Issued: 2:34 PM PST Tuesday, January 18, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

230 PM Update - Adjusted East Slopes South snow levels Wednesday night.

Scattered light showers over the west slopes of the Cascades and Olympics will continue to taper off overnight with very light snow additional accumulations possible. An upper level ridge will build offshore and temporarily delay the arrival of warm frontal precipitation on Wednesday. The exception may be the Mt. Hood area where light rain and snow may develop during the day on Wednesday. Low clouds will break up a bit for the Washington Cascades on Wednesday just as high clouds start streaming overhead in advance of the next weather system. Snow levels will more or less stay steady over the Washington Cascades, while temperatures/freezing levels start to rise for the Olympics and Mt Hood area. 

Warm frontal precipitation will move inland Wednesday night along with rising snow levels and increasing winds. There may be a period of freezing rain for Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Pass Wednesday evening before a change to rain later that night.  Most trailheads will see rain as snow levels rise to 5000-8000' across the region, with the lowest snow levels relatively speaking over the north Cascades. The heaviest precipitation should come with the frontal passage Thursday morning. Post-frontal showers will decrease on Thursday and should be heaviest where a Puget Sound Convergence zone forms.  There won't much cooling behind the strong front but expect plenty of wind. Strong to extreme westerly winds will rock most areas later Thursday afternoon, strongest in the central and southern Washington Cascades, especially east of the Cascade crest.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Cloudy.
Wednesday Cloudy with a chance of light rain or snow in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy. Chance of showers.
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy. Chance of showers.
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers early.
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy. Chance of showers early. Light west wind becoming variable at Pass level.
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Light east winds at Pass level increasing late.
Tuesday Night Cloudy. Chance of showers early. Light west wind becoming variable at Pass level.
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Light east winds at Pass level increasing late.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Partly sunny, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Partly sunny, becoming cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Partly cloudy.
Wednesday Partly sunny, becoming cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Wednesday Cloudy with periods of light rain or snow.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 3500' 3000' 3500' 5500' 6500' 7500' 5500' 5000'
West North 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 5500' 5000' 4000'
West Central 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4500' 6000' 6000' 4500'
West South 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 5500' 7500' 7000' 5000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 5000' 6000' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 6500' 6500' 5000'
East North 3000' 2000' 2000' 3500' 2500' 3500' 5000' 5500'
East Central 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 4000' 6000' 6000'
East South 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 4500' 6500' 7000' 6000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4500' 4500' 6000' 6000' 8500' 7500' 6500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 7500'
Thursday Morning 5500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 5500'
Thursday Morning 5000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 4500'
Wednesday Night* 6000'
Thursday Morning 6000'
Thursday Afternoon 4500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 7500'
Thursday Morning 7000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 5000'
Thursday Morning 6000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning 6500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning 5000'
Thursday Afternoon 5500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning 6000'
Thursday Afternoon 6000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4500'
Wednesday Evening* 4500'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning 7000'
Thursday Afternoon 6000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 4000'
Tuesday Night 4500'
Wednesday Morning 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 6000'
Wednesday Evening* 6000'
Wednesday Night* 8500'
Thursday Morning 7500'
Thursday Afternoon 6500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 27 34 / 27
West North 29 / 26 29 / 25
West Central 29 / 27 30 / 26
West South 29 / 27 32 / 26
Stevens Pass 29 / 27 30 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 27 30 / 26
East North 27 / 25 28 / 23
East Central 28 / 26 29 / 24
East South 28 / 27 31 / 26
Mt. Hood 31 / 29 35 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Wednesday 34 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 26
Wednesday 29 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Wednesday 30 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Wednesday 32 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Wednesday 30 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Wednesday 30 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 25
Wednesday 28 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 26
Wednesday 29 / 24
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 27
Wednesday 31 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 29
Wednesday 35 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics VAR 0-10 VAR 0-10 W 0-10 W 5-15
West North W 0-10 VAR 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10
West Central W 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10 W 5-15
West South W 0-10 W 0-10 W 5-15 W 10-20
Stevens Pass WNW 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15 W 5-15 W 5-15
East North W 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10 W 5-15
East Central WNW 10-20 WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20 W 10-20
East South WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15
Mt. Hood W 15-25 W 15-25 W 20-30 WNW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening VAR 0-10
Tuesday Night VAR 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night VAR 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night W 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night W 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 0-10
Tuesday Night W 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night WNW 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night W 0-10
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 10-20
Tuesday Night WNW 5-15
Wednesday Morning WNW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night WNW 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

Showers will taper off Thursday night, lingering longest along the west slopes of the Cascades. A strong upper level ridge and surface high pressure will build offshore and dominate our weather through the weekend. While conditions will dry out on Friday, strong NNW winds and low-level clouds may linger west of the Cascade crest. Freezing levels will begin to warm across the region on Friday, but skyrocket on Saturday to 12,000'. 5000' temperatures will be into the 40s and potentially milder. Warm dry weather will continue through Sunday.  There are no significant storms on the horizon looking out well into next week. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 2500' 7000' 10000' 12000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 7500' 10000' 12000'
Mt. Hood 4500' 9000' 11000' 12000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday 7000'
Friday Night 10000'
Saturday 12000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday 7500'
Friday Night 10000'
Saturday 12000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 4500'
Friday 9000'
Friday Night 11000'
Saturday 12000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 18, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.