Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, February 18, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The long-awaited return to winter is on the doorstep with a strong frontal system and cold upper trough on tap for the weekend. First, we'll see a mix of low and high clouds over the north Cascades give way to overcast skies later this evening as high clouds stream in from the north.  Mostly clear skies for areas further south should also become overcast before daybreak.  

A E-W oriented frontal system will drop south through Washington state on Saturday afternoon with a cold upper level trough trailing Saturday night.  Rain and snow will begin for the northwest Cascades in the morning and slowly spread south during the day. Westerly winds will quickly ramp up in advance of the front, becoming strong in most areas and extreme east of the Cascade crest by Saturday afternoon.  Moderate snowfall will fall in the Mt Baker area Saturday afternoon while the rest of the region waits until late Saturday afternoon or night. Snow levels will hover around 3000-3500' during the day, and Snoqualmie Pass may mix with rain at Pass level initially. 

Snow levels will fall Saturday evening and overnight with snow showers and blustery westerly winds. A Puget Sound Convergence Zone should affect the Mt Loop Hwy, Stevens Pass and Snoqualmie Pass areas with the heaviest snowfall. Stevens Pass in particular looks poised to see a period of heavy snowfall rates through early Sunday morning. 

The PSCZ should shift south towards Snoqualmie Pass Sunday morning with snow showers becoming more scattered elsewhere during the day. The exception will be Mt. Hood where both the wind and snow showers will continue to pile up fresh accumulations. 8-20" through Sunday afternoon is likely along much of the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood while snow amounts will taper off rapidly further east of the Cascade crest. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday Light rain and snow developing during the morning and winds becoming strong.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday Light rain and snow developing during the morning. Moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday Light rain and snow developing during the morning. Light to moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds becoming strong.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming cloudy late.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow developing mid-day and increasing late. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. Light to moderate W ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow late morning and increasing late. Ridgeline and Pass level W winds becoming moderate to strong in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. Moderate W ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Saturday Cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow mid-day and increasing late. Ridgeline and Pass level W winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing near the Cascade crest late morning. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly to mostly clear in the evening, then becoming cloudy late.
Saturday Cloudy with light rain and snow developing near the Cascade crest mid-day. Strong ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming cloudy late.
Saturday Cloudy. Chance of light rain and snow near the Cascade crest in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear.
Saturday Cloudy. Chance of light rain or snow late. Strong winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0.25 1.00 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.25 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.75 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0.50 0.50
Timberline 0 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.75 -1.00
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 6000' 4500' 3500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
West North 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
West Central 4000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
West South 5000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 3500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
Stevens Pass 4000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 4000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
East North 4000' 3000' 4000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 3000'
East Central 5000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 2000' 1500' 3000'
East South 7000' 6000' 5000' 4500' 3500' 2500' 1500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 9000' 8000' 6500' 4500' 4000' 2500' 2000' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 6000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning 4500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 7000'
Friday Night 6000'
Saturday Morning 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 4500'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 9000'
Friday Night 8000'
Saturday Morning 6500'
Saturday Afternoon 4500'
Saturday Evening 4000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 26 29 / 25
West North 28 / 23 28 / 25
West Central 28 / 24 29 / 25
West South 32 / 26 30 / 25
Stevens Pass 30 / 25 28 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass 31 / 26 28 / 24
East North 30 / 25 29 / 25
East Central 32 / 27 30 / 26
East South 35 / 31 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 40 / 33 34 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 26
Saturday 29 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 23
Saturday 28 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 24
Saturday 29 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 26
Saturday 30 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 25
Saturday 28 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 31 / 26
Saturday 28 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 25
Saturday 29 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 27
Saturday 30 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 35 / 31
Saturday 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 40 / 33
Saturday 34 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics W 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 15-25 W 25-35
West North SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 25-35
West Central W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 20-30
West South W 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 15-25 W 25-35
Stevens Pass W 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 10-20 W 25-35
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 W 30-40
East North W 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 W 25-35
East Central W 10-20 W 20-30 W 25-35 W 35-50
East South W 5-15 W 15-25 W 25-35 W 30-40
Mt. Hood W 10-20 W 15-25 W 25-35 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 30-40
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 35-50
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 30-40
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

There will be an extended opportunity through early next week for low-density snowfall with cold temperatures Sunday night through Tuesday and the upper level trough hanging over PNW.  It's difficult to tease out details, but the areas south of I-90 along the west slopes of the Cascades and the Mt Hood area are best positioned in this pattern to reap the benefits of ongoing snow showers. Temperatures will be far colder than they've been in some time.  We should start to dip into the teens Monday night as cold easterly winds pick up. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night* Tuesday *
West North 500' 500' 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 1000' 0 0
Mt. Hood 1000' 1500' 0 0
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 500'
Monday Night* 0'
Tuesday * 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 1000'
Monday Night* 0'
Tuesday * 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 1500'
Monday Night* 0'
Tuesday * 0'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 18, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.