Issued: 2:44 PM PST Friday, January 18, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Wednesday

Although the Thursday night system didn't have as much moisture as anticipated, Friday night's storm will deliver. A powerful and deepening storm system tracking NE toward the Queen Charlotte Islands will pack a major punch Friday night. Heavy precipitation is arriving on the coastline late Friday afternoon as strong warm front lifts across the region, beginning late in the day. Overnight, moderate to heavy precipitation will slam the Cascades. Mt. Hood will likely be the winner in terms of precipitation with 2-2.5", while Mt. Rainier and Mt. Baker will be in the 1-1.5" range, with most other NWAC stations receiving 0.5-1" of moisture. The warm front will warm temperatures 15F as it crosses the coastline so many areas will see a changeover to rain, particularly during the late evening and overnight hours, before changing back to snow at some point on Saturday. Easterly flow may insulate the passes from the warming during the evening hours, but eventually, but atmosphere will be so warm aloft that Stevens and Snoqualmie may turn to all rain before the wind shift very early Saturday morning. The easterly flow is helping to bring significant water amounts east of the Cascade crest such as in the Mission Ridge and Leavenworth areas.

On Saturday, light to occasionally moderate snow shower activity will gradually diminish during the day, where narrow bands of precipitation may be locally intense. Saturday night, further diminishing snow showers will end after midnight. On Sunday, the front stalled over southern Oregon will lift some light moisture back into northern Oregon and southern Washington as a mild trough digs off the Oregon coast.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow. Snow levels skyrocketing above ridge crests in the evening. Rapidly lowering snow levels 10 PM. Strong winds.
Mt. Baker
Friday Night Light to moderate rain and snow before midnight; moderate to heavy rain and snow after midnight. Snow levels rising above Mt. Baker base around midnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Friday Night Light to moderate snow. Increasing moderate to strong crest-level winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow early, possibly mixing with freezing rain before changing to all rain by the early morning hours for both Stevens and Snoqualmie passes. 1-5" of snow expected. Moderate easterly winds switching to westerly in the early morning hours. Increasing moderate winds becoming strong at 5,000 ft.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Friday Night Moderate to heavy snow before 10 PM, then rain mixed with snow becoming light to moderate. Moderate to strong winds. Rising, then falling snow level.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night Heavy snow and rain with a snow line quickly rising to 8000 ft in the early evening hours, then gradually falling. Strong winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Snow Level * 4500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level * 7500' 4500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 6000' 8000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 4000' 3500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 4500' 5000' 6500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 4000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 2500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Snow Level
6500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Leavenworth 0.50 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.75 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Paradise 1.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 2.00 - 2.50 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
2.50 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 1.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 2.50
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening S 35 - 50 ESE 25 - 35 ESE 25 - 35 SSE 25 - 35 SSW 30 - 45
Friday Night SW 30 - 45 SSW 30 - 45 SW 35 - 50 SW 25 - 35 SW 35 - 50
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 45 SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening S 35 - 50
Friday Night SW 30 - 45
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening ESE 25 - 35
Friday Night SSW 30 - 45
Saturday Morning SW 30 - 45
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening ESE 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 35 - 50
Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 45
Friday Night SW 35 - 50
Saturday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S 35 - 50
Friday Night SW 30 - 45
Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening ESE 25 - 35
Friday Night SSW 30 - 45
Saturday Morning SW 30 - 45
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening ESE 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 35 - 50
Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSE 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 25 - 35
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 45
Friday Night SW 35 - 50
Saturday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SW 40 - 60 SW 35 - 50 SW 45 - 65 SW 45 - 65 WSW 45 - 65
Friday Night SSW 45 - 65 SW 45 - 65 SW 50 - 70 SW 50 - 70 SW 55 - 75
Saturday Morning SW 30 - 45 SW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 SW 60 - 80
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 40 - 60
Friday Night SSW 45 - 65
Saturday Morning SW 30 - 45
Saturday Afternoon WSW 30 - 45
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 35 - 50
Friday Night SW 45 - 65
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 45 - 65
Friday Night SW 50 - 70
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 45 - 65
Friday Night SW 50 - 70
Saturday Morning SW 40 - 60
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 50
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 45 - 65
Friday Night SW 55 - 75
Saturday Morning SW 60 - 80
Saturday Afternoon WSW 40 - 60

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

With a trough to our south, the Pacific northwest looks cool (with freezing levels below Cascade crest level, clear and dry). This pattern will continue as the flow shifts northerly on Monday and Monday evening, but clouds and light to moderate snow will be arriving as a weak system arrives on a NW flow and crosses the PNW on Tuesday.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Freezing Level 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500'
Monday Freezing Level 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 2500' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Freezing Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Freezing Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Freezing Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday Freezing Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 18, 2019

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