Issued: 2:15 PM PDT Monday, April 10, 2017
by Garth Ferber

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Monday & Tuesday

A weak upper and surface ridge moved over the Northwest on Sunday. Judging by the RH's at the NWAC weather stations the clouds didn't let up much west of the Cascade crest but it looks like it was a nice day east of the crest.

A weak front crossed the Northwest Sunday night and spread some light to moderate rain and snow to Mt Hood Sunday night and some light rain and snow to the Olympics and Washington Cascades Monday morning. Temporary decreases in light rain or snow should generally be seen following the front.

A weak upper and surface trough and cool slightly unstable air mass will move east across the Northwest Monday and Monday evening. This will cause bands of showers and a chance of thunderstorms near and west of the Cascade crest. The Sunday afternoon UW WRF model indicates convergence between Mt Baker and Stevens Pass Monday evening.

A weak upper and surface ridge will cross the Northwest and give a minor break in the weather on Tuesday morning with some sun and and slightly warmer temperatures.

A fairly large upper trough will begin to form over the northeast Pacific Ocean late Tuesday. An initial shortwave and surface low will begin to rotate out of the trough and begin moving north over the Oregon coastline Tuesday night. This will cause E-SE crest level flow, with clouds and rain and snow beginning to move north over the Olympics and Cascades Tuesday afternoon and night.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Monday Afternoon

Increasing light to occasional moderate showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Moderate alpine winds.

Monday Night

Light showers decreasing and ending.

Tuesday Morning

Mostly sunny. 

Tuesday Afternoon

Increasing high clouds.

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Monday Afternoon

Increasing light to occasional moderate showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Moderate alpine winds.

Monday Night

Light showers decreasing and ending.

Tuesday Morning

Mostly sunny north to central. Increasing high clouds south.

Tuesday Afternoon

Increasing high clouds north to central. Increasing mid and high clouds south.

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Monday Afternoon

Increasing light showers higher elevations. Moderate alpine winds.

Monday Night

Light showers higher elevations decreasing and ending.

Tuesday Morning

Mostly sunny north and increasing high clouds south.

Tuesday Afternoon

Increasing high clouds north and increasing mid and high clouds south.

Mt. Hood Area
Monday Afternoon

Increasing light to occasional moderate showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Moderate alpine winds.

Monday Night

Light showers decreasing and ending.

Tuesday Night

Increasing light to moderate rain or snow.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Monday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3000' ' ' 3500' ' 4000'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level 2500' 2000' 2000' ' ' 2500' ' 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level * 4500' 4500' 4500' ' ' 5000' ' 5500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Monday Night - Tuesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Afternoon Freezing Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
LT 0.25 0 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening SW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 WSW 15 - 25 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 --- - VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 5 - 15 E 5 - 15 E 10 - 20 --- - E 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon E 10 - 20 E 10 - 20 E 15 - 25 --- - E 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening SW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Monday Evening SW 10 - 20
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon E 15 - 25
Tuesday Night ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Evening --- -
Monday Night --- -
Tuesday Morning --- -
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon E 20 - 30
Tuesday Night ESE 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening SW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Monday Evening SW 10 - 20
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon E 15 - 25
Tuesday Night ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Evening --- -
Monday Night --- -
Tuesday Morning --- -
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning E 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon E 20 - 30
Tuesday Night ESE 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Monday Afternoon SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 SW 30 - 45 --- - SW 35 - 50
Monday Evening WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 --- - WSW 30 - 45
Monday Night W 5 - 15 W 0 - 10 W 5 - 15 --- - W 15 - 25
Tuesday Morning ESE 10 - 20 ESE 5 - 15 SSE 10 - 20 --- - SSE 15 - 25
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20 ESE 10 - 20 SSE 15 - 25 --- - SSE 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Monday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Monday Night W 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning ESE 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Tuesday Night SE 30 - 45
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Monday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Monday Night W 0 - 10
Tuesday Morning ESE 5 - 15
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Tuesday Night SE 30 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Monday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Monday Night W 5 - 15
Tuesday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Tuesday Night SSE 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Evening --- -
Monday Night --- -
Tuesday Morning --- -
Tuesday Afternoon --- -
Tuesday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Monday Afternoon SW 35 - 50
Monday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Monday Night W 15 - 25
Tuesday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Tuesday Night SW 50 - 70

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The fairly large upper trough will linger over the northeast Pacific Ocean Wednesday to Friday. More upper shortwaves and showers will rotate out of the trough and over the Northwest with specific timing not practical at this time. Showers should generally favor the volcanoes. Snow levels will be pretty low for this time of year.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades, Mt Hood
Wednesday - Friday

Periods of mostly light showers except periods of light to moderate showers on the volcanoes.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Wednesday Snow Level 4000' - 5500' 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Snow Level
4000' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Friday Snow Level
2500' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Friday Snow Level
2500' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday - Friday Snow Level
2500' - 4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Apr 10, 2017

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The NWAC will issue daily mountain weather and avalanche forecasts through Saturday, April 15th. Mountain weather and avalanche forecasts will be issued during the spring transition April 20-22nd and April 27-29th. Weekend outlooks will be issued Thursdays, May 4th, 11th, 18th and 25th.

Special advisories, watches and warnings will be issued throughout the spring for unusual or dangerous avalanche conditions. You can find out what constitutes a special advisory, watch or warning here.