Issued: 2:00 PM PST Thursday, February 17, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

It's a mostly cloudy day along the west slopes of the Cascades and near the Cascade crest with diminishing cloud cover further east of the crest and at Mt. Hood. This pattern will continue overnight through Friday morning with a few drips of light rain, snow, or drizzle most likely from the Mt Baker area down to the Mountain Loop Hwy. Moderate to locally strong NW ridgeline winds will continue overnight as well and begin to decrease during the afternoon on Friday. Upper level ridging will briefly try to re-establish control offshore on Friday afternoon, leading to a similar cloud cover pattern as Thursday, but one with more afternoon sun. 

A cold upper level trough will begin to drop south along the Canadian coast Friday night. Light precipitation should spread over the Olympics and northwest Cascades Saturday morning and fill in for areas further south in the afternoon. The Mt Baker area may see moderate snowfall Saturday afternoon, but other areas will have to wait until Saturday night as snow levels hover around 3000-3500'. Westerly winds will ramp up quickly on Saturday and become strong in many areas.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Friday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly sunny in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Periods of very light rain or snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Periods of very light rain or snow in the morning. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Periods of very light rain or snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Periods of very light rain or snow in the morning. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Chance of very light rain or snow overnight. Moderate to strong winds at ridgeline and moderate Pass level winds.
Friday Cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon. Light to moderate winds at Pass level.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Chance of very light rain or snow overnight. Moderate to strong winds at ridgeline and moderate winds at Pass level.
Friday Cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon. Light to moderate winds at Pass level.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy near the Cascade crest, mostly clear further east. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy near the Cascade crest in the morning, becoming partly sunny. Mostly sunny further east. Moderate winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy near the Cascade crest, mostly clear further east. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly cloudy near the Cascade crest in the morning, becoming partly sunny. Mostly sunny further east. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy near the Cascade crest, mostly clear further east. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny. Moderate ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly clear. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Mostly sunny. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0 0 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0 0 LT 0.25
White Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3500'
West North 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West Central 3500' 3000' 3500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West South 4000' 3500' 4000' 6000' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 3500' 2500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
East North 3500' 3000' 3500' 5000' 4000' 3500' 4000' 3500'
East Central 4500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 4500' 3500' 4000' 3500'
East South 4500' 5000' 5500' 7500' 7000' 5500' 4500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 8000' 8000' 9000' 9000' 9000' 8000' 5000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night 4500'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 6000'
Friday Evening 4500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 4500'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night 5000'
Friday Morning 5500'
Friday Afternoon 7500'
Friday Evening 7000'
Friday Night 5500'
Saturday Morning 4500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 8000'
Thursday Night 8000'
Friday Morning 9000'
Friday Afternoon 9000'
Friday Evening 9000'
Friday Night 8000'
Saturday Morning 5000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 33 / 28 35 / 30
West North 28 / 23 31 / 25
West Central 29 / 24 34 / 26
West South 30 / 25 36 / 27
Stevens Pass 29 / 25 33 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 25 33 / 26
East North 29 / 25 35 / 25
East Central 32 / 26 37 / 28
East South 35 / 33 38 / 32
Mt. Hood 40 / 35 39 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 28
Friday 35 / 30
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 23
Friday 31 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 24
Friday 34 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 25
Friday 36 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 25
Friday 33 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 25
Friday 33 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 29 / 25
Friday 35 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 32 / 26
Friday 37 / 28
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 33
Friday 38 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 40 / 35
Friday 39 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics NW 10-20 WNW 10-20 NW 10-20 NW 5-15
West North W 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 W 5-15
West Central NW 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20 NW 5-15
West South NW 15-25 NW 10-20 NW 15-25 NW 5-15
Stevens Pass NW 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20 NW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass NW 15-25 WNW 15-25 NW 15-25 NW 10-20
East North NW 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25 NW 10-20
East Central NW 20-30 NW 15-25 NW 20-30 NW 15-25
East South NW 15-25 WNW 10-20 NW 10-20 NW 10-20
Mt. Hood NW 20-30 NW 10-20 NW 10-20 NW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 10-20
Thursday Night WNW 10-20
Friday Morning NW 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon W 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning WNW 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 15-25
Thursday Night NW 10-20
Friday Morning NW 15-25
Friday Afternoon NW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 10-20
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning WNW 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning NW 15-25
Friday Afternoon NW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning WNW 15-25
Friday Afternoon NW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 20-30
Thursday Night NW 15-25
Friday Morning NW 20-30
Friday Afternoon NW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 10-20
Friday Morning NW 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 20-30
Thursday Night NW 10-20
Friday Morning NW 10-20
Friday Afternoon NW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

Here comes some snow! The cold upper level trough in NW flow aloft will continue to dig south over our area Saturday night and Sunday.  Saturday night through Sunday morning should be the period of heaviest snowfall along with strong westerly winds. While the central Cascades near and west of the Cascade crest may fair the best, this storm looks capable of producing at least moderate snowfall in all areas. Unfortunately, snowfall totals will quickly taper down east of the crest in the flow. 

Sunday afternoon and night should see decreasing snow showers and cold temperatures. Forecast models are suggesting a dry and chilly Monday, but there's still quite a bit uncertainty regarding snowfall likelihood. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 2000' 1500' 1000' 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2000' 1000' 1000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 2000' 1500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 3500'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 17, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.