Issued: 1:48 PM PST Tuesday, February 15, 2022
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're situated right between an established high-pressure in the Pacific and a deep trough over the Rocky Mountains. This strong ridge repeatedly deflects major storms well to our north. However, with the jet stream flowing across our region, we continue to see very weak disturbances pass overhead. One of these pulses will swing through Tuesday night. Even though this isn't a real storm, it should provide just enough lift to ring out a few showers along the west slopes of the Cascades, increase clouds across the region, and create windy conditions in the mountains. Since we aren't expecting much more than a dusting of snow, the winds will be the primary story. Look for moderate to strong and gust winds along the eastern Cascade zones and at Mt Hood. 

By Wednesday morning, a few lingering showers may dot the mountains, but generally clearing and drying will define the day. Mid and upper elevations should see plenty of sunshine, cool temperatures, and decreasing winds. Low clouds could hang around near the bottoms of the Cascade volcanoes and in some of the mountain valleys. 

Wednesday night into Thursday two things start to change in our weather pattern. The high-pressure begins to expand eastward which shifts the jets stream towards Idaho. This will allow wind speeds to continue to decrease and slightly warmer air to seep into the region at mid and upper elevations. Second, a cut-off low pressure will start to approach the Pacific Northwest. Even though this storm should stay off the coast till near the end of the short-term forecast period, it will begin to spread a blanket clouds across the area hinting at the changes to come. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. NW winds increasing significantly and becoming moderate.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny. Light N winds.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light NW winds becoming calm.
Wednesday Becoming mostly sunny with low clouds. Light NNE winds becoming calm.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light NW winds becoming moderate.
Wednesday Lingering showers in the morning. Low clouds with some sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Light NW winds becoming moderate.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate NW winds becoming strong.
Wednesday Cloudy with a few lingering showers in the morning. Sun breaks and clearing in the afternoon. Moderate NW winds becoming light.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Light to moderate W winds.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with a few lingering showers. Clearing and sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Light WNW winds.
Tuesday Night Cloudy with a few isolated showers. Moderate W winds becoming strong.
Wednesday Cloudy in the morning with a few lingering showers. Low clouds with sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Moderate WNW winds decreasing.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with a few very isolated showers. Light to moderate NW winds increasing overnight.
Wednesday Becoming mostly sunny. Moderate N winds decreasing and turning NW in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy near the Crest with isolated showers. Partly cloudy in the Wenatchees and dry. Moderate NW winds.
Wednesday Becoming mostly sunny with a few low clouds in the morning. Moderae N winds turning light NW.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with a few flurries possible near the crest. Moderate to strong NW winds.
Wednesday Becoming mostly sunny with a few low clouds in the morning. Moderate N winds turning light NW.
Tuesday Night Increasing clouds with a few isolated showers overnight. Strong and gusty NW winds increasing.
Wednesday Low clouds in the morning with isolated lingering showers. Sun breaks and clearing in the afternoon. Moderate to strong NW winds turning light NNE.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0 0 0
Timberline LT 0.10 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 4500' 4000' 4000' 5000' 5000' 5000' 4500' 5000'
West North 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
West Central 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
West South 3000' 3000' 3000' 4500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 4000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
East North 2500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
East Central 3000' 2500' 3000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
East South 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 4000' 3500' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3000' 3000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 3000' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 4500'
Tuesday Night 4000'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 5000'
Wednesday Evening 5000'
Wednesday Night 5000'
Thursday Morning 4500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2500'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 3000'
Wednesday Night 2500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night 3000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4000'
Wednesday Night 3500'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4500'
Wednesday Evening 4500'
Wednesday Night 4500'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 33 / 29 34 / 28
West North 31 / 27 32 / 26
West Central 31 / 26 33 / 26
West South 30 / 26 33 / 25
Stevens Pass 30 / 25 31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 27 31 / 26
East North 30 / 27 30 / 24
East Central 33 / 26 33 / 25
East South 30 / 26 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 30 / 24 31 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 33 / 29
Wednesday 34 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 27
Wednesday 32 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 26
Wednesday 33 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 26
Wednesday 33 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 25
Wednesday 31 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 27
Wednesday 31 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 27
Wednesday 30 / 24
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 33 / 26
Wednesday 33 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 26
Wednesday 32 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 30 / 24
Wednesday 31 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics NW 10-20 NNW 15-25 N 5-15 NNW 5-15
West North W 5-15 NNW 0-10 NNE 5-15 VAR 0-10
West Central NW 5-15 WNW 10-20 NNW 5-15 NNW 5-15
West South NW 10-20 NW 20-30 NNW 15-25 NW 5-15
Stevens Pass W 10-20 W 10-20 WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 20-30 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20
East North WNW 10-20 NW 15-25 N 15-25 NW 5-15
East Central NW 15-25 NNW 15-25 N 15-25 NW 5-15
East South NW 20-30 NW 20-30 N 15-25 NW 5-15
Mt. Hood NW 20-30 NW 30-40 NW 20-30 NNE 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 10-20
Tuesday Night NNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning N 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon NNW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night NNW 0-10
Wednesday Morning NNE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 5-15
Tuesday Night WNW 10-20
Wednesday Morning NNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon NNW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 10-20
Tuesday Night NW 20-30
Wednesday Morning NNW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon NW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 20-30
Wednesday Morning WNW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 10-20
Tuesday Night NW 15-25
Wednesday Morning N 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon NW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 15-25
Tuesday Night NNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning N 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon NW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 20-30
Tuesday Night NW 20-30
Wednesday Morning N 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon NW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 20-30
Tuesday Night NW 30-40
Wednesday Morning NW 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon NNE 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

An approaching cut-off low pressure will begin to impact the region Thursday evening. While this doesn't appear to be a particularly wet storm it should bring a quick shot of precipitation and stronger winds as it slides south along the coast. Most importantly, this weak system begins to break down the long-lived Pacific high-pressure ridge and make way for better developed storm over the weekend. Right now the models differ on the strength of this second approaching weather system, but they generally agree that a deep trough will swing through the Northwest Satuday into Sunday. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4500' 4000' 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 3500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday 4500'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 15, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.