Issued: 2:04 PM PST Wednesday, February 24, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A frontal system will move toward our area tonight, spreading light precipitation inland after midnight with S-SW winds increasing quickly for the Olympics and northwest Cascades. Precipitation will increase rapidly Thursday morning with an occluded front passing through the central Cascades around 8-9 am. Post frontal showers in cool northwesterly flow aloft will start to churn out snow showers heaviest near and west of the Cascade crest with significant spillover to the east slopes of the Cascades. 

West winds will be strong enough that defined convergence banding likely won't hold together Thursday afternoon or night, but the heaviest precipitation with some enhancement from convergent flow should settle in-between the Cascades south of Whatcom County towards Hwy 2. Strong to extreme west winds will be prevalent in all areas Thursday.  This won't be a feast or famine situation, all areas will see at least modest snowfall accumulations. 

A shortwave feature traveling down in NW flow will re-invigorate showers Thursday night and increase the winds even more. On Friday morning, the flow will turn more NW-esterly and begin to shift the heaviest showers and strongest winds into the south Washington Cascades and Mt Hood area during the day.  

By Friday afternoon, expect several feet of new snow to have accumulated across the Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt Hood. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow developing in the evening and increasing after midnight.Ridgeline winds becoming strong after midnight.
Thursday Moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers mid-morning. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow developing late in the evening and increasing to moderate after midnight. Ridgeline winds becoming strong after midnight.
Thursday Moderate rain and snow becoming rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy in the evening with light snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Moderate rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy in the evening with light snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Heaviest precipitation Paradise area. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy in the evening with light snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy in the evening with light snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong Pass level and ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy in the evening with light snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Light to moderate snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy in the evening with light snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow late.
Thursday Light rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow late.
Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light to moderate rain and snow showers in the late morning. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.75 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.75
Paradise LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 1.00 - 1.50 1.00
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.50 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.50 0.75 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.75 1.00 0.75
Timberline 0 1.00 1.00 - 1.50 1.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.75
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 1.00

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
West North 2000' 500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West Central 2500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
West South 2500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Stevens Pass 2500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
East North 2500' 0 1500' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East Central 2500' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
East South 2500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning 2500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 25 / 20 25 / 22
West North 21 / 18 24 / 22
West Central 21 / 19 23 / 20
West South 27 / 21 25 / 23
Stevens Pass 23 / 19 25 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 23 / 19 26 / 22
East North 23 / 19 25 / 21
East Central 24 / 19 26 / 23
East South 25 / 20 27 / 22
Mt. Hood 29 / 21 28 / 23
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 20
Thursday 25 / 22
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 18
Thursday 24 / 22
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 19
Thursday 23 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 27 / 21
Thursday 25 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 19
Thursday 25 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 19
Thursday 26 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 19
Thursday 25 / 21
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 24 / 19
Thursday 26 / 23
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 20
Thursday 27 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 21
Thursday 28 / 23

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics SW 10-20 SW 20-30 SW 25-35 W 30-40
West North S 10-20 S 25-35 SSW 30-40 W 20-30
West Central S 10-20 S 15-25 SW 30-40 W 30-40
West South SW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 30-40 W 30-40
Stevens Pass SW 5-15 SW 10-20 W 25-35 W 30-40
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 5-15 SW 15-25 W 30-40 W 35-50
East North SW 10-20 SW 15-25 WSW 25-35 W 30-40
East Central WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 W 30-40 W 40-55
East South SW 5-15 WSW 15-25 WSW 25-35 W 40-55
Mt. Hood SW 5-15 SW 20-30 W 35-50 W 40-55
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
Thursday Morning SW 25-35
Thursday Afternoon W 30-40
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 10-20
Wednesday Night S 25-35
Thursday Morning SSW 30-40
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 10-20
Wednesday Night S 15-25
Thursday Morning SW 30-40
Thursday Afternoon W 30-40
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 15-25
Thursday Morning SW 30-40
Thursday Afternoon W 30-40
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning W 25-35
Thursday Afternoon W 30-40
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 15-25
Thursday Morning W 30-40
Thursday Afternoon W 35-50
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 15-25
Thursday Morning WSW 25-35
Thursday Afternoon W 30-40
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 20-30
Thursday Morning W 30-40
Thursday Afternoon W 40-55
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night WSW 15-25
Thursday Morning WSW 25-35
Thursday Afternoon W 40-55
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 20-30
Thursday Morning W 35-50
Thursday Afternoon W 40-55

Extended Weather Synopsis

Significant shower activity will finally begin to taper down Friday night, easing from north to south across the forecast area.  Weak ridging will try to build in for the weekend but most models suggest some moisture and precipitation will affect Washington State at times through this period, more so closer to the Canadian border. Temperatures may moderate by the end of the weekend.  

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 500' 2500' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 1500' 3500' 3500' 4500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 500'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 1000'
Saturday 3000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 3500'
Saturday Night 3500'
Sunday 4500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 24, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.