The long-awaited return to winter is on the doorstep with a strong frontal system and cold upper trough on tap for the weekend. First, we'll see a mix of low and high clouds over the north Cascades give way to overcast skies later this evening as high clouds stream in from the north. Mostly clear skies for areas further south should also become overcast before daybreak.
A E-W oriented frontal system will drop south through Washington state on Saturday afternoon with a cold upper level trough trailing Saturday night. Rain and snow will begin for the northwest Cascades in the morning and slowly spread south during the day. Westerly winds will quickly ramp up in advance of the front, becoming strong in most areas and extreme east of the Cascade crest by Saturday afternoon. Moderate snowfall will fall in the Mt Baker area Saturday afternoon while the rest of the region waits until late Saturday afternoon or night. Snow levels will hover around 3000-3500' during the day, and Snoqualmie Pass may mix with rain at Pass level initially.
Snow levels will fall Saturday evening and overnight with snow showers and blustery westerly winds. A Puget Sound Convergence Zone should affect the Mt Loop Hwy, Stevens Pass and Snoqualmie Pass areas with the heaviest snowfall. Stevens Pass in particular looks poised to see a period of heavy snowfall rates through early Sunday morning.
The PSCZ should shift south towards Snoqualmie Pass Sunday morning with snow showers becoming more scattered elsewhere during the day. The exception will be Mt. Hood where both the wind and snow showers will continue to pile up fresh accumulations. 8-20" through Sunday afternoon is likely along much of the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood while snow amounts will taper off rapidly further east of the Cascade crest.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday
Light rain and snow developing during the morning and winds becoming strong.
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday
Light rain and snow developing during the morning. Moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday
Light rain and snow developing during the morning. Light to moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds becoming strong.
Friday
Night
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming cloudy late.
Saturday
Cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow developing mid-day and increasing late. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. Light to moderate W ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Saturday
Cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow late morning and increasing late. Ridgeline and Pass level W winds becoming moderate to strong in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. Moderate W ridgeline and Pass level winds.
Saturday
Cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow mid-day and increasing late. Ridgeline and Pass level W winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming cloudy after midnight.
Saturday
Cloudy with light rain and snow developing near the Cascade crest late morning. Ridgeline winds becoming strong in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Partly to mostly clear in the evening, then becoming cloudy late.
Saturday
Cloudy with light rain and snow developing near the Cascade crest mid-day. Strong ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming cloudy late.
Saturday
Cloudy. Chance of light rain and snow near the Cascade crest in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.
Friday
Night
Mostly clear.
Saturday
Cloudy. Chance of light rain or snow late. Strong winds.
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, February 18, 2022
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
Saturday
Saturday Night
Sunday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
LT 0.10
0.25
LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
0.50
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0.25 - 0.50
0.75 -1.00
0.25
Stevens Pass
0
0.25
1.00
0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
0
0.25
0.75
0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
Paradise
0
LT 0.10
0.75 -1.00
0.25 - 0.50
White Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.75
0.25
Washington Pass
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
0
0
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
0.25
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
0.50
0.50
Timberline
0
0
0.50 - 0.75
0.75
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.50
Saturday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night
0.75 -1.00
Sunday
0.25
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25
Saturday Night
1.00
Sunday
0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0.25
Saturday Night
0.75
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
LT 0.25
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.75 -1.00
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.75
Sunday
0.25
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
LT 0.10
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Saturday Night
0.25
Sunday
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Saturday Night
0.50
Sunday
0.50
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Friday Night
0
Saturday
0
Saturday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Sunday
0.75
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, February 18, 2022
Snow Level (ft)
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Morning
Sunday
Afternoon
Olympics
6000'
4500'
3500'
3500'
2500'
2000'
1500'
2000'
West North
3500'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
2000'
1500'
2000'
West Central
4000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
3000'
2000'
1500'
2000'
West South
5000'
4000'
4500'
4000'
3500'
2000'
1500'
2000'
Stevens Pass
4000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
2000'
1500'
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass
4000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
3500'
2000'
1500'
2000'
East North
4000'
3000'
4000'
4000'
2500'
1500'
1500'
3000'
East Central
5000'
4500'
4000'
4000'
3500'
2000'
1500'
3000'
East South
7000'
6000'
5000'
4500'
3500'
2500'
1500'
3000'
Mt. Hood
9000'
8000'
6500'
4500'
4000'
2500'
2000'
2500'
Olympics
Elevation
Friday
Evening
6000'
Friday
Night
4500'
Saturday
Morning
3500'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
2500'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
West North
Elevation
Friday
Evening
3500'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
2500'
Saturday
Afternoon
2500'
Saturday
Evening
2500'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
West Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
West South
Elevation
Friday
Evening
5000'
Friday
Night
4000'
Saturday
Morning
4500'
Saturday
Afternoon
4000'
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
3000'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3500'
Saturday
Morning
3000'
Saturday
Afternoon
3500'
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
2000'
East North
Elevation
Friday
Evening
4000'
Friday
Night
3000'
Saturday
Morning
4000'
Saturday
Afternoon
4000'
Saturday
Evening
2500'
Saturday
Night
1500'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
East Central
Elevation
Friday
Evening
5000'
Friday
Night
4500'
Saturday
Morning
4000'
Saturday
Afternoon
4000'
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2000'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
East South
Elevation
Friday
Evening
7000'
Friday
Night
6000'
Saturday
Morning
5000'
Saturday
Afternoon
4500'
Saturday
Evening
3500'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
1500'
Sunday
Afternoon
3000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Friday
Evening
9000'
Friday
Night
8000'
Saturday
Morning
6500'
Saturday
Afternoon
4500'
Saturday
Evening
4000'
Saturday
Night
2500'
Sunday
Morning
2000'
Sunday
Afternoon
2500'
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, February 18, 2022
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Friday
Night
Saturday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
32 / 26
29 / 25
West North
28 / 23
28 / 25
West Central
28 / 24
29 / 25
West South
32 / 26
30 / 25
Stevens Pass
30 / 25
28 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
31 / 26
28 / 24
East North
30 / 25
29 / 25
East Central
32 / 27
30 / 26
East South
35 / 31
32 / 27
Mt. Hood
40 / 33
34 / 29
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
32 / 26
Saturday
29 / 25
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
28 / 23
Saturday
28 / 25
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
28 / 24
Saturday
29 / 25
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
32 / 26
Saturday
30 / 25
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 25
Saturday
28 / 24
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
31 / 26
Saturday
28 / 24
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
30 / 25
Saturday
29 / 25
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
32 / 27
Saturday
30 / 26
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
35 / 31
Saturday
32 / 27
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Friday
Night
40 / 33
Saturday
34 / 29
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, February 18, 2022
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
Friday
Night
Saturday
Morning
Saturday
Afternoon
Olympics
W 5-15
WSW 5-15
W 15-25
W 25-35
West North
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
SW 15-25
SW 25-35
West Central
W 5-15
WSW 5-15
SW 10-20
WSW 20-30
West South
W 5-15
WSW 10-20
W 15-25
W 25-35
Stevens Pass
W 5-15
WSW 10-20
W 10-20
W 25-35
Snoqualmie Pass
W 10-20
W 15-25
W 20-30
W 30-40
East North
W 10-20
W 15-25
W 20-30
W 25-35
East Central
W 10-20
W 20-30
W 25-35
W 35-50
East South
W 5-15
W 15-25
W 25-35
W 30-40
Mt. Hood
W 10-20
W 15-25
W 25-35
W 30-40
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
5-15
Friday
Night
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
W
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
W
25-35
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
SW
5-15
Friday
Night
SW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
SW
25-35
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
5-15
Friday
Night
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Morning
SW
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
WSW
20-30
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
5-15
Friday
Night
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
W
15-25
Saturday
Afternoon
W
25-35
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
5-15
Friday
Night
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Morning
W
10-20
Saturday
Afternoon
W
25-35
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
10-20
Friday
Night
W
15-25
Saturday
Morning
W
20-30
Saturday
Afternoon
W
30-40
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
10-20
Friday
Night
W
15-25
Saturday
Morning
W
20-30
Saturday
Afternoon
W
25-35
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
10-20
Friday
Night
W
20-30
Saturday
Morning
W
25-35
Saturday
Afternoon
W
35-50
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
5-15
Friday
Night
W
15-25
Saturday
Morning
W
25-35
Saturday
Afternoon
W
30-40
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday
Evening
W
10-20
Friday
Night
W
15-25
Saturday
Morning
W
25-35
Saturday
Afternoon
W
30-40
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Friday, February 18, 2022
Extended Weather Synopsis
There will be an extended opportunity through early next week for low-density snowfall with cold temperatures Sunday night through Tuesday and the upper level trough hanging over PNW. It's difficult to tease out details, but the areas south of I-90 along the west slopes of the Cascades and the Mt Hood area are best positioned in this pattern to reap the benefits of ongoing snow showers. Temperatures will be far colder than they've been in some time. We should start to dip into the teens Monday night as cold easterly winds pick up.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).