Issued: 2:31 PM PDT Wednesday, March 11, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Tuesday

The weather should be relatively quiet Wednesday, Thursday, and Thursday night. A dry and decreasing WNW flow aloft keeps some moisture trapped in the low levels of the atmosphere. Very weak perturbations should wring out some very light snow showers and convergence at times, but trace amounts of snow accumulation are expected. The bigger impact will be the cloud cover and visibility, but the timing of convergence bands and periods of cloudiness remains difficult. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with light snow flurries at times along the west slopes of the Cascades with clear skies further east. Temperatures continue to cool on Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night behind the departed front that passed early Wednesday. The resultant freezing levels should remain slightly cooler than average.

A stronger developing low detaching from the main flow drops south along the British Columbia coastline Thursday night and will be a complex system. The low spreads light snowfall into NW Washington State by Friday morning which increases to light to moderate as it transits off the Washington Coast during the day Friday, spinning moisture mainly into the Washington Cascades and Olympics with a rapid switch from SW to increasing moderate E or ENE flow that favors the east slopes for snowfall.  At this time it looks like 4-8" of snow should fall by the end of the day Friday for Hurricane Ridge, the Mt. Rainier area, Snoqualmie, Steens, Mission Ridge, with 2-4" in the North Cascades and Mt. Hood areas.

Strong moderate low-level Fraser outflow develops late Thursday night, spreading cold air into the Puget sounds lowlands. These winds intensify to become strong during the day on Friday, peaking Friday evening and don't fully decrease until sometime on Sunday. Expect these winds to enhance snowfall totals on the north slopes of the Olympic Mountains (Hurricane Ridge area) well after the low passes to the south. 

 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Mostly clear.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Few clouds in the evening with mostly cloudy skies developing after midnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Mostly clear with partly cloudy skies along the Cascade Crest.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Very light convergence zone and scattered snow showers linger into the evening hours but only trace accumulations are expected. Otherwise expect partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light to moderate W winds through the Passes becoming light after midnight.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy skies.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy in the evening with few clouds lingering after midnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level 2000' 1500' 1000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level 2000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4500'
Thursday Night Freezing Level 2000' 1000' 1000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
4000'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
4000'
Thursday Evening Freezing Level
4500'
Thursday Night Freezing Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0.25
Leavenworth 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 LT 0.25
0 0 0 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0.25
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15 W 5 - 15 WNW 5 - 15 W 5 - 15 W 10 - 20
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15 W 0 - 10 W 5 - 15 W 0 - 10 WNW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning VAR 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 WNW 0 - 10 NW 0 - 10 NW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15
Thursday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 0 - 10
Thursday Morning W 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening WNW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15
Thursday Morning WNW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 0 - 10
Thursday Morning NW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening W 10 - 20
Wednesday Night WNW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning NW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15
Thursday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 0 - 10
Thursday Morning W 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WNW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15
Thursday Morning WNW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening W 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 0 - 10
Thursday Morning NW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening W 10 - 20
Wednesday Night WNW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning NW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon W 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening WNW 20 - 30 WNW 15 - 25 WNW 35 - 45 WNW 35 - 45 NW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WNW 20 - 30 WNW 15 - 25 WNW 35 - 45 WNW 30 - 40 NW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WNW 20 - 30 WNW 15 - 25 NW 30 - 40 NW 25 - 35 NW 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WNW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night WNW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning WNW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WNW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night WNW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning WNW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WNW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WNW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning NW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon WNW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WNW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WNW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning NW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon WNW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening NW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night NW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning NW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon NW 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The low drops further southward to the NW Oregon coast Friday night, spinning moisture around it that that continues to produce upslope snowfall focused more on the east slopes of the Cascades and Olympics, southern Washington Cascades, and Mt. Hood area through Saturday night. The event winds down on Sunday morning as the low exits the picture dropping down off the coast of northern California, leaving a cold air mass and clearing skies. 

The system brings in unseasonably cold both aloft and at low levels (with snow levels near or slightly above sea level). With high snow ratios and limited moisture to work with, storm totals of 6-12" of additional snow are likely in areas favored by the moderate ENE winds Friday night through Sunday morning.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Snow Level 0' - 1000' 500' - 2000' 1000' - 2500'
Saturday Snow Level 0' - 1000' 500' - 2000' 1000' - 2500'
Saturday Night Freezing Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Sunday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
500' - 2000'
Saturday Snow Level
500' - 2000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Sunday Freezing Level
0' - 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2500'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 2500'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Sunday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 11, 2020

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