Issued: 2:03 PM PDT Tuesday, March 16, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

High pressure holds off the storm track through Wednesday night as a deep offshore trough spins gradually toward our coastline. A more active weather pattern returns on Thursday.

The ridge of high pressure dominating our region shifts east Tuesday night, but the quiet weather remains. Winds through the mountain gaps shift E during the evening hours and begin to gradually increase, but remain light. Temperatures should be milder than Monday night. Skies remain mostly clear with thin, high clouds at times.

Wednesday should be slightly milder than Tuesday with freezing levels reaching 5000-6000 ft. After a mostly sunny start for the Cascades, mid and high-level clouds gradually increase throughout the day ahead of the system arriving on Thursday. S and SE ridgeline winds and E gap winds increase into the light to occasionally moderate range by the afternoon.

Wednesday night may feature some partial clearing. Ridgeline S/SE and gap E winds increase slightly in the light to moderate range.

On Thursday, a cold front pushes into the Pacific Northwest bringing generally light rain and snow, with 1-4" of snow expected for areas receiving frozen precipitation above 4500-5000 ft. E flow may keep the passes and east slopes of the Cascades slightly cooler than areas further west, such as Paradise and Mt. Baker.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Increasing high clouds, thickening toward morning.
Wednesday High clouds with periods of filtered sunshine.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with thin, high clouds increasing towards morning.
Wednesday High clouds with periods of filtered sunshine.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with thin, high clouds increasing towards morning.
Wednesday Thin, high clouds and filtered sunshine in the morning. High clouds thickening in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with thin, high clouds increasing towards morning.
Wednesday Thin, high clouds and filtered sunshine in the morning and evening. Thicker high cloud likely in the mid-day hours.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with periods of thin, high clouds. Light W wind switching E during the evening hours at the Pass.
Wednesday High clouds with filtered sunshine more likely in the morning and evening hours. Light to occasionally moderate E winds at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with periods of thin, high clouds. Light W wind switching E during the evening hours at the Pass.
Wednesday High clouds with filtered sunshine more likely in the morning and evening hours. Light to moderate E winds at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with periods of thin, high clouds.
Wednesday Thin, high clouds and filtered sunshine in the morning. High clouds thickening in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with periods of thin, high clouds.
Wednesday Thin, high clouds and filtered sunshine in the morning. High clouds thickening in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with periods of thin, high clouds.
Wednesday High clouds and filtered sunshine.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear with high clouds increasing during the early morning hours.
Wednesday High clouds and filtered sunshine.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0 0.25
White Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0.25
Timberline 0 0 0 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 5500' 6000' 5000' 4000'
West North 4000' 3000' 3500' 5500' 5500' 4500' 4000' 5000'
West Central 4500' 3500' 4000' 5500' 6000' 5500' 5500' 5000'
West South 5000' 4000' 4000' 5500' 6000' 5000' 5500' 5000'
Stevens Pass 5000' 3500' 3500' 5000' 5500' 4500' 4500' 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' 4000' 4000' 5500' 5500' 5000' 5000' 5000'
East North 4500' 3000' 3000' 5000' 5000' 4500' 4000' 5000'
East Central 5000' 4000' 4000' 5000' 5500' 5000' 5000' 5000'
East South 5500' 4000' 4000' 5500' 5500' 5500' 5000' 5000'
Mt. Hood 5500' 4500' 4500' 6000' 6500' 7500' 6500' 5000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 6000'
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4000'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4500'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 6000'
Wednesday Night* 5500'
Thursday Morning* 5500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 6000'
Wednesday Night* 5000'
Thursday Morning* 5500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 5000'
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 4500'
Tuesday Night* 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 5000'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5000'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 5000'
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 5500'
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 5500'
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 6000'
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 7500'
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon 5000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 26 38 / 27
West North 31 / 26 38 / 26
West Central 32 / 27 37 / 27
West South 34 / 28 42 / 28
Stevens Pass 34 / 27 39 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 32 / 27 37 / 27
East North 34 / 26 37 / 25
East Central 35 / 27 37 / 26
East South 36 / 26 39 / 25
Mt. Hood 34 / 27 41 / 27
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 26
Wednesday 38 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 31 / 26
Wednesday 38 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 27
Wednesday 37 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 28
Wednesday 42 / 28
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 27
Wednesday 39 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 27
Wednesday 37 / 27
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 26
Wednesday 37 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 35 / 27
Wednesday 37 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 36 / 26
Wednesday 39 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 34 / 27
Wednesday 41 / 27

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics S 0-10 SSW 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15
West North S 0-10 S 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15
West Central S 0-10 S 0-10 SE 5-15 ESE 10-20
West South SSE 0-10 SSE 0-10 S 0-10 S 5-15
Stevens Pass SSW 0-10 S 0-10 SE 5-15 SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SE 0-10 SE 0-10 ESE 5-15 SE 10-20
East North WSW 0-10 SSW 0-10 S 5-15 SE 5-15
East Central WSW 0-10 S 5-15 S 10-20 S 5-15
East South SSE 0-10 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood ESE 0-10 SW 0-10 SSW 5-15 S 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening S 0-10
Tuesday Night SSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning S 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening S 0-10
Tuesday Night S 5-15
Wednesday Morning S 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening S 0-10
Tuesday Night S 0-10
Wednesday Morning SE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSE 0-10
Tuesday Night SSE 0-10
Wednesday Morning S 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSW 0-10
Tuesday Night S 0-10
Wednesday Morning SE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SE 0-10
Tuesday Night SE 0-10
Wednesday Morning ESE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 0-10
Tuesday Night SSW 0-10
Wednesday Morning S 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 0-10
Tuesday Night S 5-15
Wednesday Morning S 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SSE 0-10
Tuesday Night SE 5-15
Wednesday Morning SSE 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening ESE 0-10
Tuesday Night SW 0-10
Wednesday Morning SSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon S 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

The cold, deep trough gradually moves into our nearshore waters Thursday night and Friday with SSW flow bringing rain and snow showers. The trough arrives Friday night with rain and snow shower activity focusing slightly more on the southern parts of the forecast area. The trough pushes east of our region on Saturday with continued mountain-enhanced rain and snow showers. Snow levels lower behind Thursday's front and should reach and remain at Snoqualmie Pass level or lower from Friday morning onward.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3000' 3000' 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 2500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 2500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday 3000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 16, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.