A winter storm approaches the region Saturday night. Light rain and snow arrive in the Olympics and Mt. Baker during the evening before increasing in intensity in these areas and spreading to other parts of Washington State overnight. Snow levels should be around 3000-4000 ft range. Snoqualmie Pass may get some mixed precipitation as low-level E flow continues.
Rain and snow intensify across the northern Cascades and Olympics on Sunday as the occluded frontal system arrives on Sunday. Models are having difficulty deciding how much moisture will be in the warm sector of the storm from the central and southern Washington Cascades, but overall these areas may have much lighter precipitation with breaks possible during the mid-day hours. With the warm front likely to lift north to around the mountain loop area, expect snow levels to rise up to 4000-5000 ft across the central and southern Washington Cascades. Moderate WSW winds become strong and shift to the SSW in the Olympics, Mt. Baker, Mt. Hood, and Crystal mountain areas late in the day as the cold front approaches.
We may see a change back to mixed precipitation as the flow aloft takes a more southerly component and light E flow keeps cold air trapped near the surface trickling through Snoqualmie Pass. Expect a period of heavy rain and snow Sunday evening as the cold front arrives with strong winds. The Cascade Passes should shift back to all snow by the late evening hours as a moderate push of westerly winds brings moderate snow with heavy convergence bands with the upper trough moving in behind the front.
NW flow will bring a weak disturbance through on Monday, bringing light to moderate snow showers and convergence focused from Snoqualmie Pass to the Mountain loop. Colder than average temperatures will produce high snow to water ratios.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday
Night
Increasing light rain and snow.
Sunday
Light rain and snow becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Increasing light rain and snow becoming moderate.
Sunday
Heavy rain and snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow developing in the late evening and increasing overnight.
Sunday
Increasing moderate rain and snow.
Saturday
Night
Light rain and snow developing after midnight.
Sunday
Increasing light rain and snow, possibly becoming moderate at Paradise. Strong ridgeline winds late in the day.
Saturday
Night
Light rain, snow and mixed precipitation developing overnight. Light E winds at the Pass.
Sunday
Increasing light to moderate rain and snow heaviest early and late in the day. Light or variable E winds at the Pass.
Saturday
Night
Light rain, snow, snow and mixed precipitation developing overnight. Light to moderate E winds at the Pass becoming light.
Sunday
Increasing light to moderate rain and snow heaviest early and late in the day. Light or variable E winds at the Pass.
Saturday
Night
Cloudy with light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Sunday
Light snow becoming moderate late in the day.
Saturday
Night
Cloudy with light snow developing after midnight.
Sunday
Periods of light snow or mixed precipitation.
Saturday
Night
Cloudy.
Sunday
Light rain, snow, and isolated pockets of freezing rain developing during the late morning hours.
Saturday
Night
Cloudy.
Sunday
Clouds lowering and thickening with light rain and snow developing at the end of the day.
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, January 29, 2022
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
Sunday
Sunday Night
Monday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
0.25
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
0.25 - 0.50
1.00 - 1.50
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.25
0.50
0.75 -1.00
0.50
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
0.25
0.75 -1.00
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
0.25
0.75 -1.00
0.50
Crystal Mt
0
LT 0.10
0.50
0.25
Paradise
LT 0.10
0.25
1.00
0.50
White Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.50 - 0.75
0.25
Washington Pass
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
0.50
LT 0.25
Mission Ridge
0
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.10
0.25
0.50 - 0.75
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
LT 0.10
0.50
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
0.50 - 0.75
0.25
Timberline
0
0
0.75
0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night
0.25
Monday
LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday
1.00 - 1.50
Sunday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Monday
LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.25
Sunday
0.50
Sunday Night
0.75 -1.00
Monday
0.50
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25
Sunday Night
0.75 -1.00
Monday
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25
Sunday Night
0.75 -1.00
Monday
0.50
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
LT 0.10
Sunday Night
0.50
Monday
0.25
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25
Sunday Night
1.00
Monday
0.50
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
LT 0.10
Sunday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Monday
0.25
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night
0.50
Monday
LT 0.25
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
LT 0.10
Sunday Night
LT 0.25
Monday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
LT 0.10
Sunday
0.25
Sunday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Monday
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
LT 0.10
Sunday Night
0.50
Monday
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
0
Sunday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Monday
0.25
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night
0
Sunday
0
Sunday Night
0.75
Monday
0.25
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, January 29, 2022
Snow Level (ft)
Saturday
Evening*
Saturday
Night*
Sunday
Morning*
Sunday
Afternoon*
Sunday
Evening*
Sunday
Night
Monday
Morning
Monday
Afternoon
Olympics
5000'
4000'
4500'
5000'
3000'
1500'
1000'
1500'
West North
4000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
1500'
500'
1000'
West Central
5000'
3000'
3500'
4000'
3500'
2000'
1000'
1500'
West South
6000'
3500'
4000'
5000'
4500'
2000'
1000'
1500'
Stevens Pass
5000'
3000'
3500'
4000'
4000'
2000'
1000'
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass
5000'
3000'
3500'
4500'
4000'
2500'
1000'
1500'
East North
0
0
0
4000'
3000'
2000'
1000'
1500'
East Central
5000'
3000'
3000'
4500'
3500'
2500'
1000'
2000'
East South
6000'
4500'
5000'
5500'
4500'
2500'
1000'
2000'
Mt. Hood
7500'
6500'
6500'
7500'
5000'
2500'
1500'
2000'
Olympics
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
5000'
Saturday
Night*
4000'
Sunday
Morning*
4500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
5000'
Sunday
Evening*
3000'
Sunday
Night
1500'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
1500'
West North
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
4000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
3500'
Sunday
Evening*
3500'
Sunday
Night
1500'
Monday
Morning
500'
Monday
Afternoon
1000'
West Central
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
5000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
4000'
Sunday
Evening*
3500'
Sunday
Night
2000'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
1500'
West South
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
6000'
Saturday
Night*
3500'
Sunday
Morning*
4000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
5000'
Sunday
Evening*
4500'
Sunday
Night
2000'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
1500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
5000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
4000'
Sunday
Evening*
4000'
Sunday
Night
2000'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
5000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
4500'
Sunday
Evening*
4000'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
1500'
East North
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
0'
Saturday
Night*
0'
Sunday
Morning*
0'
Sunday
Afternoon*
4000'
Sunday
Evening*
3000'
Sunday
Night
2000'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
1500'
East Central
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
5000'
Saturday
Night*
3000'
Sunday
Morning*
3000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
4500'
Sunday
Evening*
3500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
2000'
East South
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
6000'
Saturday
Night*
4500'
Sunday
Morning*
5000'
Sunday
Afternoon*
5500'
Sunday
Evening*
4500'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
1000'
Monday
Afternoon
2000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Saturday
Evening*
7500'
Saturday
Night*
6500'
Sunday
Morning*
6500'
Sunday
Afternoon*
7500'
Sunday
Evening*
5000'
Sunday
Night
2500'
Monday
Morning
1500'
Monday
Afternoon
2000'
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, January 29, 2022
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
32 / 29
32 / 30
West North
28 / 27
31 / 29
West Central
29 / 25
32 / 29
West South
30 / 26
34 / 28
Stevens Pass
30 / 23
34 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass
29 / 22
33 / 29
East North
29 / 23
32 / 27
East Central
30 / 26
33 / 28
East South
32 / 30
35 / 28
Mt. Hood
33 / 29
36 / 31
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
32 / 29
Sunday
32 / 30
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
28 / 27
Sunday
31 / 29
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 25
Sunday
32 / 29
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
30 / 26
Sunday
34 / 28
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
30 / 23
Sunday
34 / 29
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 22
Sunday
33 / 29
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
29 / 23
Sunday
32 / 27
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
30 / 26
Sunday
33 / 28
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
32 / 30
Sunday
35 / 28
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Saturday
Night
33 / 29
Sunday
36 / 31
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, January 29, 2022
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
Saturday
Night
Sunday
Morning
Sunday
Afternoon
Olympics
SW 10-20
SW 15-25
SW 25-35
SSW 30-40
West North
SSW 10-20
SSW 10-20
SW 20-30
SSW 25-35
West Central
SW 5-15
SW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SSW 20-30
West South
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
WSW 5-15
SW 20-30
Stevens Pass
WSW 5-15
WSW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
W 5-15
WSW 10-20
W 10-20
S 15-25
East North
WSW 10-20
WSW 10-20
WSW 10-20
SW 15-25
East Central
W 15-25
WSW 15-25
W 15-25
SW 15-25
East South
WSW 15-25
W 10-20
W 5-15
SW 15-25
Mt. Hood
WSW 15-25
WSW 20-30
WSW 5-15
SW 25-35
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
SW
10-20
Saturday
Night
SW
15-25
Sunday
Morning
SW
25-35
Sunday
Afternoon
SSW
30-40
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
SSW
10-20
Saturday
Night
SSW
10-20
Sunday
Morning
SW
20-30
Sunday
Afternoon
SSW
25-35
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
SW
5-15
Saturday
Night
SW
10-20
Sunday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
SSW
20-30
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
SW
5-15
Saturday
Night
SW
5-15
Sunday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Sunday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
WSW
5-15
Saturday
Night
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
SW
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
5-15
Saturday
Night
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Morning
W
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
S
15-25
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
WSW
10-20
Saturday
Night
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Morning
WSW
10-20
Sunday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
W
15-25
Saturday
Night
WSW
15-25
Sunday
Morning
W
15-25
Sunday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
WSW
15-25
Saturday
Night
W
10-20
Sunday
Morning
W
5-15
Sunday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday
Evening
WSW
15-25
Saturday
Night
WSW
20-30
Sunday
Morning
WSW
5-15
Sunday
Afternoon
SW
25-35
Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, January 29, 2022
Extended Weather Synopsis
NW flow continues as the region is sandwiched between a trough over the plains of Canada and an offshore high. This should bring low snow levels and light snow showers to the region throughout the extended forecast. Disturbances Tuesday morning and late Wednesday may bring the most organized snow showers.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).