Issued: 1:47 PM PST Saturday, February 27, 2021
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Clouds have already begun to move into the region from the NW this afternoon as an approaching short-wave system inches closer. Thicker clouds, light to moderate precipitation, and increasing winds will eventually reach the mountains overnight. This isn't an impressive system and showers will struggle to make it very far past the Cascade Crest. Areas from Mt Rainier northward could receive 2-6" of snow by mid-morning on Sunday with much less in other locations. 

A high-pressure ridge out in the Pacific should flatten and shift east Sunday, bringing drier weather and a quick end to any remaining showers. As it does so, it will usher in warmer air and drive temperatures above freezing for some trailhead locations. Fortunately, by this point, most of the precipitation is over, and any rain will be very light and short-lived. We should remain dry Sunday night into Monday as the high-pressure continues to track east. This will return easterly flow to the Cascade Passes. However, without a significant cold air pool in central Washington, this will do little to lower freezing levels. For Monday, expect more clouds near the Canadian border and more sunshine further south as we take a brief break from the active weather pattern. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated light snow showers.
Sunday Cloudy. Occasional flurries possible.
Saturday Night Cloudy with scattered light showers.
Sunday Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the morning.
Saturday Night Cloudy with light snow showers.
Sunday Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the morning.
Saturday Night Cloudy with light snow showers. Heaviest on Mt Rainier. W winds becoming strong.
Sunday Mostly cloudy with snow showers in the morning. Strong W winds decreasing.
Saturday Night Cloudy with light snow showers. W winds becoming strong.
Sunday Cloudy with showers in the morning. Strong W winds decreasing in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. W winds becoming strong.
Sunday Cloudy with light showers in the morning. Strong W winds.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated snow showers near the crest. W winds becoming strong.
Sunday Partly to mostly cloudy with periods of sunshine.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers near the crest. Strong WNW winds increasing overnight.
Sunday Cloudy near the crest with isolated showers. Mostly sunny further east. Strong WNW winds decreasing.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated showers possible near the crest. Strong NW winds increasing.
Sunday Mostly cloudy near the crest. Mostly sunny further east. Strong NW winds decreasing.
Saturday Night Cloudy with isolated snow showers. Strong NW winds increasing.
Sunday Cloudy in the morning with lingering showers. Some clearing possible in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Paradise 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Timberline LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0
Monday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening* Sunday Night* Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 4500'
West North 1500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500'
West Central 1500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 4500'
West South 2000' 2500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Stevens Pass 1500' 1500' 2500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2500' 3000' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3500' 4500'
East North 500' 0 1000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
East Central 1000' 1000' 2000' 4000' 3500' 2500' 3000' 4000'
East South 1500' 2500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3500' 4000' 5500'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 3500'
Sunday Morning 4000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 4500'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening* 3000'
Sunday Night* 2000'
Monday Morning* 2500'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening 1000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 3500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 4500'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday Morning* 3500'
Monday Afternoon 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 4000'
Sunday Evening* 4000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday Morning* 4000'
Monday Afternoon 5500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 28 / 23 31 / 28
West North 24 / 17 32 / 25
West Central 24 / 18 32 / 24
West South 25 / 22 33 / 25
Stevens Pass 24 / 19 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 25 / 21 32 / 25
East North 22 / 19 32 / 23
East Central 23 / 19 32 / 24
East South 25 / 21 36 / 24
Mt. Hood 25 / 23 38 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 28 / 23
Sunday 31 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 17
Sunday 32 / 25
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 18
Sunday 32 / 24
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 25 / 22
Sunday 33 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 24 / 19
Sunday 29 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 25 / 21
Sunday 32 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 22 / 19
Sunday 32 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 23 / 19
Sunday 32 / 24
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 25 / 21
Sunday 36 / 24
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 25 / 23
Sunday 38 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics W 10-20 WNW 15-25 W 10-20 WSW 5-15
West North SW 5-15 W 15-25 W 10-20 WSW 10-20
West Central W 10-20 W 10-20 W 15-25 W 10-20
West South W 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 10-20
Stevens Pass W 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 20-30
East North W 15-25 W 20-30 W 15-25 W 15-25
East Central WNW 20-30 WNW 30-40 WNW 20-30 NW 15-25
East South NW 15-25 NW 30-40 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25
Mt. Hood NW 25-35 NW 30-40 WNW 15-25 WNW 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 10-20
Saturday Night WNW 15-25
Sunday Morning W 10-20
Sunday Afternoon WSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 5-15
Saturday Night W 15-25
Sunday Morning W 10-20
Sunday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 10-20
Saturday Night W 10-20
Sunday Morning W 15-25
Sunday Afternoon W 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night W 20-30
Sunday Morning W 20-30
Sunday Afternoon W 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night W 20-30
Sunday Morning W 20-30
Sunday Afternoon W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night W 20-30
Sunday Morning W 20-30
Sunday Afternoon W 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening W 15-25
Saturday Night W 20-30
Sunday Morning W 15-25
Sunday Afternoon W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WNW 20-30
Saturday Night WNW 30-40
Sunday Morning WNW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon NW 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening NW 15-25
Saturday Night NW 30-40
Sunday Morning WNW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening NW 25-35
Saturday Night NW 30-40
Sunday Morning WNW 15-25
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

A very elongated trough approaching the Pacific Northwest Monday afternoon should eventually split before reaching the coast. The bulk of the system swings south toward California and north to British Columbia. We get the leftovers with increasing clouds and a few light showers Monday night into Tuesday. An associated cold front will help bring snow levels back down and enhance the shower activity. However, without a significant moisture tap, this system doesn't appear very impactful at this point. A larger more developed low-pressure system could approach the region on Wednesday, but weather models disagree on the current track of that storm. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday *
West North 3000' 2000' 500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2500' 500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 4000' 3000' 2000' 4000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night 3000'
Tuesday 2000'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday * 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night 3500'
Tuesday 2500'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday * 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night 4000'
Tuesday 3000'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday * 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 27, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.