A persistent high-pressure ridge continues to dictate the weather here in the Pacific Northwest. After a generally sunny Wednesday, expect clouds to return to the mountains overnight. Even though we've been in a rather entrenched weather pattern that will begin to change during this short-term forecast period.
A weak disturbance approaching the area will cause the ridge to start to falter. On Thursday, clouds should remain in place all day as the center of a cut-off low travels south just off the coast. This system doesn't have much moisture with it, but a few showers will clip the mountains north of I-90. For most locations, moderate to strong and gusty winds will be the biggest headline. Look for wind-prone sites like Mission Ridge, Crystal Mt, Darland Mt, and Mt Hood to experience the highest wind speeds.
As the low exits the region Thursday night, the ridge continues to flatten and expand further east. This allows warmer air to begin to push into the area at mid and upper elevations. You will notice this first in the Olympics, but eventually, the warm air should seep into areas further south and east. In some spots, this will trap colder air in the valleys causing temperature inversions. Without the help of stronger winds, they may remain in place until the weekend. All this will result in yet another cloudy and mild day Friday ahead of a bigger pattern shift on Saturday.
Cloudy near the crest with sunny skies in the Wenatchees. A few isolated showers possible. Strong and gusty NW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Increasing clouds overnight. Light to moderate NW winds.
Thursday
Cloudy near the crest with more sunshine further east. Moderate to strong NW winds.
Wednesday
Night
Low clouds overnight. Light N winds becoming moderate from the NW.
Thursday
Increasing high clouds. Moderate to strong NW winds.
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, February 16, 2022
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
Thursday
Thursday Night
Friday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0
0
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0
Stevens Pass
0
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0
Snoqualmie Pass
0
LT 0.10
0
0
Crystal Mt
0
0
0
0
Paradise
0
0
0
0
White Pass
0
0
0
0
Washington Pass
0
LT 0.10
0
0
Mission Ridge
0
0
0
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
LT 0.10
0
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
0
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
0
0
Timberline
0
0
0
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, February 16, 2022
Snow Level (ft)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
5500'
6000'
6500'
6500'
6000'
5500'
5000'
5000'
West North
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3000'
4000'
West Central
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
4000'
4000'
4000'
West South
3500'
3500'
4500'
5000'
5000'
5500'
5500'
6000'
Stevens Pass
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
4500'
4500'
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass
3500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
4500'
5000'
5000'
East North
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
3500'
4000'
4000'
East Central
4000'
3000'
4500'
5000'
5000'
5500'
6000'
6000'
East South
4500'
4500'
5500'
6500'
6500'
6500'
6500'
6500'
Mt. Hood
5000'
5000'
6000'
7000'
7000'
6500'
6500'
6500'
Olympics
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
5500'
Wednesday
Night
6000'
Thursday
Morning
6500'
Thursday
Afternoon
6500'
Thursday
Evening
6000'
Thursday
Night
5500'
Friday
Morning
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
5000'
West North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
West Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
4000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
West South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon
5000'
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
5500'
Friday
Morning
5500'
Friday
Afternoon
6000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
4500'
Friday
Morning
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
4500'
Friday
Morning
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
5000'
East North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
3500'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
East Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
4000'
Wednesday
Night
3000'
Thursday
Morning
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon
5000'
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
5500'
Friday
Morning
6000'
Friday
Afternoon
6000'
East South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
4500'
Wednesday
Night
4500'
Thursday
Morning
5500'
Thursday
Afternoon
6500'
Thursday
Evening
6500'
Thursday
Night
6500'
Friday
Morning
6500'
Friday
Afternoon
6500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
5000'
Wednesday
Night
5000'
Thursday
Morning
6000'
Thursday
Afternoon
7000'
Thursday
Evening
7000'
Thursday
Night
6500'
Friday
Morning
6500'
Friday
Afternoon
6500'
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, February 16, 2022
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
35 / 30
34 / 29
West North
30 / 27
29 / 26
West Central
28 / 25
29 / 25
West South
32 / 25
34 / 27
Stevens Pass
29 / 25
29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
39 / 25
28 / 25
East North
31 / 23
28 / 23
East Central
34 / 25
36 / 27
East South
34 / 27
34 / 28
Mt. Hood
32 / 28
34 / 28
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
35 / 30
Thursday
34 / 29
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
30 / 27
Thursday
29 / 26
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
28 / 25
Thursday
29 / 25
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
32 / 25
Thursday
34 / 27
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
29 / 25
Thursday
29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
39 / 25
Thursday
28 / 25
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
31 / 23
Thursday
28 / 23
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
34 / 25
Thursday
36 / 27
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
34 / 27
Thursday
34 / 28
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
32 / 28
Thursday
34 / 28
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, February 16, 2022
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
NW 0-10
NW 5-15
NW 10-20
NW 10-20
West North
W 5-15
W 10-20
W 10-20
W 10-20
West Central
WNW 5-15
WNW 10-20
WNW 15-25
NW 15-25
West South
NW 5-15
NW 10-20
WNW 20-30
WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass
W 5-15
W 10-20
W 15-25
W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass
NW 10-20
W 15-25
W 20-30
W 20-30
East North
WNW 10-20
WNW 10-20
WNW 20-30
WNW 20-30
East Central
NW 10-20
NW 15-25
NW 25-35
NW 20-30
East South
NNW 10-20
NW 10-20
NW 20-30
NW 20-30
Mt. Hood
N 5-15
NW 10-20
NW 20-30
NW 20-30
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
NW
0-10
Wednesday
Night
NW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
NW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
NW
10-20
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
5-15
Wednesday
Night
W
10-20
Thursday
Morning
W
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
W
10-20
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
WNW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
WNW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
NW
15-25
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
NW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
NW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
WNW
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
15-25
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
5-15
Wednesday
Night
W
10-20
Thursday
Morning
W
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
W
15-25
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
NW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
W
15-25
Thursday
Morning
W
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
W
20-30
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
WNW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
WNW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
WNW
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
20-30
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
NW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
NW
15-25
Thursday
Morning
NW
25-35
Thursday
Afternoon
NW
20-30
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
NNW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
NW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
NW
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
NW
20-30
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
N
5-15
Wednesday
Night
NW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
NW
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
NW
20-30
Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, February 16, 2022
Extended Weather Synopsis
The prolonged Pacific ridge starts to lose its grasp on our weather Friday night and into Saturday. A deep trough will finally oust the high-pressure as it swings into the region. While weather models seem to agree about the pattern shift, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty about the strength of the storm. Precipitation appears to spread from NW to SE across Washington Saturday, with several rounds of light to moderate rain and snow. After the cold front passes, showers could linger through the rest of the weekend.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).