Issued: 2:10 PM PST Friday, January 28, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The high pressure parked over our region for a week gradually retreats southeastward through Saturday, paving the way for a strong cold frontal passage late Sunday. Freezing levels gradually lower from the 9000-10000 ft range Friday afternoon to the 6000-8500 ft range on Saturday. While high elevations and locations west of the Cascade Crest bask in the warmth, lower elevations near and east of the Cascade Crest remain trapped in cold air. Moderate E flow ushers that cold air through the mountain gaps but decreases on Saturday. The cold air pool becomes isolated to deep valleys as it gets scoured out by increasing SSW winds during the afternoon and evening but holds on in the Methow Valley.

Saturday night, rain and snow spread across Washington State with moderate intensities developing north of I-90 and for parts of the Olympic Mountains. Snow levels range from 3000 ft in the north to 4500 ft in the south. The frontal system develops a warm sector on Sunday as a weak low riding along the trailing cold front adds energy and moisture. The warm sector should be drier, so the heaviest precipitation is likely to be from Snoqualmie Pass northward. Snow levels should rise 500-1000 ft for the central Washington Cascades southward by Sunday afternoon with moderate to heavy precipitation and WSW ridgeline winds envelop the region. Through Sunday afternoon, we expect around 6-12" of dense snow above 4500 with higher amounts likely at Mt. Baker down to around 3000 ft and very little accumulation at Mt. Hood. A strong cold front should push through late in the day.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strengthening low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strengthening low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening during the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strengthening low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strengthening low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strong low-level inversion. Decreasing light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day. Light E winds at the Pass.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strong low-level inversion. Decreasing light to occasionally moderate E winds at the Pass.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day. Light E winds at the Pass.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Very strong low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day. Inversion weakening in the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Very strong low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day. Inversion becoming very shallow by the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Very strong low-level inversion.
Saturday High clouds lowering and thickening late in the day. Inversion becoming very shallow by the afternoon.
Friday Night Mostly clear with some high clouds. Strong low-level inversion.
Saturday Increasing high clouds. Inversion mixing out by late morning.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0.25 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0.50 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0.25 1.00
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0.25 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Paradise 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Timberline 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 1.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 9000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 5500' 4500' 5000' 4500'
West North 7500' 6500' 6000' 5500' 4000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
West Central 8000' 7500' 6500' 6500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
West South 9000' 8500' 7500' 7500' 6000' 4500' 4500' 5000'
Stevens Pass 7500' 7500' 6500' 6500' 5500' 3500' 3500' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 8500' 8000' 7000' 7000' 5500' 4000' 4000' 5000'
East North 7000' 6500' 0 0 0 0 3000' 4000'
East Central 8000' 8000' 7000' 7000' 5000' 3500' 4000' 5000'
East South 9000' 8500' 8000' 7500' 6500' 5000' 5000' 5500'
Mt. Hood 9000' 9000' 8500' 8000' 7500' 7000' 6500' 6000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 7500'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 7500'
Friday Night* 6500'
Saturday Morning* 6000'
Saturday Afternoon* 5500'
Saturday Evening* 4000'
Saturday Night* 3000'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 3500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 8000'
Friday Night* 7500'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 4500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 8500'
Saturday Morning* 7500'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'
Saturday Evening* 6000'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon* 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 7500'
Friday Night* 7500'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 3500'
Sunday Afternoon* 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 8500'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Saturday Evening* 5500'
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon* 5000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 7000'
Friday Night* 6500'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 3000'
Sunday Afternoon* 4000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 8000'
Friday Night* 8000'
Saturday Morning* 7000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7000'
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday Morning* 4000'
Sunday Afternoon* 5000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 8500'
Saturday Morning* 8000'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'
Saturday Evening* 6500'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon* 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 9000'
Saturday Morning* 8500'
Saturday Afternoon* 8000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night* 7000'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon* 6000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 41 / 34 39 / 35
West North 40 / 33 38 / 35
West Central 41 / 34 39 / 35
West South 43 / 34 40 / 35
Stevens Pass 39 / 27 38 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 41 / 27 39 / 33
East North 30 / 20 34 / 23
East Central 38 / 27 39 / 30
East South 39 / 33 40 / 34
Mt. Hood 39 / 34 40 / 35
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 41 / 34
Saturday 39 / 35
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 40 / 33
Saturday 38 / 35
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 41 / 34
Saturday 39 / 35
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 43 / 34
Saturday 40 / 35
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 39 / 27
Saturday 38 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 41 / 27
Saturday 39 / 33
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 20
Saturday 34 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 38 / 27
Saturday 39 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 39 / 33
Saturday 40 / 34
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 39 / 34
Saturday 40 / 35

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 10-20 SW 15-25 SSW 15-25 SW 10-20
West North SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30
West Central SSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 5-15 SW 10-20
West South SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 10-20
Stevens Pass SSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SW 0-10 WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15
East North WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 10-20
East Central WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
East South WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 10-20 SW 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night SW 5-15
Saturday Morning SSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 0-10
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 0-10
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon SW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 5-15
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

Rapid cooling moves in a potent upper trough on Sunday night. Rain should transition to moderate snow showers down to Snoqualmie Pass elevations and below by the overnight hours. Low-density snow showers become light and focused on the west slopes of the Cascades with 1000-2500 ft snow levels Monday. A slightly moist NW flow combined with colder than average temperatures should maintain the very light snow showers across the region Monday night and Tuesday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 2500' 1000' 500' 0
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 1000' 1000' 500'
Mt. Hood 5000' 2500' 1500' 1000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 1000'
Monday Night 500'
Tuesday 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 3500'
Monday 1000'
Monday Night 1000'
Tuesday 500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 5000'
Monday 2500'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday 1000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 28, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.