Issued: 1:57 PM PST Friday, November 26, 2021
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Lingering showers, mainly in the central Cascades, should continue to wind down as we head into Friday night. While you could encounter a few stray sprinkles, the general trend will be for a mild and dry evening with increasing clouds. By Saturday morning, yet another atmospheric river will begin to take aim at the region. While the firehose of this storm will primarily focus on Vancouver Island, strong winds and increasingly heavy precipitation will arrive at locations near Hurricane Ridge and Mt Baker during the morning. As the bulk of the moisture finally reaches the Pacific Northwest, stormy conditions will spread to areas further south and east. The heaviest precipitation and warmest temperatures will occur Satruday night, with many locations seeing snow levels soaring to 7500-9500'. Many areas could see more than 1.5-3+" of water by the time this storm ends. 

On Sunday, locally heavy showers will continue primarily for areas along the west slopes of the Cascades and Olympics. Areas further south and east should see significantly less rain and snow as the focus of the storm again shifts into Canada. Some uncertainty remains in the forecast for Sunday. Some weather models try to draw in additional moisture to maintain the stormy conditions. Others suggest that the precipitation will slowly taper into lingering showers. Slightly cooler temperatures, allow snow levels to drop slightly, though they should remain well above trailhead locations. 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Increasing clouds. SSW winds increasing and becoming moderate.
Saturday Stormy. Moderate to strong winds, warming temperatures, and periods of heavy rain.
Friday Night Increasing clouds. SSW winds becoming moderate.
Saturday Stormy. Moderate to strong S winds, warming temperatures, and periods of heavy rain and snow.
Friday Night Increasing clouds. Slight possibility for a stray shower. Moderate SW winds increasing slightly overnight.
Saturday Becoming stormy. Moderate to strong SW winds, warming temperatures, and periods of heavy rain and snow.
Friday Night Increasing clouds. Slight possibility for a stray shower. Moderate SW winds increasing slightly overnight.
Saturday Cloudy. Temperatures warming. Precipitation increasing in the afternoon. Heaviest near the volcanoes. Moderate to strong SW winds.
Friday Night Increasing clouds. Slight possibility of a few stray showers. Light W winds.
Saturday Cloudy. Temperatures warming significantly. Precipitation increasing throughout the day. Moderate SW ridgetop winds increasing in the afternoon. Light easterly flow at Pass level.
Friday Night Increasing clouds. Slight possibility of a few stray showers. Light W winds.
Saturday Cloudy. Temperatures warming significantly. Precipitation increasing throughout the day. Strong SW ridgetop winds increasing in the afternoon. Light easterly flow at Pass level.
Friday Night Partly cloudy with clouds increasing.
Saturday Cloudy. Multiple freezing levels, with upper elevations warming. Precipitation and winds increasing during the day. Moderate to strong SW winds.
Friday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. Clouds increasing overnight. Winds decreasing slightly.
Saturday Cloudy. Warming temperatures. Precipitation increasing throughout the day. Heaviest near the Cascade Crest. Moderate to strong SW winds increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. Clouds increasing overnight.
Saturday Cloudy. Warming temperatures. Precipitation increasing throughout the day. Heaviest near the Cascade Crest. Moderate to strong SW winds increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Cloudy. Slight chance of a few stray showers. Moderate W winds.
Saturday Cloudy. Temperatures warming significantly. Precipitation and winds increasing in the afternoon. Moderate to strong SW winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.50 1.00 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 1.00 2.00 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0.75 2.00 - 2.50 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.50 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.50 1.50 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0.75 -1.00 1.50 0.25
White Pass 0 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0.25 0.75 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.75 0.75 0
Timberline LT 0.10 0.75 1.00 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 2.00
Sunday 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Sunday 1.00 - 1.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 1.50
Sunday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 1.00
Sunday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 4500' 6500' 9000' 9500' 8500' 7500' 7000'
West North 4000' 4000' 4500' 6500' 8500' 8000' 7000' 6000'
West Central 5000' 5000' 6000' 8000' 9500' 9000' 7500' 6500'
West South 5500' 5500' 6500' 8500' 9500' 8500' 7000' 7000'
Stevens Pass 5000' 4500' 5500' 7500' 9500' 9000' 7500' 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass 5500' 5500' 6500' 8500' 9500' 9000' 7500' 7000'
East North 4000' 3500' 3500' 5000' 7500' 8000' 7500' 6500'
East Central 5000' 5000' 5500' 7500' 9500' 9000' 7500' 7000'
East South 6000' 6000' 6500' 8500' 9500' 9000' 7000' 7000'
Mt. Hood 6500' 7000' 7500' 9500' 10000' 8500' 7500' 7000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 9000'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 8500'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 4000'
Saturday Morning* 4500'
Saturday Afternoon* 6500'
Saturday Evening* 8500'
Saturday Night 8000'
Sunday Morning 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 6000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 5000'
Saturday Morning* 6000'
Saturday Afternoon* 8000'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 9000'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 5500'
Friday Night 5500'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 8500'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 8500'
Sunday Morning 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 4500'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 9000'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 5500'
Friday Night 5500'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 8500'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 9000'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon* 5000'
Saturday Evening* 7500'
Saturday Night 8000'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 6500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 5000'
Friday Night 5000'
Saturday Morning* 5500'
Saturday Afternoon* 7500'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 9000'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 6000'
Friday Night 6000'
Saturday Morning* 6500'
Saturday Afternoon* 8500'
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night 9000'
Sunday Morning 7000'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 6500'
Friday Night 7000'
Saturday Morning* 7500'
Saturday Afternoon* 9500'
Saturday Evening* 10000'
Saturday Night 8500'
Sunday Morning 7500'
Sunday Afternoon 7000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 34 / 29 40 / 34
West North 29 / 27 38 / 30
West Central 31 / 28 39 / 30
West South 33 / 31 40 / 34
Stevens Pass 32 / 29 37 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 32 / 30 36 / 29
East North 29 / 27 33 / 29
East Central 32 / 30 36 / 30
East South 33 / 31 38 / 33
Mt. Hood 38 / 35 43 / 38
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 34 / 29
Saturday 40 / 34
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 27
Saturday 38 / 30
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 31 / 28
Saturday 39 / 30
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 31
Saturday 40 / 34
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 29
Saturday 37 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 30
Saturday 36 / 29
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 27
Saturday 33 / 29
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 32 / 30
Saturday 36 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 33 / 31
Saturday 38 / 33
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 38 / 35
Saturday 43 / 38

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SW 5-15 SSW 15-25 SSW 25-35 SW 40-55
West North SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 S 20-30 SSW 35-50
West Central SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 30-40
West South WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SSW 25-35
Stevens Pass W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 10-20 WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 30-40
East North W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 SSW 20-30
East Central W 10-20 WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 30-40
East South W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 WSW 25-35
Mt. Hood W 10-20 WSW 15-25 SW 20-30 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night SSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 25-35
Saturday Afternoon SW 40-55
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 15-25
Saturday Morning S 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SSW 35-50
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 5-15
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 5-15
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 30-40
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon SW 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night WSW 5-15
Saturday Morning SW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

The active weather pattern continues as we wrap up the weekend and head into the first part of the week. Lingering showers should continue to bring rain and high elevation snow to parts of the Cascades. The greater impacts of any showers Sunday night and Monday will largely depend on if additional moisture makes its way into the jet stream. Either way, by Monday night, the focus shifts to another atmospheric river. Right now this system seems to focus further north into Canada. However, windy conditions, high snow levels, and at least some precipitation seems on track for Tuesday. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night* Tuesday
West North 4500' 4500' 3500' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 5500' 5000' 6500'
Mt. Hood 6500' 6000' 6000' 8000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 4500'
Monday 4500'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 6000'
Monday 5500'
Monday Night* 5000'
Tuesday 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 6500'
Monday 6000'
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday 8000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 25, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.