Issued: 4:07 PM PST Sunday, January 5, 2020
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Friday

4PM Update: Adjusted Mt. Hood precipitation forecast

Scattered showers with occasional bursts of heavier snow, gusty west winds, and a convergence zone in the Mt Loop to Stevens Pass vicinity sum up this afternoon and evening's weather pattern. Before shower activity has a chance to taper down overnight, a wetter and more significant weather system is on tap as warm frontal precipitation begins to move into the region late tonight.

Storm conditions develop on Monday as precipitation rates increase during the day with many areas becoming moderate to heavy by the afternoon. Increasing westerly winds and a slow warming trend will accompany the rain and snow. Check the snow level forecast for timing of the warm-up in your area.   

Moderate to heavy precipitation, warming, and significant westerly winds will continue into Monday night as a secondary wave develops along the existing E-W oriented frontal band offshore. Unlike the first round of moisture, this wave will develop into a deep low pressure system and curl north towards Vancouver Island on Tuesday. This should drag warm frontal precipitation north overnight Monday into Tuesday, leading to drier conditions for the south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. Snow levels should level off in the 5000-6000 ft range Monday night through mid-day Tuesday, with milder air finally working into the east slopes of the Cascades during this period. 

Timing on the cold front's passage Tuesday afternoon or evening is less certain, but any break should be short-lived as precipitation fills back in during the afternoon hour or evening. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Sunday Night Scattered showers with light to occasionally moderate snow showers this evening. Light snow developing after midnight.
Mt. Baker
Sunday Night Scattered showers with light to occasionally moderate snow showers this evening. Light snow developing after midnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Sunday Night Scattered showers with light to occasionally moderate snow showers this evening near the Cascade crest easing after midnight. Increasing alpine winds overnight.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Sunday Night Scattered showers with light to occasionally moderate snow showers this evening especially near Stevens Pass. Light snow developing after midnight and becoming light to moderate late. Light to moderate west winds becoming east overnight at Pass level.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Sunday Night Scattered showers with light to occasionally moderate snow showers this evening. Light snow developing after midnight, becoming light to moderate snow late.
Mt. Hood
Sunday Night Scattered showers with light to occasionally moderate snow showers this evening. Light snow developing after midnight, becoming light to moderate snow late. Strong west winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening Snow Level 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level 2500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Monday Morning Snow Level * 5000' 2000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3500' 4500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level 6000' 4000' 3000' 4500' 4000' 5000' 4500' 5000'
Monday Evening Snow Level 6000' 5000' 4500' 5500' 5000' 5500' 5000' 5500'
Monday Night Snow Level 6000' 5000' 4500' 5500' 5000' 5500' 5500' 5500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level 5000' 5000' 4500' 5500' 5000' 5500' 5000' 5000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Monday Night Snow Level
6000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Monday Night Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Monday Night Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Monday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Monday Night Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Monday Night Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Monday Night Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Monday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Monday Night Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Monday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Monday Night Snow Level
5500'
Tuesday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Tuesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Night Friday Friday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.75 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Leavenworth LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Paradise 0.75 -1.00 2.00 1.00 0.50
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
0.75 1.50 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50
Friday 1.00
Friday Night 1.00
Friday 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 1.50
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.75
Friday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.75
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 1.00
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.75
Friday 1.50 - 2.00
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 2.00
Friday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Sunday Night 0.75
Friday 1.50
Friday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening WSW 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 W 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 W 30 - 40
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 W 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 W 30 - 40
Monday Morning SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 W 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Monday Morning SW 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Evening SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Monday Morning SW 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Evening W 25 - 35
Sunday Night W 15 - 25
Monday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Monday Morning SW 25 - 35
Monday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Evening W 30 - 40
Sunday Night W 30 - 40
Monday Morning W 35 - 45
Monday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Monday Morning SW 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Monday Morning SW 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening W 25 - 35
Sunday Night W 15 - 25
Monday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 15 - 25
Monday Morning SW 25 - 35
Monday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening W 30 - 40
Sunday Night W 30 - 40
Monday Morning W 35 - 45
Monday Afternoon W 40 - 50

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Evening WSW 35 - 45 W 40 - 50 W 45 - 55 W 40 - 50 W 50 - 60
Sunday Night WSW 35 - 45 W 40 - 50 W 50 - 60 W 45 - 55 W 55 - 65
Monday Morning SW 30 - 40 SW 35 - 45 W 55 - 65 W 50 - 60 W 55 - 65
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Sunday Night WSW 35 - 45
Monday Morning SW 30 - 40
Monday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening W 40 - 50
Sunday Night W 40 - 50
Monday Morning SW 35 - 45
Monday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening W 45 - 55
Sunday Night W 50 - 60
Monday Morning W 55 - 65
Monday Afternoon W 55 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening W 40 - 50
Sunday Night W 45 - 55
Monday Morning W 50 - 60
Monday Afternoon W 50 - 60
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Evening W 50 - 60
Sunday Night W 55 - 65
Monday Morning W 55 - 65
Monday Afternoon W 55 - 65

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

The associated cold front will sweep through Tuesday night with post-frontal showers and a strong cooling trend. Behind this front, we'll see a larger scale pattern change from strong weather systems with oscillating snow levels to a cooler and snowier pattern. The Pacific upper level ridge that has been flattened and positioned just off the US West Coast will begin to retrograde mid-week and amplify as it moves further offshore. Over our region, a broad upper level trough with NW flow aloft should deliver quick moving systems and/or orographic showers at cold temperatures for consistent snowfall at least through the end of the week. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Night Snow Level 2500' - 4500' 2500' - 4500' 3000' - 5000'
Wednesday Snow Level 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 500' - 1500' 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 4500'
Wednesday Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Thursday Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500' - 4500'
Wednesday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Thursday Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Wednesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Thursday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 5, 2020

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