Issued: 2:02 PM PST Tuesday, February 23, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Cool NW flow aloft along with an upper-level disturbance is enhancing shower activity over the mountains this afternoon. Showers are heaviest near a broad area of convergence stretching from the Mountain Loop Highway to Snoqualmie Pass this afternoon. This should remain the case until later this afternoon as the low-level wind flow becomes more northwesterly and drags the area of convergence further south, likely clipping Mt Rainier and Crystal mt in the late evening hours before petering out. Shower activity over all areas will taper off tonight as the flow becomes more northerly and drier. Strong west ridgeline winds will also begin to ease after midnight.  

We'll have a shortwave upper level ridge overhead tomorrow that will lead to a brief respite from the active weather.  While we should see widespread sunshine in the morning, high clouds ahead of the next system will move in during the afternoon, leading to filtered sunshine.  

Precipitation will move in Wednesday night with an occluded front passing through the Cascades around mid-day Thursday. Once again, we'll have cool NW flow aloft behind the front leading to significant additional snowfall accumulations in a showery regime.  Ridgeline winds will crank up once again Thursday.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers becoming partly cloudy after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming high overcast in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers becoming partly cloudy after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers becoming partly cloudy late. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing overnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening light to moderate snow showers tapering off late. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing overnight. Showers heaviest Crystal mt and Paradise area.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening light to occasionally moderate snow showers tapering off before midnight and becoming partly cloudy late. Moderate west ridgeline and Pass level winds decreasing overnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast in the afternoon. Light winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with moderate snow showers tapering off after midnight and becoming mostly cloudy late. Strong west ridgeline and Pass level winds decreasing overnight.
Wednesday Partly to mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast in the afternoon. Light winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers becoming partly cloudy overnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast late in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with light snow showers, occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest, becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing overnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast late in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with light snow showers, occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest, becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing overnight.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast late in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Cloudy in the evening with light to moderate snow showers tapering off late. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds slowly decreasing.
Wednesday Mostly sunny in the morning becoming filtered sunshine with high overcast late in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0 0.25 1.00
Stevens Pass 0.25 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0 LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0 LT 0.10 0.50
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0 LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00
White Pass LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0 0.25 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 0 LT 0.10 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0 0 0.75 -1.00
Timberline 0.50 0 0 1.00
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 1.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 1.00

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 500' 1500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
West North 1000' 0 1500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
West Central 1000' 0 1500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500'
West South 1000' 0 1500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 1000' 0 1500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 0 1500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
East North 1000' 0 1500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 2000' 3000'
East Central 1000' 0 1500' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East South 1000' 0 1500' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1000' 1500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 18 / 10 26 / 12
West North 17 / 12 24 / 14
West Central 18 / 11 24 / 12
West South 21 / 12 27 / 10
Stevens Pass 19 / 11 27 / 11
Snoqualmie Pass 19 / 12 25 / 11
East North 18 / 10 26 / 10
East Central 19 / 11 25 / 12
East South 20 / 11 28 / 11
Mt. Hood 23 / 13 27 / 11
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 10
Wednesday 26 / 12
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 17 / 12
Wednesday 24 / 14
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 11
Wednesday 24 / 12
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 21 / 12
Wednesday 27 / 10
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 11
Wednesday 27 / 11
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 12
Wednesday 25 / 11
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 10
Wednesday 26 / 10
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 11
Wednesday 25 / 12
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 20 / 11
Wednesday 28 / 11
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 23 / 13
Wednesday 27 / 11

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics WNW 10-20 N 0-10 VAR 0-10 SW 5-15
West North WNW 5-15 NNE 0-10 VAR 0-10 S 5-15
West Central NW 20-30 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10 S 5-15
West South WNW 20-30 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass WNW 15-25 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10 SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 20-30 NW 10-20 N 0-10 SW 0-10
East North WNW 15-25 NNW 10-20 N 0-10 W 5-15
East Central WNW 25-35 NW 10-20 N 0-10 W 5-15
East South WNW 20-30 WNW 10-20 N 0-10 SW 5-15
Mt. Hood W 30-40 NW 20-30 NW 0-10 S 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 10-20
Tuesday Night N 0-10
Wednesday Morning VAR 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 5-15
Tuesday Night NNE 0-10
Wednesday Morning VAR 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening NW 20-30
Tuesday Night NW 5-15
Wednesday Morning VAR 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 20-30
Tuesday Night NW 5-15
Wednesday Morning VAR 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 15-25
Tuesday Night NW 5-15
Wednesday Morning VAR 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 20-30
Tuesday Night NW 10-20
Wednesday Morning N 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 15-25
Tuesday Night NNW 10-20
Wednesday Morning N 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 25-35
Tuesday Night NW 10-20
Wednesday Morning N 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WNW 20-30
Tuesday Night WNW 10-20
Wednesday Morning N 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 30-40
Tuesday Night NW 20-30
Wednesday Morning NW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon S 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

Our cool snowy pattern will continue Thursday night through Friday night with significant snow accumulations near and west of the Cascade crest.  At least two upper-level disturbances in cool NW flow aloft will enhance shower activity over this period; convergence zones are likely to increase snowfall totals further over the central Cascades and westerly ridgeline winds will be strong. Snow showers should finally wind down late Friday night into Saturday morning as weak upper-level ridging builds overhead. While we will see a drying trend Saturday it's unclear if we'll see a full clearing trend across the region. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 1000' 1500' 500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 2000' 500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 2500' 500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday 1500'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday 2000'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday 2500'
Friday Night 500'
Saturday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 23, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.