Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, February 16, 2022
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A persistent high-pressure ridge continues to dictate the weather here in the Pacific Northwest. After a generally sunny Wednesday, expect clouds to return to the mountains overnight. Even though we've been in a rather entrenched weather pattern that will begin to change during this short-term forecast period.

A weak disturbance approaching the area will cause the ridge to start to falter. On Thursday, clouds should remain in place all day as the center of a cut-off low travels south just off the coast. This system doesn't have much moisture with it, but a few showers will clip the mountains north of I-90. For most locations, moderate to strong and gusty winds will be the biggest headline. Look for wind-prone sites like Mission Ridge, Crystal Mt, Darland Mt, and Mt Hood to experience the highest wind speeds. 

As the low exits the region Thursday night, the ridge continues to flatten and expand further east. This allows warmer air to begin to push into the area at mid and upper elevations. You will notice this first in the Olympics, but eventually, the warm air should seep into areas further south and east. In some spots, this will trap colder air in the valleys causing temperature inversions. Without the help of stronger winds, they may remain in place until the weekend. All this will result in yet another cloudy and mild day Friday ahead of a bigger pattern shift on Saturday. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds and becoming mostly cloudy. Calm NW winds turning light.
Thursday Partly to mostly cloudy. Light to moderate NW winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy. Light W winds increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Cloudy with light showers. Light to moderate W winds.
Wednesday Night Cloudy. Light WNW winds becoming moderate.
Thursday Cloudy with isolated showers. Moderate NW winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds. NW winds becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with the possibility for a few sprinkles near Rainier and Crystal. Moderate to strong WNW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy. W winds becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate W winds.
Wednesday Night Cloudy. Moderate NW winds increasing and becoming W overnight.
Thursday Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate to strong W winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds overnight. Light to moderate WNW winds.
Thursday Cloudy near the crest with more sunshine further east. Isolated showers near Washington Pass. Moderate to strong WNW winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds overnight. NW winds becoming moderate.
Thursday Cloudy near the crest with sunny skies in the Wenatchees. A few isolated showers possible. Strong and gusty NW winds decreasing slightly in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds overnight. Light to moderate NW winds.
Thursday Cloudy near the crest with more sunshine further east. Moderate to strong NW winds.
Wednesday Night Low clouds overnight. Light N winds becoming moderate from the NW.
Thursday Increasing high clouds. Moderate to strong NW winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 5500' 6000' 6500' 6500' 6000' 5500' 5000' 5000'
West North 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 4000'
West Central 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000'
West South 3500' 3500' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 5500' 6000'
Stevens Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 4500' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 5000' 5000'
East North 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000'
East Central 4000' 3000' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5500' 6000' 6000'
East South 4500' 4500' 5500' 6500' 6500' 6500' 6500' 6500'
Mt. Hood 5000' 5000' 6000' 7000' 7000' 6500' 6500' 6500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 5500'
Wednesday Night 6000'
Thursday Morning 6500'
Thursday Afternoon 6500'
Thursday Evening 6000'
Thursday Night 5500'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 4500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night 5500'
Friday Morning 5500'
Friday Afternoon 6000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 4500'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 4500'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 4500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night 5500'
Friday Morning 6000'
Friday Afternoon 6000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4500'
Thursday Morning 5500'
Thursday Afternoon 6500'
Thursday Evening 6500'
Thursday Night 6500'
Friday Morning 6500'
Friday Afternoon 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 5000'
Wednesday Night 5000'
Thursday Morning 6000'
Thursday Afternoon 7000'
Thursday Evening 7000'
Thursday Night 6500'
Friday Morning 6500'
Friday Afternoon 6500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 30 34 / 29
West North 30 / 27 29 / 26
West Central 28 / 25 29 / 25
West South 32 / 25 34 / 27
Stevens Pass 29 / 25 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 39 / 25 28 / 25
East North 31 / 23 28 / 23
East Central 34 / 25 36 / 27
East South 34 / 27 34 / 28
Mt. Hood 32 / 28 34 / 28
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 35 / 30
Thursday 34 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 27
Thursday 29 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 28 / 25
Thursday 29 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 25
Thursday 34 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 25
Thursday 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 39 / 25
Thursday 28 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 31 / 23
Thursday 28 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 25
Thursday 36 / 27
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 27
Thursday 34 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 28
Thursday 34 / 28

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics NW 0-10 NW 5-15 NW 10-20 NW 10-20
West North W 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 W 10-20
West Central WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25 NW 15-25
West South NW 5-15 NW 10-20 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass W 5-15 W 10-20 W 15-25 W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass NW 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30
East North WNW 10-20 WNW 10-20 WNW 20-30 WNW 20-30
East Central NW 10-20 NW 15-25 NW 25-35 NW 20-30
East South NNW 10-20 NW 10-20 NW 20-30 NW 20-30
Mt. Hood N 5-15 NW 10-20 NW 20-30 NW 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 0-10
Wednesday Night NW 5-15
Thursday Morning NW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon NW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night WNW 10-20
Thursday Morning WNW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon NW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 5-15
Wednesday Night NW 10-20
Thursday Morning WNW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 10-20
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 20-30
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 10-20
Wednesday Night WNW 10-20
Thursday Morning WNW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NW 10-20
Wednesday Night NW 15-25
Thursday Morning NW 25-35
Thursday Afternoon NW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening NNW 10-20
Wednesday Night NW 10-20
Thursday Morning NW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon NW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening N 5-15
Wednesday Night NW 10-20
Thursday Morning NW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon NW 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

The prolonged Pacific ridge starts to lose its grasp on our weather Friday night and into Saturday. A deep trough will finally oust the high-pressure as it swings into the region. While weather models seem to agree about the pattern shift, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty about the strength of the storm. Precipitation appears to spread from NW to SE across Washington Saturday, with several rounds of light to moderate rain and snow. After the cold front passes, showers could linger through the rest of the weekend. 

 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 3000' 2000' 2000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 3500' 3000' 2000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday 2000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 6000'
Saturday 3500'
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 2000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 16, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.