Radar shows a precipitation shield lifting SE over the area this afternoon. An occluded front associated with a deepening low pressure center off Vancouver Island will push through the region this evening. The heaviest precipitation is expected tonight prior to and during the frontal passage with a fair amount of moisture spread along the east slopes of the Cascades with this storm. Snow levels will be highest over the far south Washington Cascades until the front passes through this evening.
Even in areas further north that don't see much oscillation in snow levels, this is not a particularly cold storm (nor have we had one in awhile). Easterly offshore flow through the Passes will nudge snow levels down to 3000' but snow levels will bump right back up to 3500'+ following the front late this evening with a switch to westerly flow. The surface low pressure system will pass inland early Thursday morning. There's some question as to how this surface feature tracks, which could redirect a heavier band of precipitation and stronger winds into the central Cascades. Following the surface low, the trailing upper level trough will pass inland Thursday morning as well, shifting the flow aloft to the NW.
With NW flow, showers should pile up an additional 4-10 inches of snow along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood, with lower amounts along the east slopes of the Cascades during the daylight hours. There will be brisk post-frontal westerly winds as well. Snow levels will hang in the 3500-4000' range throughout the region.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday
Night
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow.
Thursday
Scattered light rain and snow showers with sunbreaks in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow.
Thursday
Light to moderate rain and snow showers in the morning becoming scattered in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow.
Thursday
Moderate rain and snow showers decreasing during the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Light to moderate rain and snow, heavier at Paradise.
Thursday
Light to moderate rain and snow showers decreasing during the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Moderate rain and snow. Moderate east winds at Pass level becoming west after midnight.
Thursday
Light to moderate rain and snow showers decreasing during the afternoon. Moderate west winds at Pass level.
Wednesday
Night
Moderate rain and snow. Moderate east winds at Pass level becoming west after midnight.
Thursday
Moderate rain and snow showers decreasing during the afternoon. Moderate west winds at Pass level.
Wednesday
Night
Light to moderate rain and snow.
Thursday
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Light to moderate rain and snow.
Thursday
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning becoming decreasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Light to moderate rain and snow becoming showers after midnight.
Thursday
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Moderate rain and snow becoming showers overnight.
Thursday
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the morning becoming scattered showers in the afternoon.
Issued: 2:00 PM PST Wednesday, December 16, 2020
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
Thursday
Thursday Night
Friday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0.50
0.25
LT 0.10
0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area
1.00 - 1.50
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
1.00
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
0.75 -1.00
Stevens Pass
0.50 - 0.75
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
0.75 -1.00
0.75 -1.00
LT 0.25
0.50
Crystal Mt
0.50
0.25
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
Paradise
0.75 -1.00
0.75
0.25
0.50
White Pass
0.25 - 0.50
0.50
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass
0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0.25
Mission Ridge
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
0
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0.50 - 0.75
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.25
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0.50
0.25
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
0.75 -1.00
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
LT 0.25
Timberline
1.00
0.50
LT 0.25
LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50
Thursday
0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
1.00 - 1.50
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
1.00
Thursday
0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.75 -1.00
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Thursday
0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.75 -1.00
Thursday
0.75 -1.00
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50
Thursday
0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.75 -1.00
Thursday
0.75
Thursday Night
0.25
Friday
0.50
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday
0.50
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday
LT 0.25
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50 - 0.75
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50
Thursday
0.25
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.75 -1.00
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
LT 0.25
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
1.00
Thursday
0.50
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
LT 0.25
Issued: 2:00 PM PST Wednesday, December 16, 2020
Snow Level (ft)
Wednesday
Evening*
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon*
Olympics
5000'
3500'
4000'
4000'
3500'
4000'
4000'
4500'
West North
3500'
3500'
3500'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
West Central
3500'
3500'
3500'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
4000'
West South
4500'
3500'
3500'
4000'
3500'
3000'
3500'
4000'
Stevens Pass
3500'
3500'
3000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
3500'
3500'
3000'
3500'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
East North
2500'
2500'
3000'
3500'
2500'
2500'
3000'
3500'
East Central
3000'
2500'
3500'
4000'
3000'
3000'
3500'
3500'
East South
4000'
3500'
3500'
4000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
4000'
Mt. Hood
5500'
4000'
3500'
4000'
3500'
3500'
4500'
4500'
Olympics
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
5000'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
4000'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
4000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4500'
West North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
West Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
West South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
4500'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3500'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
East North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2500'
Wednesday
Night
2500'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
2500'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
3000'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
East Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night
2500'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
3500'
Friday
Afternoon*
3500'
East South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
4000'
Wednesday
Night
3500'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon*
4000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
5500'
Wednesday
Night
4000'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
3500'
Friday
Morning
4500'
Friday
Afternoon*
4500'
Issued: 2:00 PM PST Wednesday, December 16, 2020
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
33 / 25
27 / 25
West North
30 / 26
27 / 25
West Central
30 / 25
27 / 25
West South
32 / 26
28 / 25
Stevens Pass
28 / 25
27 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
28 / 25
28 / 25
East North
25 / 22
29 / 23
East Central
28 / 25
29 / 25
East South
30 / 23
29 / 24
Mt. Hood
35 / 27
28 / 24
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
33 / 25
Thursday
27 / 25
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
30 / 26
Thursday
27 / 25
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
30 / 25
Thursday
27 / 25
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
32 / 26
Thursday
28 / 25
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
28 / 25
Thursday
27 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
28 / 25
Thursday
28 / 25
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
25 / 22
Thursday
29 / 23
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
28 / 25
Thursday
29 / 25
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
30 / 23
Thursday
29 / 24
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
35 / 27
Thursday
28 / 24
Issued: 2:00 PM PST Wednesday, December 16, 2020
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
SW 20-30
SW 20-30
NW 10-20
W 10-20
West North
S 20-30
SSW 15-25
SW 10-20
W 5-15
West Central
SSE 20-30
SW 20-30
WSW 15-25
WNW 15-25
West South
S 20-30
WSW 20-30
W 25-35
W 20-30
Stevens Pass
SSE 10-20
WSW 20-30
WSW 20-30
WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass
SE 10-20
WSW 20-30
W 25-35
WNW 20-30
East North
SE 15-25
SW 15-25
WSW 15-25
W 10-20
East Central
SE 15-25
WSW 25-35
W 25-35
WNW 20-30
East South
SW 15-25
W 20-30
W 20-30
WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood
WSW 25-35
W 25-35
W 30-40
W 35-50
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
20-30
Wednesday
Night
SW
20-30
Thursday
Morning
NW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
W
10-20
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
S
20-30
Wednesday
Night
SSW
15-25
Thursday
Morning
SW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
W
5-15
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSE
20-30
Wednesday
Night
SW
20-30
Thursday
Morning
WSW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
15-25
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
S
20-30
Wednesday
Night
WSW
20-30
Thursday
Morning
W
25-35
Thursday
Afternoon
W
20-30
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SSE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
WSW
20-30
Thursday
Morning
WSW
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
15-25
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SE
10-20
Wednesday
Night
WSW
20-30
Thursday
Morning
W
25-35
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
20-30
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SE
15-25
Wednesday
Night
SW
15-25
Thursday
Morning
WSW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
W
10-20
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SE
15-25
Wednesday
Night
WSW
25-35
Thursday
Morning
W
25-35
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
20-30
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
15-25
Wednesday
Night
W
20-30
Thursday
Morning
W
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
WNW
20-30
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
WSW
25-35
Wednesday
Night
W
25-35
Thursday
Morning
W
30-40
Thursday
Afternoon
W
35-50
Issued: 2:00 PM PST Wednesday, December 16, 2020
Extended Weather Synopsis
The extended promises to be a soggy mess crescendoing with an atmospheric river over the weekend. The next system arrives on Friday with warm frontal moisture afflicting the Olympics and north Cascades during the day before the front pushes through late Friday afternoon and night. The aforementioned atmospheric river will likely peak on Saturday night in both precipitation totals (several inches of water) and snow levels. There's still some hope for a slightly cooler outcome, but right now this looks more like a river flooding event than a snow maker.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).