Issued: 2:04 PM PST Friday, December 2, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Radar shows a Pacific frontal system reaching the Washington coast this afternoon. Unlike most Pacific frontal systems, this one will struggle to push its full wrath inland as the parent upper low sinks south and pulls away from our region tonight. This will focus the heaviest precipitation and strongest winds on the Olympic mountains, where a low level southerly jet will help crank out the highest snowfall totals on the eastern and southern flanks of the range. Lighter precipitation already manifesting itself in the form of occasional light snow or flurries over much of the Cascades will increase further tonight. A warm frontal feature will lift NE tonight, producing a dusting to up to 3 inches of snow, with perhaps 3-5" for the Baker area by by Saturday morning.  This has been a tricky system to nail down specifics with, so there's lower-than-normal confidence in the forecast tonight. 

As the low pulls south on Saturday, we should have some partial clearing or at least thinning of mid and high cloud cover.  Again, it's had to pin down who will see more sunshine than other areas. Offshore surface flow (east winds) combined with the general cyclonic (counter-clockwise) flow of the low pressure system that sets up to our south will help increase easterly winds on Saturday, with E-SE winds peaking Saturday night. Strong E-SE winds are likely from the Snoqualmie Pass area down to Mt. Hood.  This pattern will also drag much colder air entrenched on the east side of the Cascades west of the Cascade crest Saturday afternoon and night. The warmest locations will be the Olymipcs and areas well west of the Cascade crest. 

Sunday should see increasing clouds as the low pressure shifts inland and pushes some light snow northward. Mt. Hood and the south Washington Cascades are likely to see some light snow with high uncertainty regarding how much further north precipitation may reach.  Moderate to strong easterly winds should ramp down on Sunday. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Light to moderate snow, except moderate to heavy in southern and eastern portions of the Olympics. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds.
Friday Night Light snow becoming light to occasionally moderate in the evening. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds. Moderate winds increasing in the afternoon. Coldest near the Cascade crest, milder to the west.
Friday Night Occasional light snow becoming steadier in the evening.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds. Moderate winds increasing in the afternoon. Coldest near the Cascade crest, milder to the west.
Friday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds. Moderate winds increasing in the afternoon. Coldest near the Cascade crest, milder to the west.
Friday Night Occasional light snow becoming steadier in the evening. Moderate east winds both at Pass level and along ridgelines.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds. Moderate east winds both at Pass level and along ridgelines increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Occasional light snow becoming steadier in the evening. Moderate east winds both at Pass level and along ridgelines.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds. Moderate east winds both at Pass level and along ridgelines increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow.
Saturday Light snow possible in the morning. Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds.
Friday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow.
Saturday A mix of sun and clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Cloudy. A few flurries possible. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday A mix of sun and clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Cloudy. A few flurries possible. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday A mix of sun and clouds. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Timberline 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 500' 500' 1000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 5500' 4500'
West North 0 0 1000' 3000' 4000' 3500' 4500' 4000'
West Central 0 0 500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
West South 0 0 1000' 2000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2000'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 1000' 0 0 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 1500' 0 0 1500' 1500'
East North 0 0 0 1000' 0 0 1500' 1500'
East Central 0 0 0 1000' 0 0 1500' 1500'
East South 0 0 0 1000' 0 0 1500' 1500'
Mt. Hood 1000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 0 0 1500' 1500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 500'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 4000'
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 5500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 1000'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1000'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1000'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1000'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 0'
Friday Night* 0'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1000'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 1000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 1000'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 26 / 22 32 / 24
West North 23 / 18 30 / 23
West Central 23 / 15 27 / 20
West South 22 / 15 27 / 18
Stevens Pass 18 / 12 21 / 14
Snoqualmie Pass 20 / 15 23 / 16
East North 13 / 6 20 / 11
East Central 15 / 11 21 / 14
East South 15 / 11 21 / 14
Mt. Hood 21 / 18 25 / 18
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 22
Saturday 32 / 24
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 18
Saturday 30 / 23
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 23 / 15
Saturday 27 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 22 / 15
Saturday 27 / 18
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 18 / 12
Saturday 21 / 14
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 20 / 15
Saturday 23 / 16
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 13 / 6
Saturday 20 / 11
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 15 / 11
Saturday 21 / 14
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 15 / 11
Saturday 21 / 14
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 21 / 18
Saturday 25 / 18

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SSE 20-30 S 15-25 SE 10-20 E 5-15
West North SSE 15-25 SE 10-20 SE 0-10 E 5-15
West Central SE 10-20 SE 10-20 S 5-15 E 5-15
West South SSE 15-25 SE 10-20 SE 15-25 ESE 15-25
Stevens Pass SE 5-15 SE 10-20 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SE 10-20 SE 15-25 ESE 15-25 ESE 15-25
East North SSW 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15 E 0-10
East Central S 10-20 SSE 10-20 SE 10-20 ESE 10-20
East South SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 SE 10-20 SE 10-20
Mt. Hood S 15-25 S 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 20-30
Friday Night S 15-25
Saturday Morning SE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon E 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 15-25
Friday Night SE 10-20
Saturday Morning SE 0-10
Saturday Afternoon E 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SE 10-20
Friday Night SE 10-20
Saturday Morning S 5-15
Saturday Afternoon E 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 15-25
Friday Night SE 10-20
Saturday Morning SE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SE 5-15
Friday Night SE 10-20
Saturday Morning ESE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SE 10-20
Friday Night SE 15-25
Saturday Morning ESE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night S 5-15
Saturday Morning S 5-15
Saturday Afternoon E 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 10-20
Friday Night SSE 10-20
Saturday Morning SE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 5-15
Friday Night SSE 10-20
Saturday Morning SE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SE 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 15-25
Friday Night S 15-25
Saturday Morning SE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SE 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

We'll be in weak NNW flow aloft on Monday and Tuesday, sort of a no-man's land for weather. Temperatures will be cool but not as cool as last week. Weak disturbances coming from the NW may squeeze out a few flakes and more likely cloud cover during this time.  The next significant frontal system may not arrive until next Thursday. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night* Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 1000' 2000' 0 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 2000' 500' 1000'
Mt. Hood 1000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday 2000'
Monday Night 0'
Tuesday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night* 500'
Monday 2000'
Monday Night 500'
Tuesday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday 2000'
Monday Night 1000'
Tuesday 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 2, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.