Issued: 2:13 PM PST Thursday, March 4, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A north-south oriented frontal band associated with a deep low pressure system NW of Hadia Gwaii has pushed through the Olympics and into the Puget Sound region this afternoon. The front should advance into the Mt Baker area this afternoon and become quasi-stationary, only glancing the central and south Washington Cascades this evening with light precipitation.  A new warm frontal feature will lift north along the frontal boundary tonight, ramping up winds for Hurricane Ridge and Mt Baker as it passes north; these same areas will receive the bulk of the precipitation in this pattern. Strong S-SE winds will become widespread by Friday morning. The frontal boundary will shift inland on Friday and finally pass east of the Cascades Friday night.  The trailing upper-level trough will pass over the area on Saturday keeping light showers in the forecast. Snow levels should drop to around 3000' by Saturday morning.   

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds increasing after midnight.
Friday Moderate rain and snow becoming light to occasionally moderate showers in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow in the evening then chance of rain and snow after midnight.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow after midnight. Moderate E to SE winds at Pass level and ridgelines.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow. Moderate E to SE winds at Pass level and ridgelines.
Thursday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow after midnight. Moderate east winds at Pass level and strong SE winds along ridgelines.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow. Moderate E to SE winds at Pass level and ridgelines.
Thursday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow after midnight.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.
Thursday Night Cloudy with occasional light rain and snow in the evening near the crest, then cloudy after midnight.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.
Thursday Night Cloudy.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.
Thursday Night Cloudy. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00 0.50 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25
White Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 4000' 4500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West North 4000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 5000' 5000' 4000' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West South 6000' 6000' 5500' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 4500' 4500' 4000' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 6000' 5500' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East North 4500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 3500' 2000' 2500' 3500'
East Central 5000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 3500' 2000' 2500' 4000'
East South 6000' 5500' 5500' 5000' 3500' 2000' 3000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 7500' 7000' 6500' 5500' 3500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 5000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 4500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 5000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 5500'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 7500'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon 5500'
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 27 30 / 25
West North 33 / 29 32 / 27
West Central 34 / 29 34 / 28
West South 35 / 31 35 / 29
Stevens Pass 35 / 29 35 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass 34 / 30 35 / 30
East North 34 / 29 36 / 30
East Central 35 / 31 36 / 33
East South 37 / 28 36 / 29
Mt. Hood 38 / 33 36 / 31
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 30 / 27
Friday 30 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 33 / 29
Friday 32 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 34 / 29
Friday 34 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 31
Friday 35 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 29
Friday 35 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 34 / 30
Friday 35 / 30
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 34 / 29
Friday 36 / 30
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 35 / 31
Friday 36 / 33
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 37 / 28
Friday 36 / 29
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 38 / 33
Friday 36 / 31

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics S 15-25 S 30-40 S 25-35 S 25-35
West North S 20-30 S 20-30 S 25-35 S 20-30
West Central SSE 10-20 SSE 15-25 SSE 20-30 S 15-25
West South SE 20-30 SSE 25-35 SSE 25-35 SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass SE 5-15 SE 15-25 SE 15-25 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SE 10-20 SE 25-35 SE 15-25 SE 10-20
East North S 15-25 SSE 20-30 S 20-30 S 15-25
East Central S 15-25 S 20-30 S 20-30 S 15-25
East South S 10-20 S 15-25 S 15-25 S 15-25
Mt. Hood S 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 20-30 SSW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 30-40
Friday Morning S 25-35
Friday Afternoon S 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 20-30
Thursday Night S 20-30
Friday Morning S 25-35
Friday Afternoon S 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSE 10-20
Thursday Night SSE 15-25
Friday Morning SSE 20-30
Friday Afternoon S 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 20-30
Thursday Night SSE 25-35
Friday Morning SSE 25-35
Friday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 5-15
Thursday Night SE 15-25
Friday Morning SE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SE 10-20
Thursday Night SE 25-35
Friday Morning SE 15-25
Friday Afternoon SE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night SSE 20-30
Friday Morning S 20-30
Friday Afternoon S 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night S 20-30
Friday Morning S 20-30
Friday Afternoon S 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 10-20
Thursday Night S 15-25
Friday Morning S 15-25
Friday Afternoon S 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 15-25
Thursday Night SSW 20-30
Friday Morning SSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

An upper low off shore will rotate light but widespread showers into the region with cool snow levels and SW flow aloft on Sunday.  The low dips further south along the coast on Monday as we begin to dry out.  

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 1500' 2000' 2000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 2500' 2500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 3000' 2500' 4000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 2500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 4, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.