
Sunday High clouds lowering and thickening, then light snow developing in the late afternoon.
Saturday Night Partly cloudy with snow flurries in the evening, then mostly clearing skies overnight.
Sunday High clouds lowering in the morning, then light snow developing in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Mostly clear skies.
Sunday High clouds lowering early, then light snow developing mid-morning and becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Partly cloudy with snow showers in the evening, then mostly clearing skies overnight. Increasing light ridgeline and E winds at the pass.
Sunday High clouds lowering in the morning, then light snow increasing from noon onwards. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline and light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly clearing skies overnight. Increasing light ridgeline and E winds at the pass may become moderate at times by morning.
Sunday High clouds lowering in the morning, then light snow increasing from noon onwards. Increasing moderate ridgeline and light to moderate E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Partly cloudy with snow showers in the evening.
Sunday High clouds lowering, then increasing light snow late morning onwards.
Saturday Night Partly cloudy with snow showers in the evening, then mostly clearing skies overnight.
Sunday High clouds lowering, then increasing light snow from late morning onwards.
Saturday Night Mostly clear skies.
Sunday Increasing light snow, possibly becoming moderate late in the day.
Saturday Night Mostly clear in the evening, then high clouds lowering and thickening overnight.
Sunday Increasing light snow in the morning becoming moderate in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 0.75 0.50
Paradise 0 0.25 1.00 0.75 -1.00
White Pass 0 LT 0.25 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.50
Timberline 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Monday 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 1.00
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Monday 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.75
Monday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 1.00
Monday 0.75 -1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.50
Monday 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon* Sunday Evening* Sunday Night* Monday Morning Monday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 2500' 2000'
West North 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500'
West Central 2000' 15000' 1500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
West South 3000' 1500' 1000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
East North 2000' 1000' 1000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500'
East Central 3000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East South 3000' 1500' 2000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 2000' 2000' 3500' 4500' 4500' 5000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 15000'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night* 4000'
Monday Morning 3500'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2000'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 2500'
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3000'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning 4000'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening* 3500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
Sunday Evening* 4500'
Sunday Night* 4500'
Monday Morning 5000'
Monday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 26 / 29 32 / 21
West North 26 / 20 32 / 20
West Central 26 / 19 32 / 20
West South 30 / 21 33 / 23
Stevens Pass 27 / 20 31 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 28 / 20 31 / 22
East North 26 / 19 28 / 20
East Central 27 / 21 30 / 21
East South 30 / 20 32 / 22
Mt. Hood 30 / 24 34 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 26 / 29
Sunday 32 / 21
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 26 / 20
Sunday 32 / 20
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 26 / 19
Sunday 32 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 21
Sunday 33 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 27 / 20
Sunday 31 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 28 / 20
Sunday 31 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 26 / 19
Sunday 28 / 20
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 27 / 21
Sunday 30 / 21
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 20
Sunday 32 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 24
Sunday 34 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 5-15 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 5-15
West North S 10-20 SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 SSE 10-20
West Central SSE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 10-20 SE 15-25
West South SW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SSE 5-15 S 5-15
Stevens Pass SSE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 10-20 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SE 5-15 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 SE 15-25
East North SE 0-10 SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 SE 10-20
East Central S 5-15 S 10-20 SSE 10-20 SSE 10-20
East South SSE 0-10 SSE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSW 5-15
Saturday Night S 5-15
Sunday Morning S 10-20
Sunday Afternoon S 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 10-20
Saturday Night SSE 5-15
Sunday Morning SSE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SSE 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night SE 5-15
Sunday Morning SE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SE 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 5-15
Saturday Night SSW 5-15
Sunday Morning SSE 5-15
Sunday Afternoon S 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night SE 5-15
Sunday Morning SE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SE 5-15
Saturday Night ESE 10-20
Sunday Morning ESE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SE 0-10
Saturday Night SSE 5-15
Sunday Morning SSE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SE 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 5-15
Saturday Night S 10-20
Sunday Morning SSE 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SSE 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 0-10
Saturday Night SSE 5-15
Sunday Morning SE 5-15
Sunday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSW 5-15
Saturday Night SSW 10-20
Sunday Morning SW 10-20
Sunday Afternoon SW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

Snow showers continue with snow levels lowering to 1500-2500 ft Monday night. Another developing low tracking toward the N California coastline with bring another round of moderate snowfall into southern and eastern portions of the forecast region on Tuesday into Tuesday night. A trough brings light snow showers and W winds to the area on Wednesday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night Tuesday * Tuesday Night* Wednesday
West North 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2000' 2000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday * 1000'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday * 1500'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday * 1500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday 2000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 11, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.